ATFX

𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐒𝐧𝐚𝐩𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐭 – 𝟑𝟎 𝐀𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐥 𝐔.𝐒. 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 U.S. $stock markets had a mixed day yesterday as investors juggled a hawkish Fed and high-profile earnings updates due after the bell. Treasury yields drove higher after the Fed update, as did the dollar against the majors, with $USDJPY noticeably above the 160 mark again. 𝐎𝐢𝐥, 𝐆𝐨𝐥𝐝 $Oil prices surged higher again to hit multi-week highs, with Brent notching up its highest level since June 2022 as news hit the market that President Trump had discussed the impact of a prolonged naval blockade with senior U.S. Oil executives. $Gold dropped on the stronger greenback to hit monthly lows. 💡It is another packed day on the macroeconomic calendar today, with both the Bank of England and the ECB set to make rate updates and some major tier 1 data due out of the U.S. Add the likely geopolitical updates on the Middle East and it should be another busy day for traders.

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FOMC Day. Which way is the $Fed flying today?

$WTI crude is at a key pivot near $100. Near-term prices are supported by Strait of $Hormuz supply risks, while the UAE’s exit from $OPEC adds longer-term uncertainty. Geopolitical concerns currently outweigh bearish supply expectations. Holding above $98–$100 keeps a cautiously bullish outlook with potential upside to $102–$105. A break below that range, especially if tensions ease, could trigger a drop toward $96 or $92. Key triggers include: ✅Strait of $Hormuz risk: ongoing disruption vs easing ✅UAE OPEC exit: expectations for higher future supply ✅EIA inventory data: confirmation of API crude drawdown ✅Oil above $100: impact on inflation and Fed rate-cut expectations ✅Price reaction: Levels around $98, $100, and $105 will determine bullish or bearish direction.

Will Hormuz Risk and OPEC Uncertainty Drive $Oil to $105? Technical analysis in the thread ⬇️

𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐒𝐧𝐚𝐩𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐭 – 𝟐𝟗 𝐀𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐥 𝐔.𝐒. 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 U.S. $stocks fell in trading yesterday as concerns on AI growth reared their heads again, with the tech indices taking the bigger hits off record levels. U.S. treasury yields pushed higher again ahead of the FOMC rate announcement later today, while the dollar also gained ground on the majors. 𝐎𝐢𝐥, 𝐆𝐨𝐥𝐝 $Oil prices continued to drive higher as concerns over the Strait of Hormuz outweighed news that the UAE will step out of OPEC, whilst $gold dropped hard after breaking through recent support levels. 💡It’s a big day on the calendar for traders with some key inflation data due out early in the day, as well as interest rate calls from the major North American central banks.

𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐒𝐧𝐚𝐩𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐭 – 𝟐𝟖 𝐀𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐥 𝐔.𝐒. 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 U.S. markets experienced a cautious trading day to kick off a big week ahead as investors digested the latest updates from the Middle East, with the U.S. looking at a fresh proposal from Iran on the Strait of Hormuz. Treasury yields pushed back higher again while the dollar closed near flat after trading in familiar ranges. 𝐎𝐢𝐥, 𝐆𝐨𝐥𝐝 $Oil prices pushed higher again as supply concerns continued to weigh and $gold fell. 💡The economic calendar kicks into action today with the Bank of Japan, the first of five major central banks for the week, due to deliver its interest rate call, but once again, geopolitical updates are set to dominate sentiment.

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𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐒𝐧𝐚𝐩𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐭 – 𝟐𝟕 𝐀𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐥 𝐔.𝐒. 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 U.S. tech indices $Nasdaq $Spx closed the week out at record levels in trading on Friday, while the $Dow drifted slightly lower. U.S. Treasury yields and the $dollar dropped lower after news hit the market that the Department of Justice is closing its investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell, paving the way for Kevin Warsh to be appointed as his successor. 𝐎𝐢𝐥, 𝐆𝐨𝐥𝐝 $Oil prices were mixed on the final trading day of the week, although they remain elevated as talks in the Gulf remain a hope rather than a certainty at the moment, while $gold pushed higher on the back of the weaker dollar. 💡 News over the weekend of a shooting incident at an event in Washington attended by President Trump is unlikely to see much of a reaction in markets on the Monday open, however, updates that he cancelled U.S. negotiators' planned trip to Pakistan may see some downside momentum at the start of the week.

𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐒𝐧𝐚𝐩𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐭 – 𝟐𝟒 𝐀𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐥 𝐔.𝐒. 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 U.S. stock markets fell in trading yesterday as tensions in the Middle East increased with both the U.S. and Iran intensifying naval activity near the Strait of Hormuz. All three of the major indices closed the day lower, whilst treasury yields and the dollar pushed higher. 𝐎𝐢𝐥, 𝐆𝐨𝐥𝐝 $Oil prices drove higher again as the ceasefire in the Gulf seemed to come under more threat, while $XAUUSD dropped on the stronger greenback. 💡It is another relatively quiet day on the macroeconomic calendar today, however traders are expecting another lively day to close out the week with all eyes on the simmering tensions in the Middle East.

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𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐒𝐧𝐚𝐩𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐭 – 𝟐𝟑 𝐀𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐥 𝐔.𝐒. 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 U.S. $stock markets rallied strongly in trading yesterday as the ceasefire in the Gulf held and corporate earnings continued to remain solid. Other markets reflected a more cautious sentiment; U.S. Treasury yields and the $dollar both gained ground on the day. 𝐎𝐢𝐥, 𝐆𝐨𝐥𝐝 $Oil markets pushed higher again with solana:kLqMvUm1p4pRbxU4r8kWCTVAuWMJLtcTJqGb4b5pump closing through the $100 level as they continued to price in further supply issues with the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed, while gold recovered some of the previous day’s losses. 💡 There is a raft of Flash PMI data out across various jurisdictions today, however again, traders are expecting geopolitical updates to dominate.

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