Richard Holmes 🕷

🔴 Le New York Times vient de publier le récit le plus accablant sur Trump depuis le début de la guerre. Et c'est une bombe. Jonathan Swan et Maggie Haberman, deux journalistes de la Maison Blanche, révèlent comment Trump a pris la décision d'entrer en guerre contre l'Iran. Ce qu'ils décrivent est exactement ce que j'analyse dans Le Pantin de la Maison Blanche. Voici les faits. Netanyahu a vendu un rêve. Le 11 février, dans la Situation Room, le Premier ministre israélien a présenté un scénario en quatre actes : tuer le Guide Suprême, détruire l'armée iranienne, déclencher une révolution populaire, installer un nouveau régime. Il a même montré une vidéo de montage avec les "futurs dirigeants" de l'Iran. Trump a répondu : "Sounds good to me." En une phrase, il venait de sceller le destin de la région. Le lendemain, la CIA a dit que c'était du vent. Les parties 3 et 4 du pitch de Netanyahu, la révolution populaire et le changement de régime, ont été qualifiées de "farce" par Ratcliffe lui-même. Rubio a traduit : "In other words, it's bullshit." Le général Caine a ajouté : "C'est la procédure standard des Israéliens. Ils survendent, et leurs plans ne sont pas toujours bien développés." Trump a entendu. Et il a quand même dit oui. Vance a tout vu. Le vice-président était le seul dans la pièce à s'opposer frontalement, avertissant que la guerre pourrait "détruire la coalition politique de Trump", que le Détroit d'Ormuz était le vrai point de vulnérabilité, que personne ne pouvait prédire les représailles iraniennes quand la survie d'un régime était en jeu. Il a dit : "Tu sais que je pense que c'est une mauvaise idée. Mais si tu veux le faire, je te soutiendrai." Ce n'est pas du courage politique. C'est de la déférence. Susie Wiles a regardé. La cheffe de cabinet, qui avait des inquiétudes, a estimé que ce n'était "pas son rôle" de s'exprimer sur une décision militaire devant les autres. Elle a "encouragé les conseillers à partager leurs vues." Elle s'est tue. Le général Caine n'a jamais dit non. Il a exposé les risques : diminution des stocks de munitions, Détroit d'Ormuz, pas de voie claire vers la victoire. Puis il a dit : "Si vous ordonnez l'opération, l'armée exécutera." Trump, lui, "entendait seulement ce qu'il voulait entendre." Et Trump a signé à bord d'Air Force One, 22 minutes avant la deadline fixée par son propre général : "Operation Epic Fury is approved. No aborts. Good luck." Voilà comment on entre en guerre au XXIe siècle. Pas avec une délibération solennelle. Pas avec un vote du Congrès. Pas avec une stratégie de sortie. Avec un slide show de Netanyahu, un "sounds good to me", et une note envoyée depuis un avion. Dans Le Pantin de la Maison Blanche, j'écris que les vrais décideurs sont ceux qui préparent les présentations que Trump regarde. Netanyahu l'a compris mieux que quiconque. Il a mis en scène une heure de spectacle visuel dans la Situation Room avec Mossad en fond d'écran, des vidéos de "futurs dirigeants", une promesse de victoire rapide et propre. Et Trump a dit oui. Pendant que Vance, Rubio, Wiles et Caine regardaient. Voici l'article du New-York Times : nytimes.com/2026/04/07/us/… 📖 Le Pantin de la Maison Blanche → amazon.fr/dp/B0GPCCMS68/

Variety Hires Guy Lodge as Chief Film Critic variety.com/2026/film/news…

@EdKrassen He’s going to pretend to die and come back to life on Easter, isn’t he?

Now this is one wild story. The amount of lawsuits coming down the pipeline with stories like this is going to be astronomical.

Thomas Massie drops a bombshell, saying Pam Bondi was absolutely ready to release the Epstein files until an unknown person got to her and told her she better not. "Somebody got to Pam Bondi and said it’s your job to cover this up."

Watched University Challenge with my dad last night for the first time in about 20 years. Was pleased with myself for getting the maths questions right. Then I remembered I am a professor of mathematics. Took the shine off.

After spending much of this month in the Gulf covering the war from Saudi and Qatar I’m not optimistic as to a quick way out of this mess. A ‘deal’ would involve either US or Iran making big concessions. #Iran has both geography and time on its side. A ground war cd be v messy.

PAUL HOLDEN STATEMENT IN RESPONSE TO INTERVIEW WITH JOSH SIMONS ON BBC NEWSCAST Yesterday, BBC Newscast published a lengthy, forty-minute interview with former Cabinet Minister Josh Simons MP. The interview addressed how Simons, as a director of @LabourTogether, had appointed a firm called APCO Worldwide to investigate me and my colleagues. I was not told by the BBC ahead of the broadcast that the episode was being recorded or aired. I was not approached to respond to the lengthy comments made about me or the small anti-corruption organisation, @ShadowWorldInv1 , that I run with my colleague @andrewfeinstein. Andrew, who is also repeatedly mentioned, was also not approached for comment. I only found out last night, when a friend texted me, that the person who hired a major multinational reputation management firm that produced a despicable and defamatory report on me and my colleagues, and who reported me on the basis of these false and defamatory reports to the UK’s security services, was being given forty minutes to give his version of events on a major podcast published by our national broadcaster. To be clear, the BBC has NEVER - not once - approached me to comment on a story that is, ultimately, about me, my investigations, my family and my colleagues. They did not approach me when the story first broke, and they did not approach me for this episode. If the BBC had done so, I would have raised several issues with the way in which matters related to me were discussed. For example, Simons repeatedly stated in the interview that he instructed APCO to investigate whether my reporting or sourcing derived from a ‘hack’ of the Electoral Commission. The word ‘hack’ is used eight times in the interview. At no time was it acknowledged in this discussion that this allegation – that I might have received hacked materials – is entirely false, and I have repeatedly proven it to be false. Following the broadcast, I contacted the BBC to complain and to raise serious issues with the broadcast. I was contacted by the Newscast editor, Sam Bonham, to say the BBC would update the Newscast episode and further reporting to reflect some of my concerns. This has not yet happened with regards to the podcast, although I note some online reporting finally reflects a very small and limited sampling of my comments. I will wait to see if amendments and updates will follow. If they do not, I will be escalating this matter to OFCOM. In the interim, I have decided to share the full statement I provided to the BBC, which is produced below: I would like to put certain things on the record. First, my reporting on Labour Together and Morgan McSweeney was entirely factually accurate and based on impeccable, legal sourcing. My sourcing has been reviewed by multiple media outlets, who confirmed the authenticity and legal provenance of my sources. Revelations based on my book, The Fraud, has subsequently been covered widely across the mainstream media, including in multiple front-page scoops, in outlets such as The Times, Daily Mail, The Guardian, The National and ITV. The stories I produced in 2023 and 2024, and which prompted Labour Together's investigation into me, were subject to extensive editorial and legal checks. They were, I believe, entirely accurate reporting on matters of profound public interest, which included raising concerns about the character of powerful individuals like Morgan McSweeney. Considering the recent Mandelson affair, I believe I have been entirely vindicated in attempting to alert the public about McSweeney's past, including how McSweeney made use of £700,000 in funding that he unlawfully failed to declare to the Electoral Commission to procure power and influence for himself and Sir Keir Starmer. Second, Josh Simons states that he never intended for APCO Worldwide to investigate me or my journalistic colleagues. However, a copy of the contract between APCO Worldwide and Labour Together, addressed to Simons, has now been published. The contract sets out a scope of work written in plain English. It states that APCO will 'investigate the sourcing, funding, origins of a Sunday Times article as well as upcoming works by authors Paul Holden and Matt Taibbi.' The contract then states that the aim of the APCO investigation will be to 'provide a body of evidence that could be packaged up in the media in order to create narratives that would proactively undermine any future attacks on Labour Together.' The contract then sets out a range of potentially invasive investigative methods that will be used to generate this 'package', including 'financial investigations' and 'human intelligence investigations.' I provide the full text of this contract below. This contract is clear. APCO were hired to investigate me to produce materials that would 'proactively undermine' my factually accurate, public interest reporting. They would use a range of investigative techniques to do so. APCO then did exactly as was suggested in the contract, using these investigative methods to "investigate" me. This investigation has caused me and my family significant anxiety and distress. Third, Josh Simons was provided with a report called Operation Cannon. It is the result of a lengthy investigation into me and my colleagues by APCO Worldwide. I have seen a copy of this report. It makes a series of extremely defamatory and utterly false allegations against me. It identifies my home address and sets out private information about my family. I cannot express how profoundly shocking, outrageous and defamatory this report truly is. Simons may claim he never intended for APCO to investigate me, but on receipt of this despicable report, he then chose to use it. He submitted sections of the report to the National Cyber Security Centre to convince them to investigate me. The Guardian has published the email correspondence in which Simons repeated some of the substance of the allegations in the APCO reports. Fourth, multiple media freedom advocacy organisations, including the NUJ, have strongly criticised the APCO investigation and these related matters. They have all, to my mind correctly, strongly criticised Labour Together and APCO for investigating journalists producing factually accurate reporting in the public interest. Finally, I am still reviewing the Newscast interview. I will be responding in due course and I hope that the BBC will, this time, give me the platform to set out what really happened and why. Text of Contract Between Labour Together and APCO Worldwide, addressed to Josh Simons Dear Mr Simons We are pleased that you have selected APCO Worldwide Limited (“APCO”) to provide the following scope of work (“services”) during Term: APCO will devise a concise strategy to aid Labour Together. APCO will investigate the sourcing, funding and origins of a Sunday Times article about Labour Together, as well as upcoming works by authors Paul Holden and Matt Taibbi – to establish who and what are behind the coordinated attacks on Labour Together. The approach should provide a body of evidence that could be packaged up for use in the media in order to create narratives that would proactively undermine any future attacks on Labour Together. The material can also inform any future legal strategy that Labour Together might wish to pursue against any of these parties. The work will include: • Open Source Investigations (OSINT): Recovery and Preservation of Evidence • Human Intelligence Investigation (HUMINT): Recovery and Preservation of Evidence • Financial Investigation: Forensic Accounting Focus • Digital Forensics Investigation: Recovery and Preservation of Evidence • Stakeholder Outreach • Media Packaging and Dissemination

Starmer just told Trump: You can mock me all you want, but I'm not sending British kids to die for your losing war.

Personal View: BBC journalism is disgracefully maligned by my old newspaper world, by Trump and commercially-focussed idealogues, yet here at home I just watched @BowenBBC on Iran, followed by @FrankRGardner, followed by the wonderful @VitalyBBC from Kyiv…. I was in US last week… let me tell you NO news organisation is as good as this, no journalists as clear and free, the new DG needs to fill the newsroom with confidence and….defiance…. it is time to wave the BBC flag.

What a beautiful day at ⁦@rookerymarket⁩ and ⁦@poppymakesmusic⁩ made it feel like a golden summer garden party.

Imagine if the Japanese PM - or anybody - made a 'joke' about Bin Laden not "telling anyone about 9/11" - think about that - put what Trump has said in proper context.

Don Tzu: You can’t lose if you don’t have a goal.

NEW: Nigel Farage has sold videos in which he endorsed a neo-Nazi event, repeated extremist slogans and supported a man convicted over his involvement in a far-right riot - Henry Dyer & Michael Goodier report theguardian.com/uk-news/ng-int…

A big decision coming soon for Keir Starmer: can Britain really allow the King to pay a state visit to the US when Pres Trump is so publicly insulting to the UK?

Mojtaba Khamenei after being named supreme leader of Iran 😭

Imagine if WWIII starts with the IDF assassinating Franz Ferdinand.

Our thanks to @catherinerusse2 for her support for #StreathamHillTheatre. #LoveYourLocalTheatre