Mrecio

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Mrecio

@m5rec

Los Angeles, CA Beigetreten Aralık 2014
265 Folgt93 Follower
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BullsKickAss
BullsKickAss@Bullskickass·
This tribute by @CHSN__ on Stacey King will make you cry. Amazing job on it. RIP the King.
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Jason Cohen 🇺🇸
Jason Cohen 🇺🇸@JasonJournoDC·
💥NEW: Steve Hilton *STUNS* Billy Bush with California mail-in ballot loophole🤯 HILTON: “You can backdate your ballot by hand — and it will be counted. That’s how INSANE this system is!” BUSH: “I didn’t even know that. That is OUTRAGEOUS. Oh my God!”
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Insurrection Barbie
Insurrection Barbie@DefiyantlyFree·
Had AI run a statistical analysis on Pratt coming in 3rd based on the ballot drops. See below: The trajectory established in the first three batches showed the gap closing at 0.18 points per 1% of ballots counted. The late batches closed the gap at 0.54 points per 1% counted. The late batches were moving 3 times faster than the early batches established. If the trajectory from the first three batches had simply continued, Pratt would still have been leading by +2.93 points at 83% counted. He was actually trailing by -0.40 points. The late batches moved 3.33 points further toward Raman than the established trajectory predicted. The z-scores on that deviation are -7.81 and -11.29 for the last two batches. The probability of both late batches deviating that far from the established trajectory by chance is effectively zero. The t-statistic for the acceleration between early and late batch rates is -6.225. With two degrees of freedom, anything above 4.303 is significant at the 5% level. This is well past that. The plain English answer: The early batches established a clear, consistent trajectory. The late batches didn’t continue that trajectory they moved three times faster in the same direction. That acceleration is not explained by the trajectory that preceded it. The probability that it happened by chance is statistically indistinguishable from zero.
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Truth Is Freedom
Truth Is Freedom@TruthAnswersAll·
THE FORMULAS WHAT THEY MEAN AND WHY THEY MATTER I derived four deterministic linear formulas from the ballot drop data: Raman% = 27.87 + (3.19 × drop number) Pratt% = 22.05 - (1.17 × drop number) Bass% = 40.20 - (1.86 × drop number) Other% = 9.88 - (0.16 × drop number) The Starting Points The constants - 27.87, 22.05, 40.20, 9.88 - represent each candidate’s baseline. Where they genuinely stood when post-election counting began. Real votes. Organic support. These are the numbers before anything unusual occurs. The Slopes - How the Formula Runs The slope is the increment applied to each candidate every single drop. It gets multiplied by drop number - 1, 2, 3, 4 - which means the effect escalates automatically with each drop. So for Raman it isn’t just plus 3.19% every drop. It’s: Drop 1: 27.87 + (3.19 × 1) = 31.06% Drop 2: 27.87 + (3.19 × 2) = 34.25% Drop 3: 27.87 + (3.19 × 3) = 37.44% Drop 4: 27.87 + (3.19 × 4) = 40.63% Drop 5 predicted: 27.87 + (3.19 × 5) = 43.82% Each drop pushes her further from her baseline. It is built in. Automatic by design. The slopes also sum to exactly zero. +3.19 - 1.17 - 1.86 - 0.16 = 0.00 Every percentage point Raman gains comes precisely from the other three candidates/groups combined. This is a closed system. Conservation of votes. The formula doesn’t create votes - it redistributes them. The R Values - The results were remarkable To validate these formulas I ran linear regression analysis. The Pearson correlation coefficients, R values, came back as follows: Raman vs Pratt: R = 0.9966 Raman vs Bass: R = 0.9934 Raman vs Batch: R = 0.9984 Raman vs Other: R = 0.9794 R values measure how perfectly data fits a straight line. They run from 0 to 1. 0 means completely random. No pattern whatsoever. 1 means a perfect straight line. Every point exactly where predicted. For context: 0.70 is considered strong in social science research. 0.85 gets researchers excited. 0.90+ is extraordinarily rare in human behavioral data. Squaring them to get R² values: Raman vs Pratt: R² = 0.9932 Raman vs Bass: R² = 0.9869 Raman vs Other: R² = 0.9592 Raman vs Batch: R² = 0.9968 That last number, 0.9968, means that 99.68% of Raman’s vote share movement across these drops is explained by a single variable. Drop number. Nothing else. Just counting to five. You get R values like that in physics experiments. In controlled laboratory conditions. Measuring the expansion of metal under heat. Not in elections. Not in a major American city with millions of diverse voters casting ballots across weeks. The Slope Relationship The slope of 3.110 between Raman and Pratt is particularly significant. It means for every percentage point Pratt lost Raman gained 3.110 points. Every drop. Without variation. Without noise. Candidates in a democratic election don’t move in mathematical opposition to each other at a fixed ratio across 200,000 ballots. Four variables in an equation do. Why The Shutoff Had To Exist Because drop number keeps increasing, the formula keeps pushing percentages further from baseline. Left unchecked by drop 7 the math produces: Raman: 27.87 + (3.19 × 7) = 50.2% Pratt: 22.05 - (1.17 × 7) = 13.9% Bass: 40.20 - (1.86 × 7) = 27.2% So the formula was never intended to run to completion. It was designed to run until a specific objective was achieved, Raman leading Pratt by a sufficient margin to secure the runoff and then stop. The stopping condition appears to have been triggered at approximately 38,000 votes into drop 5. The precise moment Raman crossed 3,000 votes ahead of Pratt. After that point the remaining 9,800 votes in drop 5 distributed at approximately the baseline that existed after drop four. The formula completed its task. Then it stopped. And the numbers went back to looking normal.
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James O'Keefe
James O'Keefe@JamesOKeefeIII·
🚨Los Angeles Election Fraud Caught on Hidden Camera LA election petitioners were caught on tape giving homeless individuals other voters' information, instructing them to forge voter names and signatures, and offering cash and drugs as incentives to register to vote.
James O'Keefe@JamesOKeefeIII

CALIFORNIA ELECTIONS FRAUD CASH FOR BALLOTS PART I: Homeless Bribed with Cash & Drugs In Exchange For Registering To Vote & Signing Election Petitions Caught On Tape Undercover On Skid Row In California. “You can just put Pinocchio Lane.” California NGOs Encourage Fake Addresses To Homeless People To Sign Petitions & Register Voters, A State & Federal Felony. Footage Shows 28 Instances Of Cash Changing Hands For Ballot Signatures & Voter Registration Forms. Many of the petitioners had no understanding of the petitions’ purpose they were advertising. Circulators also instructed individuals to use fake addresses. “Oh, you can just fake an address.” Weingart Center, which received hundreds of millions in public funding, is on tape directing people to where the fraudulent petitioners are located, and directing homeless individuals to petitioners & coaching plausible deniability. “See they say ignorance is no excuse for the law. But a lot of times, I have to say ‘I didn’t know, I had no idea.’” We encountered 28 instances of petitioners offering cash, cigarettes, and marijuana for signatures on petitions. Weingart employees advised: “See they say ignorance is no excuse for the law. But a lot of times, I have to say ‘I didn’t know, I had no idea.’” All happening outside taxpayer-funded housing organizations. Weingart CEO earned $432,000 before resigning from the Los Angeles County Affordable Housing Solutions Agency. James O’Keefe and the OMG Team went undercover on Skid Row, posing as homeless individuals. On hidden cameras, petitioners admitted they are paid $7–$10 per signature, sometimes earning $1,000 or more per day, collecting signatures from individuals with minimal knowledge of what they were signing. “$7 a signature, $5 a signature, $10 a signature.” “We gon’ give you $2.” Populus Inc., a political consulting firm, was circulating petitions funded by @Uber, @Delta, @United, and the American Hotel & Lodging Association (@AHLA). On camera, one petitioner said, “We have one that taxes billionaires 5%. One-time tax. 5% and that’s gonna go towards healthcare.” Other petitions sought to overturn LA’s $30 minimum wage for hotel and airline workers. Paying per signature and encouraging fake addresses violates federal and state election law and is proof of fraud happening in California. Weingart employees were caught directing the homeless to the location of the petitioners and coaching them on plausible deniability. Intake coordinator Jason Warren told an undercover journalist exactly where and when to find them: “Most time they be right across the street, under that tree… Monday through Friday.” In 2016, nine individuals were arrested on Skid Row for exchanging cash and cigarettes for signatures; in 2019 they were charged on 14 counts under the exact same California Elections Code section. Yet when confronted, nearby LAPD officers dismissed the activity as “a civil lawsuit.” “Paying per signature violates state election law and is evidence of election fraud in California,” the investigation concludes. On Skid Row, we captured conduct on tape that violates Federal Law 52 U.S. Code §10307 and state law California Election Code §18603. Part II coming soon. @CAgovernor @MayorOfLA @AGPamBondi @TheJusticeDept @NathanHochmanDA @GovPressOffice @LADAOffice @CASOSVote @USAttyEssayli @GavinNewsom Follow Citizen Justice League @ctznjusticelg A network of citizen journalists exposing corruption and demanding accountability for America YT: @citizenjusticeleague?si=SYUXXv7nN0eshG_a" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">youtube.com/@citizenjustic… IG: instagram.com/citizenjustice… FB: facebook.com/share/1CdcJb1b… TikTok: @citizenjusticeleague?_r=1&_t=ZP-94juhHbdzIN" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">tiktok.com/@citizenjustic… Paid partnerships with: American Independence Gold: Free Extra Gold & Silver with Qualifying Purchases. Go to OKEEFEMEDIAGOLD.com

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Vicky Verma
Vicky Verma@Unexplained2020·
Former Canadian Defense Minister Paul Hellyer (passed 2021) didn’t mince words: “UFOs are REAL. Multiple alien species have visited Earth for thousands of years.” He named the star systems: Zeta Reticuli, Pleiades, Orion, Andromeda, Altair. Some are working with the U.S. government, he claimed, sharing tech like microchips, fiber optics, and advanced materials. Military has shot UFOs down. We’ve back-engineered the crashes. Most species are friendly, Hellyer said. Stop treating them as enemies. Cooperate instead of building Star Wars-style space weapons. One of the highest-ranking officials in history to say it out loud. Friends… or something else?👽 What do you think?👇
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Benny Johnson
Benny Johnson@bennyjohnson·
They want you to believe this happened in the LA Mayors race… 3rd place jumps to 1st in *every* ballot drop *after* Election Day Defies all mathematical probability, the law of averages and has never happened in US election history No one with a functional brain believes this
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Mrecio@m5rec·
@Alt_Azn We always knew the mail in votes would skew hard YES on more taxes lol. That’s the story they’ll sell.
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AltAzn
AltAzn@Alt_Azn·
Why would voters who mail their ballots at the last minute disproportionately support higher taxes on themselves? It sure does boggle the noggin. 🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔
Marc Joffe@marcjoffe

LA Measure ER has crept up to 49.2% as the count grinds on, now within reach of passing. Many election workers belong to SEIU 721 which has put $500K into the Yes on ER campaign and will benefit if the sales tax passes.

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Mrecio@m5rec·
Yea the math don’t make sense… Per ChatGPT, the odds that *Raman received 22% of the vote thru the first 64% of votes counted, including 20% of mail-in votes, *and since the election ended she received 41% of the next 19% of ballots counted, nearly entirely from mail in votes, *given the different population sets, mail-in vs in-person is… The equivalent to WINNING THE POWERBALL 7X IN A ROW!! She’s just one lucky candidate I suppose.
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Mrecio@m5rec·
@JamieKennedy Also the odds Pratt got 0 votes in that drop are, wait for it…. The equivalent to WINNING THE POWERBALL 450 TIMES IN A ROW!!!
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Jamie Kennedy
Jamie Kennedy@JamieKennedy·
There are certain rules that one must abide by when counting ballots in a primary election. CA obeys NONE of them. HTBITY
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TONY™
TONY™@TONYxTWO·
Hey @grok Explain this to me like I’m 5
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Mrecio@m5rec·
How do you make sense of this math though… Per ChatGPT, the odds that *Raman received 22% of the vote thru the first 64% of votes counted, including 20% of mail-in votes, *and since the election ended she’s received 41% of the next 19% of ballots counted, nearly entirely from mail in votes, *given the different population sets, mail-in vs in-person is… The equivalent to WINNING THE POWERBALL 7X IN A ROW!! She’s just one lucky candidate I suppose.
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Tim Miller
Tim Miller@Timodc·
The theory here is that election officials working for the incumbent LA mayor rigged the election to ensure a general election opponent that has a chance to beat her? A strange conspiracy
Will Chamberlain@willchamberlain

Correct Kalshi will have the information on whoever decided to start betting on Raman when there was no public information indicating that the ballots would shift so decisively in her favor Good place for @billessayli to start

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Mrecio@m5rec·
How do you make sense of this man though… Per ChatGPT, the odds that *Raman received 22% of the vote thru the first 64% of votes counted, including 20% of mail-in votes, *and since the election ended she’s received 41% of the next 19% of ballots counted, nearly entirely from mail in votes, *given the different population sets, mail-in vs in-person is… The equivalent to WINNING THE POWERBALL 7X IN A ROW!! She’s just one lucky candidate I suppose.
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Jon Favreau
Jon Favreau@jonfavs·
Should probably rub those crystals harder next time
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Mrecio@m5rec·
How do you make sense of this math though… Per ChatGPT, the odds that *Raman received 22% of the vote thru the first 64% of votes counted, including 20% of mail-in votes, *and since the election ended she’s received 41% of the next 19% of ballots counted, nearly entirely from mail in votes, *given the different population sets, mail-in vs in-person is… The equivalent to WINNING THE POWERBALL 7X IN A ROW!! She’s just one lucky candidate I suppose.
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