Robbie Ferguson | Immutable

3K posts

Robbie Ferguson | Immutable banner
Robbie Ferguson | Immutable

Robbie Ferguson | Immutable

@0xferg

Co-founder @immutable, thiel fellow. Bringing a billion people to web3 with games.

🦇🔊 Beigetreten Eylül 2009
1.1K Folgt57.3K Follower
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Robbie Ferguson | Immutable
In the next 24 mths, the success rate of new games will fall to the lowest in history. - AI is collapsing the cost + time to launch - supply will outpace demand (even in a $200B industry growing +10% YOY) - CAC is rising due to poor attribution post ATT - 30% mobile store fees eat +$25 billion a year in studio profit Only the most efficient studios will survive. This will require a higher standard across attribution, growth, retention, player data, payments, monetisation, etc... ...all of which are radically improved via web3. - stablecoins reduce payment fees to ~1% - rewards programs improve retention, referrals - in-game economies drive recurring monetisation - onchain player IDs combine data across multiple channels to solve attribution If passed, the CLARITY Act will exempt certain "video game" tokens from being digital commodities. This will give all game studios a clear path to start using these tools, saving them multiple $ billions a year in costs. The top 5 game studios alone have 1.2 billion MAU. These players will enter the world of invisible web3, because the games they're playing will no longer be able to justify operating any other way.
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Robbie Ferguson | Immutable
The gap between idea and execution in game dev is becoming trivial. The next 10 yrs will reward studios who prioritise: 1) fun - simple, uncluttered, gameplay loops 2) user data - extremely precise attribution in their growth funnels
How To AI@HowToAI_

Someone just vibe coded a full 3d flight simulator in a single weekend using Claude Code. it runs entirely in the browser. real-world terrain. real locations. you can literally fly anywhere on earth.

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Robbie Ferguson | Immutable
Sadly, 70% of games already fail. Now add: - ↑24% annual Steam releases to +19,000 - rising CAC post-ATT - 30% app store fees For most studios this is a bloodbath… until they fix: - pre-launch audience (Immutable Play) - attribution (onchain IDs) - payments (external stablecoin rails)
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Robbie Ferguson | Immutable
The most underrated monetisation lever in gaming is to stop giving 30% of your revenue away in mobile store fees.
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Robbie Ferguson | Immutable
The mobile gaming market was $144B in 2025 and is projected to reach $371B by 2035. Mobile stores currently take 30% of this in fees. External payments on web3 rails charge only ~1%. The motivation for AAA studios to use web3 tools is measured in billions.
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Robbie Ferguson | Immutable
Fortnite has more MAU than most countries have citizens. Roblox processes billions in virtual transactions annually. The CLARITY Act will give them the legal clarity to build onchain.
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Robbie Ferguson | Immutable
we have an issue: 1) 55% of all gaming revenue now comes from mobile: $103B+ per year 2) in 2025 mobile games increased their ad spend to $62B a year 3) post-ATT, almost none of this spend is properly attributed. AppLovin impression share grew 397% YoY as studios scrambled for signal how do we fix this? web3 specifically, universal player IDs - aggregating onchain, in-game, and social data into a single attribution source the efficiency gains we're seeing at @Immutable for small web2 studios have literally saved some games from extinction
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Robbie Ferguson | Immutable
Streaks on Immutable Play have been live for one week. Play and you will be rewarded.
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Robbie Ferguson | Immutable
The $150B in-game economy still runs through platforms taking 30% on every mobile transaction. Web3 payments infra will do this for <1%. If you think public companies aren't motivated to use web3 think again; only a matter of time.
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Robbie Ferguson | Immutable
The studios winning in 5 years will be the ones that own their player data today. This will primarily be solved via onchain identities.
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Robbie Ferguson | Immutable
Movies are going to become video games and video games are going to become something beyond our current comprehension.
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Robbie Ferguson | Immutable
The history of a player's actions is fragmented across Steam, socials, and mobile stores. This makes it very hard for players to get tailored recommendations; and even harder for games to get meaningful attribution. @Immutable will be the system of record that solves this.
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Robbie Ferguson | Immutable
The CLARITY Act will change the business models of the largest gaming companies in the world.
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Robbie Ferguson | Immutable
Traditionally mobile games have spent 30% of every dollar earned on app store fees. Switching to out of app, stablecoin payments will reduce this cost to ~1%. Inevitable.
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