Stocks Surfer

@InvestsDad Yep, started a position Friday

I've had $LITE on my watchlist.👀 Anyone own it?

@MoodyWriter13 $INTR is one of my biggest positions. Its valuation is completely misaligned.

Yesterday, the Federal Reserve approved the application for $INTR to operate a branch in the United States. A new growth market. The stock currently appears absurdly cheap. With a P/E of just 7 for 2026, 5 for 27, at an expected growth rate of over 20%. In October, elections will take place in Brazil. The incumbent leftist president Lula will likely run against the son of his incarcerated predecessor Bolsonaro. Critics claim that Inter’s major shareholders, the powerful Menin family, support Lula, and that if he loses, INTR would be at a disadvantage, since INTR benefits from the Lula government’s housing projects. I’m an outsider, but I consider the risk to be low. If that’s really the reason, why are the other Brazilian fintechs being affected too? I understand the criticism of the rapidly growing loan books of these fintechs like NU and others, which are largely unsecured. But my understanding ends with INTR, which has over 50% secured loans and has recently grown most strongly in mortgages. Lots of drama, little substance imo.

@italianinvesto This is very interesting, surely undervalued. Worth 1% of my ptf.

$CEK — CeoTronics AG A €72M market cap German micro-cap sitting on a €78M order backlog and a forward P/E of ~10x. Most people have never heard of it. Here's why I think this could be an interesting opportunity. Read the full investment thesis below🧵👇

@BourbonCap You're right, I added some $VST. It's very cheap right now.

Data centers, EVs, Robots and drones are all going to plug into the wall, but the market doesn't seem to care about utilities today $CEG $TLN and $VST

@goooonnney All indicators are extremely high, p/e 400x, fwd pe over 100x, PEG over 5. A 400B company with just 5B in revenue and not even 1B in profit. Fuckin expensive.

@StocksSurfer Why do u think that?

Any stocks you think are overvalued right now?

@napoleon21st Nice analysis, I'm quite bullish on $AMBA

@Samurai__Stock $AAOI for sure

Which of these companies will have better returns over the next 5 years? $AXTI $AAOI

@ParadisLabs I think $AVGO is a buy here, is very cheap and still growing a lot

Stock Ratings [June 7th]: On current AI sector crash. Explanations below. Strong Buy: $GOOGL $MU $SNDK SK Hynix Buy: $AMZN $AEHR $AAOI $CIEN $COHR $CRDO $DELL $FN $FORM $GLW $JBL $LITE $MDB $MRVL $MSFT $NBIS $NOW $NVDA $RDDT $RKLB $SIVE Hold: $ARM $ASML $AVGO $AXTI $BE $META $MTSI $PLTR $SOFI Avoid: $CBRS $CRWV $ETH $HIMS $IBIT / $BTC $IREN $MELI $SNAP $TSLA $SPCX (SpaceX) IPO --- Thoughts: Strong Buy: GOOGL - $85B raise is dilutive but they actually have ROI on their capex. Tbh, they'll probably always be a Strong Buy for me. Just the cleanest AI ROI among all the megacaps. MU / SNDK / SK Hynix - If you're not bullish on memory, then idk for you. Buy: AMZN - Mainly for AWS reacceleration + Trainium. But some tension comparing AWS growth (+17%) vs Azure (+31%). Feel like custom silicon + distribution combo is durable even if growth rate lags a bit. AEHR - H2 ramp in WLBI/PLBI systems coming, anchored by "significant" follow-on Sonoma order from lead hyperscale customer. Just need to wait a bit esp. for rev to inflect. But AI ASIC burb in is mandatory as device power goes up. AAOI - Q3 capacity ramp (via facility expansion in Texas) toward 650k+ 800G/1.6T units/mth. Capacity coming online is the catalyst imo along w/ already known laser bottleneck + Made in US premiums. CIEN - Just a high quality biz that got pounded last week (-22%). Beat + raise earnings, but stock dropping this much is an overreaction. CEO even said demand is "structural, multi year and AI-driven" shown by AI-driven DCI being their fastest growing part of the order book as new long-haul routes get built for latency and bandwidth. COHR - upcoming CPO ramp (Nvidia spectrum-x) will speed things up, these prices will look cheap when we look back imo. CRDO - Personally bought a ton last week post-earnings drop. Like Ciena, v. high quality compounding hold through the whole AI supercycle. Crazy high margins. Obviously compete w/ Marvell/Broadcom on SerDes, but also need to factor in the 1.6T switch replacement cycle into late 2026. DELL - Trump effect. I've learnt my lesson and will listen to him next time. FN - v. low drama way to ride transceiver demand + iPronics sipho line for cpo. New datacom wins also extending into next FY, although some Nvidia conc. risks. Put them in Buy just to be generous as was unsure tbh. FORM - Important for HBM, adv packaging and CPO for higher yields. Foundry test intensity only set to increase w/ production. GLW - Lead glass core substrates which are an advanced packaging bottleneck. LTP w/ Nvidia to expand US optical manufacturing for AI infra too. JBL - Stock has done nothing for a month, but earnings coming up could be a nice catalyst for a push higher from their DC infra segment growing + outpacing drag from legacy mobility/ev exposure / margin mix. LITE - CPO ramp + Nvidia qualification like Coherent. MDB - AI is not replacing them. Imo they win vs. bolt on vector stores since their architecture is so simple. MRVL - going to $1T according to Jensen. Underlying business is solid though esp. w/ Celestial acquisition for photonics. SPY inclusion last week too is a big positive. MSFT - Current valuations are a joke tbh, markets probs punishing some margin compression. Rev +18%, Azure +40%, AI run rate +123%. So, v. clear enterprise monetisation path. Will be buying next week in retirement account. NBIS - Best neocloud by far. They're a $100B biz vs. ~$57B currently. Jensen: "Nebius will take care of you." NOW - AI is not replacing them. No enterprise CEO/CTO is dumb enough to offboard them at this point. NVDA - Same as Microsoft. Been buying this whole time, but am now even more confused at current cheap valuations. RDDT - AI is not replacing them. Cash printer. ARPUs improving also in legacy segments like international. RKLB - #2 in commercial launch after SpaceX + their IPO should re-rate the entire space comp set where RKLB is the main liquid proxy. Unbelievable earnings also, just executing so well rn. SIVE - everyone on X knows at this point? Hold: ARM - current valuation prices in flawless execution imo. But their IP is growing in DC CPUs e.g. Nvidia grace, AWS Graviton etc. ASML - Elon said yesterday: "ASML should be treasured and supported. It is arguably the greatest company in Europe." - I agree. Also Terafab fireside chat next week High-NA EUV is the next leg, locking in the roadmap through the decade. Could also be a "Buy" for more risk averse people. AVGO - CEO didn't raise >$100B FY27 target + flagged that Google will multi-source. Current AI mix is also diluting margins slightly. Just needed a pullback before the thesis starts working again. AXTI - InP substrate bottleneck, crucial for AI buildout rn. Could also buy rn, just a slow dca since they've run up a ton already + raise completed ($632M) to 2x InP capacity. BE - SOFC winner imo (Ceres 2nd). Don't think it's a buy just yet due to some valuation vs. profitability gaps. META - hold based on capital allocation mainly. Market seems wary of the ROI on their AI capex hence the continuous dips. Also potential raise to fund capex like Google too - once that digests, I'll personally look to buy. MTSI - Big fan of their investment into $IQE since it de-risks operations a lot, but just think COHR/LITE are better options for 800G/1.6T transition. PLTR - Relatively poor Risk:Reward at current multiples. SOFI - rate sensitivity. Loan book + credit performance carry macro risk which caps conviction rn. Some positives though w/ young + growing member base. Would need to look at credit trends + Fed path in June FOMC to re-assess. Avoid: CBRS - avoid at current prices. Would want it to come down closer to ~$40B mc before I look to dca. Would love to hold since they own genuinely unique tech. CRWV / IREN - Financing for both is a mess...debt/dilution. Nebius are just a better multi yr neocloud. HIMS - Forced out of higher margin GLP1s into lower margin braded GLPs from Novo/Lilly. Feel like their moat was to do w/ regulatory arbitrage on compounding. With that gone, it's a customer acquisition + churn biz buying branded drugs at lower margin. IBIT / BTC - Macro setup is hostile. Higher rates for longer (10Y ~4.54%, 30Y >5%) raise opportunity cost. Pure liquidity/risk appetite instrument + both are tight rn. ETH - same as bitcoin. MELI - personally a little confused - either a hold/avoid. Seeing some margin compression via their credit book growing faster than revenues. Talks of margin recovery next year, at which point the stock could re-rate. SNAP - Absolute worst social media app + CEO is a weirdo. Platform keeps losing share to Meta/Tiktok. TSLA - Huge competition from other EV makers shown by production > deliveries volumes. Humanoids will be their next key growth driver, just a little while away. SPCX (SpaceX) IPO: I never personally participate in IPOs + SpaceX specifically is way too overvalued for me. Will be going long eventually though. Rough ballpark would be ~$1.5T if it gets there post IPO. --- Just for very high level notes at current stock prices (NFA). I'm personally staying long despite the current macro backdrop, mainly in AI supercycle names e.g. memory, semis etc. But then you also have great companies at depressed prices, mainly in SaaS which I'm DCA'ing currently. I don't hold positions in all of these names. This is just a subset that overlaps my "Close Tracking" list + X's favourite names.

@burak_finance I bought more $AAOI

The market just handed you a gift 🎁 Names I’m watching on the dip: 🔴 $AAOI — photonics & AI fiber, up 282% YTD but pulled back hard 🔴 $MRVL — Jensen Huang called it “next trillion-dollar company.” Dip = opportunity 🔴 $NBIS — AI cloud infrastructure king 🔴 $RKLB — Space economy leader 🔴 $FLNC $ONDS $SIVE — high risk, high reward setups Dips don’t last forever.

@__Con_ $AAOI or $LITE

Which top tier stocks I should buy on this dip? Give me your unfiltered thoughts.

@Alleninvests All these three have a very good price now

Honest question: What AI stock are people sleeping on the most right now? Not $NVDA, $AVGO, or $MSFT. What’s the overlooked play and why?

@JoshTradeOption $AAOI

The dip could end up being a gift... What's the best add at the current prices? $NOW $AAOI $NBIS $IREN $MU $NOK I did add $MU after hours tonight. But curious what you guys are thinking?

@QC_Capitals $AAOI

What stock has the biggest upside over the next 5 years?

Markets dropping like AI is dead. Hilariously, I spent $40 on Claude code API just today 🤣

@optionscjp Agreed, I bought more $CRVW, $NOK and started a position in $IREN

4 dips that look appetizing this morning $NOK @$15.3 $CRWV @$102 $IREN @$56 $QCOM $229

Big discount today in the market! What are you buying? I bought more $CRWV, $IREN and $RZLV. Thinking to start a position in $NBIS.

@bobsmailbox I don't think so. $AAOI has more risk but more upside potential. Could be a multibagger in a year or few. $AVGO is already a $2 trillion giant so I see less upside, but it's cheaper and a more solid pick.

@StocksSurfer Nice pick. Do you see more upside in $AVGO than $AAOI from current levels?

Just started a position in $AVGO. Earnings were actually good and imho has a good valuation right now, the cheapest amongst the photonics (I also own $AAOI, my favourite)

#Valeo $FR.PA is a crucial player in the EU Chips Act. It’s the ultimate bridge between raw chips and software defined vehicles (SDVs). With a market cap of only 4B they have €24B in total order book intake, fueled by secure, multi-year ADAS & Powertrain contracts with leading Chinese and European vendors. As Tier 1s scale localized Silicon Carbide (SiC) architectures and advanced safety platforms, the operating leverage is ready to trigger. Despite a massive +70% rally from past oversold bottoms, the underlying financial metrics look incredibly asymmetric. Here is why the valuation remains severely compressed. Looking closely at the numbers, Valeo is effectively trading like a legacy manufacturer while growing like a high-performance tech integrator: Forward P/E 10x: The market is discounting cyclical auto fears, but earnings are scaling up. P/S 0.25x: A textbook deep-value disconnect. The company generates roughly €20B in annual revenue while trading at about 4B. PEG around 0.4x: with expected EPS growth compounding significantly over the next 2-3 years via the Elevate 2028 plan. I still don't have a position in this, but definitely looking to start one.

@antibearthesis $INTR, fwd p/e 7, PEG 0.25, growing more than 35% YoY

What’s the most undervalued stock in the market right now?