MichaelJMurphy

Interesting ads for Draft Kings, available nationwide. No mention of PM or sports book Wonder what @mattkalish thinks of the approach

It is no coincidence that major media outlets, exchanges, and financial institutions are increasingly turning to prediction markets. When people have real skin in the game, the data follows, and that is the wisdom of the crowds at work. Watch now⬇️

@AmericanGenXer @AmericanAir You are missing the placement of the outrage, in no scenario should I have been separated from the people I was caring for. There is always risk of delays, weather, etc. In fact, our first flight landed 24 minutes early. We had plenty of time if the wheelchairs were there.

Airlines are sometimes quite deserving of the scorn they receive. This situation is not one of those cases. OP booked an itinerary to get a specific event, but with little tolerance for delays. What if there had been an hour or two of weather causing the delay, instead of the situation OP encountered? And then on top of the tight scheduling, OP booked a 1 hour and 15 minute layover at one of the country's busiest airports. I won't even mention taking dementia-suffering people to a funeral in the first place. OP's situation is unfortunate, but I'll save my outrage for situations that warrant it.

Tonight I feel like telling my @AmericanAir story, because they deserve it. My parents both have dementia, actually my Dad has Alzheimers and my Mom has dementia. When they needed to get to a funeral for a family member, it was clear someone from the family needed to chaperone them to ensure safe travel, and I was happy to do that. I booked the tickets, for the three of us, and booked wheelchair service for our American Airlines flight from Madison WI to Grand Junction CO. When looking for flights, my only goal was to find the most convenient flight for my parents - to limit the stress of flying, traveling, in unknown places. Typically, a United flight from MSN to Denver would be the path, with a quick jump to Grand Junction. For the time of our flights, that would mean a six hour layover. instead, I chose to fly MSN to DFW, with a one hour and 15 minute layover. In @MSN_Airport our wheelchairs were there, as expected, and as booked. Being slightly nervous about our shorter connection, I asked the agents to call ahead to DFW and double check if our wheelchairs would be there, I personally overhead this call and was assured they would be there. They were not. And this is where things start to fall apart, get dangerous, and then fall apart again. Our wheelchairs were not there, terminal C, we needed to get to B1. 35 minutes later, still no wheelchair - my parents (both with dementia) were allowed to get on a golf cart, to try and make the flight. I was not allowed to go with them, because I was not "disabled". This meant my parents, who have me along purely to chaperone, were seperated from me - no clue what was going on, and I had to run - physically - to try and meet them at the gate. We missed our flight, and as a result, missed our family funeral visitation - the sole purpose of the flight. A couple things make this worse: 1. Once dropped at B1, and missing our flight - we still had no wheelchairs, and the golf cart left. The flight was already gone, because we were significantly late. Abandoned is the word I'd use, because a gate agent rebooked us on a flight out of gate B28, six hours later, without bothering to care we needed a way to get there - and that walk is significant. We waited another HOUR, and got one wheelchair. Two hours later we finally had the two wheelchairs we booked. Nothing can replace what we went through, dangerous - fear and stress - and most importantly, a missed funeral. Americans response to this? First they offered a voucher for lunch. I declined. Next, I emailed this story to the CEO Robert Ison, who thought he could buy us for a $250 credit. The kicker to all this? While in the air on our first flight.....American was trying to buy our seats because they oversold it, for $450 a seat. We obviously didn't accept this, because we wanted to get to the family funeral - the whole reason for our travel! So us not taking the $450 offer per seat, meant we missed our flight, missed the funeral, experienced extreme amounts of stress - and somehow that is owrth $250 to American Airlines. I don't want a single penny from this company, I don't want flight credits - I honestly never want to fly with them again. What I do want? For others to hear this story, for them to formally apologize to my parents, and for some type of penalty to be applied to them that is significant enough they can never treat another customer like this, ever again.

@bergesonmt @AmericanAir This is definitely partly true, we accepted the risk of a delay - but I don't accept the wheelchairs not being there, the stress that caused, and being dangerously seperated.

@MichaelJMurphy @AmericanAir Way too many things could have upended that 75 min layover at one of the busiest hubs in the world. This was naive on your part to rely on so many others to handle your complicated travel plan to make all the stars align in midst of summer busy and weather. Sorry this happened

@tutueme @AmericanAir This is somewhat true, and there was certainly some risk of being late if anything happened - but if the wheelchairs were there as expected, we would have made this flight with plenty of time to spare.

I am sorry for your stressful situation. A 1:15 layover is not enough for the situation of your flight, considering boarding time is usually 30 minutes before departure, and gates close 10 to 15 minutes before departure. A close connection does not account for bad weather or clogged runways. A better, less stressful option would be to travel to your connection point the day before, stay overnight in a hotel, and be fresh for one flight to Grand Junction. The six hour layover would certainly be stressful for you. Wheelchair availability is very flexible throughout the day, so I would not be surprised if there was not two wheelchairs three hours after your flight left.

@GoMomGo3 @RichRichg99 @AmericanAir You book the wheelchair service with your ticket. That makes it clearly the airlines responsibility in my opinion.

@RichRichg99 @MichaelJMurphy @AmericanAir It has nothing to do with the airline itself. Please stop trashing the airline without full knowledge of how things work.

Much of the nation didn’t realize it was the Belmont Stakes today. It’s the second time in three years that a horse won the first and third leg of the Triple Crown after sitting out the second. Time to go back to the $5M Triple Crown bonus.

The final time of the Belmont Stakes was a snails-like 2:03.49 — by far the slowest running in the three years at Saratoga. Does it make Golden Tempo MORE impressive for closing into such a moderate pace? Or does it say more about the overall quality of this 3YO crop?

Back-to-back years the Kentucky Derby winner skips the Preakness and wins the Belmont Stakes. Golden Tempo proves the Derby was no fluke with another huge performance at Saratoga. Commandment runs big for second. Favorite Renegade a lackluster third. No pace collapse. No bad trips. No excuses. That's a wrap for the 2026 Triple Crown.

@mattkalish You act like DraftKings wasn't BUILT on the back of affiliates (most of whom got FUCKED multiple times int he process). Get real.

It’s safe to assume every single mention of exchange betting on social media by anyone on your timeline is a bought and paid for affiliate post, or someone making money from it (pro gamblers / wall st market makers or works for a platform) who want casuals comfy in the sharktank

@sentdefender Conveniently right after the markets close, hot weekend ahead perhaps

Explosions and air defense activity reported within the last hour from Iran’s Kharg Island in the Northern Persian Gulf.

I didn't mean anything by the bias comment other than a somewhat baseless assumption that you might be more traditional sportsbook centered, I don't know what your position is on PM. Apologies if that or even the above comes off wrong. Really what I'm after is wondering what you think it would take to develop a truly competitive US market like many European countries have.

@MichaelJMurphy I’m not biased, and saying that someone who disagreed with your prior statement is automatically biased is what…open-minded? I’ve spent most of my time since I left Prime working, thinking and talking to people about how the market evolves.

Five years from now, how many prediction markets will be open and viable? Remember how many post-PASPA sportsbooks opened up, compared to how many are still in operation today.

@OpticOdds today announced the beginning of a limited beta rollout to power sports betting answers inside Perplexity Computer for Pro and Max subscribers, with full rollout to follow. It marks the first time this category of institutional-grade market data has been made available directly to consumers through an AI product with no separate OpticOdds subscription or setup required. The same low-latency infrastructure that sportsbooks, exchanges, and the major prediction markets rely on for their internal trading and risk operations is now reaching consumers through one of the most advanced AI products on the market. Read more here: businesswire.com/news/home/2026…

@joebrennanjr Well you might be biased? How would you envision a competitive market developing in the Us?

@MichaelJMurphy No.

I know this is true, but at same time the UK can have dozens/hundreds of brands compete in the market, they do have casino which matters but I have to believe operating under one set of regulations is part of it. The US market desperately needs to be more competitive, prediction markets seem to be our last best path towards that, would you agree?

@MichaelJMurphy It isn’t. All of them had the oxygen sucked out of the room by FanKings. They overspent bigtime, but could never overcome the fact that DK & FD already had the players due to DFS, and couldn’t offer a product good enough to switch. The State2State costs were secondary, really

An overlooked aspect of the @mattkalish vs Prediction Market debate: Its Hard to really drag a guy too hard who's just doing everything he can to protect his bags. DraftKings has a cumulative net loss (accumulated deficit) of roughly $6.4 billion as of early 2026