Masuko

As excited as I am that a takeoff seems to have begun and we are entering a golden age of science, one thing remains: I'm hearing more and more from all sides that AGI is within reach. This applies to Google (AGI, Physical AGI), as well as OpenAI and Anthropic. The only caveat: there's no unified definition of what AGI actually is. There have been attempts to standardize a definition, and in my opinion, the most sensible one is Google DeepMind's. But as long as we're talking about different things, it's difficult to find common ground to say *when* AGI will be achieved (which AGI).

@jameslavish @AndreasSteno

Can I say something?

@APompliano @DaveShapi

I have changed my mind on how AI will impact jobs in America. Previously, I believed AI would replace many entry level roles typically filled by young employees. The technology would then work its way up the organization and eventually reduce the total number of jobs in a company. The data is saying something different, so when I get new information I am willing to change my mind. The number of software engineers being hired has been increasing. The number of open software engineer roles is growing. The number of new college grads who get hired has increased 5.6% over the last 12 months. The unemployment level for people aged 20-24 years old who have a college degree has fallen from nearly 9% to almost 5% as well. The Wall Street Journal recently wrote “AI created 640,000 jobs between 2023 and 2025 in the U.S., according to an analysis by LinkedIn of job posting data, including new white-collar positions such as Head of AI and AI engineer.” And I am starting to see companies throughout our portfolio aggressively hiring to keep up with the demand for their products and services. If AI can make employees more productive, which is widely accepted as fact, then companies are going to want as many productive units of labor as possible. This is a key reason why I am changing my mind. AI appears to be a magical technology that will make companies more productive and more profitable. The net result will be more corporations, more startups, and more jobs. All three are big, positive wins for the American economy.

@mckaywrigley Yes please!

looking for a handful of people to test something new... i've been using it for a few months and am prepping to share. if you're a fan of claude cowork, openclaw, manus, perplexity computer, etc then you're a perfect fit. this will self destruct in 4hrs - please dm or reply.

@levelsio @emollick

There's now multiple projects going on trying to visualize multi-Cursor or multi-Claude Code workflows in a kind of skeuomorphic way First time I see a real attempt at new interfaces for managing all of this Very interesting to see!

@felixleezd Yes, please!

Designers, if you're starting vibe coding or build this new year, I want to gift one of you a 3-month subscription of Claude Pro to support. <3 Just drop a comment below. Happy New Year!

@pmitu Almost. we turn kids’ drawings into short animated movies. Creativity studio for kids.

@0x6325 Filming movies?

share a screenshot of your product's interface I'll go first 👇

@bentossell @bentossell

@BrianRoemmele + bonus

@BrianRoemmele @BrianRoemmele thank you!! I made this for you

MERRY CHRISTMAS! This is the last Christmas before the Age Of Abundace begins as we walk out together the next 5000 days. I have assembled the 30 books you should master to realign your life’s meaning. You are not “what do you do for a living?”. You are your biggest… gift.

@nimentrix Here's one I just made: My kid's messy drawing turned into a little animated film with sound. Made with doodlekino.com/xmas Thanks for the showcase! ❤️

Hello my dear creators friends! ✨ Any image or video created recently you want to share? This is the place! 🎉

Nano Banana Pro Idea 🍌 I know this prompt has been posted already but I've not seen it done on movies. Here are 2 examples. The parts of the prompt you need to edit are in (BOLD) Present a clear, 45° top-down isometric miniature 3D cartoon scene of the iconic scene of (RIPLEY IN THE POWER LOADER BATTLING ALIEN QUEEN) from (ALIENS), with soft refined textures, realistic PBR materials, and gentle lifelike lighting. Create a small raised diorama-style base that includes the most recognisable elements of this scene, along with tiny stylised characters if needed (no facial details). Use a clean solid (SULACO SHIP GREY) background. At the top center, display (ALIENS) in large bold text, directly beneath it show (RIPLEY VS. QUEEN) in medium text, and place the official logo associated with (ALIENS) below the subtext. All text must automatically match the background contrast (white or black). Composition: perfectly centered layout, square 1080x1080, ultra-clean, high-clarity diorama aesthetic.

@levelsio @DaveShapi

Great thread about investment post-AGI I've been thinking a lot about it recently and switching my investments up a bit Post-AGI there's a prediction the prices of almost everything will go to close to zero Think for example the food you eat, if it can be farmed fully automatic (farming already is highly automated btw), it's then shipped by self-driving robots (maybe 5-10 years away?), which run on cheap energy from renewables or fusion etc, then the cost can get close to zero. Then think the services sector etc. same stuff So what do you invest in post-AGI then? I thought about it a bit and here's my ideas: - physical assets like land, real estate, infrastructure - energy: AGI still runs on compute so you need energy and lots of it, see how much energy GPUs suck now - raw materials: to build the chips, batteries, robots - AI infra: GPUs (like Nvidia), fabs (like TSMC), ASML, datacenters, etc. - luxury/status: art, experiences and fashion because they will remain - authentic/human connection: services that offer that, even online and digital may be big, AI influencers will exist but most people will still want REAL human connection - security: depending how the world goes with AI, there will either be no income inequality anymore, or lots of it, investing in private security or military defense stuff might make sense - biotech: as @bryan_johnson shows us, once everything is cheap and everyone is kinda rich (possible) staying healthy will be the new priority in life when people don't need to work anymore Expecting most regular company products to go to zero post-AGI, I started to move some S&P500 into full tech ETFs, and I bought a home and now looking at buying land

@pmarca @DaveShapi

This necessarily would mean productivity growth to the moon, prices of goods and services collapse, consumer utopia for pennies per day.

@DaveShapi you should have been the guest in this podcast youtu.be/pjC6C8gfUps?si…

@kimmonismus @kimmonismus The current o3 (in the app) feels more like a o3 low/medium, compared to a o3 high -> it is not using as much test-time compute as it used to..

Edit: rate-limits for o3 on plus-tier doubled: x.com/kevinweil/stat…

Brief summary of OpenAI releases: the real deal o3-pro is certainly great. However, the benchmarks are now hardly meaningful. Those who have tested o3-pro extensively in their field (and I mean people with an academic background in their discipline) are impressed, but say that context and prompting are even more important. When fed with the right prompts and supplemented with the right data, o3 pro is significantly more powerful than o3. But for the average user, o3 pro probably offers little added value over o3. But with o3, we see the real breakthrough of yesterday, which shocked me much more (positively) than o3 Pro. As OpenAI employees say, more efficient inference has significantly reduced costs – by a whopping 80%! This makes o3 even 20% cheaper than GPT-4o. That's mind-blowing and takes into account the fact that costs will eventually drop to the level of electricity costs, as Sam Altman recently wrote in his blog post I don't want to belittle o3 pro. But the fact that full o3 is so inexpensive and will become even cheaper makes it much more useful for widespread application. Hospitals that cross-check every diagnosis with o3 (or soon o4), scientists who use it to do their preliminary work, and so much more. In short, inexpensive models promote widespread application. And it also gives us great hope that GPT-5 will not only be an outstanding one-in-all model, but also very inexpensive for general use. That is the real revolution that took place yesterday. It is proof that the trajectory of price decline is continuing. It proves that no matter how outstanding a (reasoning) model is, it will be so affordable that everyone will be able to afford to use it. For today, the only question that remains is whether the 80% price drop also means that plus users will get higher rate limits. Hopefully, we will have an answer soon. Until then: Kudos, OpenAI! (In the comments, I link to the evidence for the above statements).

@theallinpod @kimmonismus, I think you would find this episode interesting

🔥🧠David Sacks Calls Out the AI Doomer Industrial Complex Sacks exposes web of AI Doomerism: Who are they? Three key nodes: -- Effective Altruists -- Former AI-focused Biden staffers -- Anthropic Patterns: -- AI threat inflation: bioweapons, job loss, etc. -- Carried out by a network of groups primarily funded by EA billionaires Goals: -- Global AI regulation --  " extreme restrictions on proliferation of computing power" -- Safety and security regulations -- Built-in "Woke AI" -- Picking 2-3 winners -- Similar to AI policy under Biden @DavidSacks: " These are people who fundamentally believe in empowering government to the maximum extent." "My problem with that is, I actually think that probably the single greatest dystopian risk associated with AI is the risk that government uses it to control all of us." "And out of all the risks we've talked about, that's the only one for which I've seen tangible evidence." " So in other words, if you go back to last year when we had the whole 'Woke AI', there was plenty of evidence that the people who were creating these products were infusing their left-wing or woke values into the product to the point where it was lying to all of us and it was rewriting history." " And there was plenty of evidence that the Biden EO was trying to enshrine that idea, basically trying to require DEI be infused into AI models." " So I'm quite convinced that prior to Donald Trump winning the election, we were on a path of global compute governance where two or three big AI companies were going to be anointed as the winners,  and the quid pro quo is that they were going to infuse those AI models with woke values." "And there was plenty of evidence for that."

@cyb3rops @kimmonismus

I’ve spent the last 25 years encouraging young people to get into IT. Yesterday, I didn’t - and that break in the pattern says more than I’m ready to admit.