Kick Off Profits

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Kick Off Profits

Kick Off Profits

@KickOFFprofits

Football Betting & Trading. Successful guides, systems, strategies and resources. Superb stats, trends and tips!

UK Beigetreten Eylül 2011
9.7K Folgt11.5K Follower
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Kick Off Profits
Kick Off Profits@KickOFFprofits·
Serving punters & traders with professional football data, tools & education to be successful in football betting and trading since 2011! Develop the right mindset now kickoffprofits.com
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Kick Off Profits
Kick Off Profits@KickOFFprofits·
@zostaff Divergence is not edge. Divergence is just disagreement.
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zostaff
zostaff@zostaff·
I BUILT A BOT THAT PREDICTS FOOTBALL MORE ACCURATELY THAN BOOKMAKERS 3 probability sources. ML model + Bet365 odds + Polymarket. When all three diverge - that's edge 5 seasons of EPL, La Liga, Bundesliga. 7,600+ matches. Each with goals, shots, possession, corners, cards, odds ELO rating using the FIFA formula - accounts for opponent strength, goal difference, home advantage. Not just W/D/L but the context behind every win xG proxy from basic stats - shots on target * 30% conversion + shots off target * 3%. Teams scoring more than they should - regression is coming Rolling averages over 5 matches, fatigue factor, head-to-head history, day of the week Claude API analyzes context the model can't see - motivation, pressure, derbies XGBoost + Random Forest + Logistic Regression in an ensemble. Walk-forward backtest, not random split Bookmaker says 55% home. Polymarket says 48%. Model says 52%. KL-divergence between sources = signal. The bigger the gap + the fatter the edge All three agree - I skip, zero edge. Two against one - I enter on the majority side Kelly sizes the position, Claude explains why
zostaff@zostaff

x.com/i/article/2043…

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Kick Off Profits
Kick Off Profits@KickOFFprofits·
Lay The Draw - FTT Football Trading System Tips Crusaders vs Carrick Rangers Glenavon vs Dungannon Swifts
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Kick Off Profits
Kick Off Profits@KickOFFprofits·
Lay The Draw - FTT Football Trading System Tips Millwall vs Bristol City Stoke City vs Sheffield United
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Kick Off Profits
Kick Off Profits@KickOFFprofits·
Lay The Draw - FTT Football Trading System Tips Sporting Braga vs Benfica Bucaspor 1928 vs Karacabey Birlikspor
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Kick Off Profits
Kick Off Profits@KickOFFprofits·
Lay The Draw - FTT Football Trading System Tips Burnley vs Everton Chelsea vs Aston Villa
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Kick Off Profits
Kick Off Profits@KickOFFprofits·
Lay The Draw - FTT Football Trading System Tips Ballymena United vs Coleraine Carrick Rangers vs Larne
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Kick Off Profits
Kick Off Profits@KickOFFprofits·
Football System Results – Mystery System #2 (23 Dec) | MC Alger vs ES Ben Aknoun Live snapshot for Under Corners AH • 11,122 plays tracked in the dataset • +511.53 units performance curve so far • 4.60% return on risk across the sample • Average price around 1.87
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Kick Off Profits
Kick Off Profits@KickOFFprofits·
Lay The Draw - FTT Football Trading System Tips Arsenal vs Crystal Palace
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Kick Off Profits
Kick Off Profits@KickOFFprofits·
I can give you a winning system, but you will still fail to make money... Shots on Target Under — System Output 1,789 picks • +155.44u • 8.69% ROI • 60.37% SR Today: Mali vs Zambia → Under 7.5 @ 1.83 (Africa Cup of Nations) I don’t chase days. I track the curve.
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Kick Off Profits
Kick Off Profits@KickOFFprofits·
Lay The Draw - FTT Football Trading System Tips Asteras Tripolis II vs Anagennisi Karditsas Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel Ramat Gan
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Kick Off Profits
Kick Off Profits@KickOFFprofits·
Mystery System #3 • Long-Term Edge Check ⚙️ Sample so far: • 1,786 tracked selections • +154.78u performance curve • 8.67% ROI • 60.36% strike rate Today’s qualifier: Villarreal vs FC Barcelona (La Liga) → Under 10.5 @ 1.83
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Kick Off Profits
Kick Off Profits@KickOFFprofits·
Lay The Draw - FTT Football Trading System Tips Yverdon Sport vs Rapperswil-Jona FSV Mainz 05 vs St. Pauli
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Kick Off Profits
Kick Off Profits@KickOFFprofits·
Newcastle United vs Chelsea Track record: • 1,780 selections logged • +155.06u result curve • 8.71% ROI • 60.39% SR Today’s filter match: Newcastle United vs Chelsea (Premier League) Under 9.5 @ 1.72 I care more about the next 1,000 plays than the next 1.
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Kick Off Profits
Kick Off Profits@KickOFFprofits·
Lay The Draw - FTT Football Trading System Tips Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Newcastle United vs Chelsea
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Kick Off Profits
Kick Off Profits@KickOFFprofits·
Under Corners AH — System Output 11,099 picks • +507.61u • 4.57% ROI • 52.96% SR Today: Stade Nyonnais vs Neuchâtel Xamax → Under 9 @ 1.80 (Challenge League) I don’t chase days. I track the curve.
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Kick Off Profits
Kick Off Profits@KickOFFprofits·
What is Momentum Engine, and how to profit from it in football in-play football trading?
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Tradethat
Tradethat@Tradethat1·
@KickOFFprofits and you lost everything you re loser you mae money by selling subscriptions to stupid people
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Kick Off Profits
Kick Off Profits@KickOFFprofits·
Inside Mystery System #3 📉📈 Current long-term snapshot: • 1,775 picks recorded • +156.60u up/down over the curve • 8.82% ROI • 60.45% hit rate Today’s rules say: Crystal Palace vs Manchester City — Premier League Under 9.5 @ 1.72
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