Sam
270 posts

Sam
@AbsentYear
Crypto trader and enthusiast since 2013.




Sequans Redeems 50% of Convertible Debt Through Strategic Asset Reallocation. This move opportunistically leverages Bitcoin holdings to enhance financial flexibility, reduce Debt-to-NAV ratio, and boost buyback capacity while preserving long-term treasury optionality. $SQNS Learn more : sequans.com/sequans-redeem…



BREAKING: $SQNS BECOMES FIRST BITCOIN TREASURY COMPANY TO SELL BITCOIN THIS CYCLE; DUMPS ALMOST 1,000 BTC AT A LOSS according to cory back in july: “swan is responsible for $SQNS treasury strategy… led by me”








Got bad news for @Strive ( $ASST) investors - y'all are royally f*cked for a long while. Tl;dr: • 100% of shares from the warrant exercises and 98.9% of the existing commons have been registered for sale. • $1.35 could end up being the price ceiling for a while. This is based on the 424(b)(7) prospectus [1] filed on Oct 10 that allows shares from the PIPE unlock to be sold. Details below. Number of shares and warrants: • 449,696,631 shares of Class A outstanding as of Oct 1 • 177,246,462 unexercised Pre-Funded Warrants w/ EP of $0.0001 per sh • 545,629,627 unexercised Traditional Warrants w/ EP of $1.35 per sh Once all the warrants are exercised, here's how the numbers for Class A breaks down: • Beneficially Owned: 1,296,210,145 • Registered for Sale: 1,283,904,392 (99%) • Not for Sale: 13,870,799 (1%) In summary: • 100% of both warrant types have been registered for sale • Only 1% of the Class A commons have NOT been registered for sale (Ignoring Class B and options since not relevant to this analysis.) What does this mean? Based on my experience with PIPE unlock plays over the years, I think: 1⃣ Share price will remain depressed for the foreseeable future since more shares than are currently outstanding are waiting to be dumped. 2⃣ The 177M Pre-funded Warrants will likely be dumped first since EP is effectively $0. 3⃣ The 545M Traditional Warrants will see dumps as price rise above the EP of $1.35. Even if the holders do not dump, market will anticipate it and front run by selling longs and loading shorts. (e.g. Metaplanet.) 4⃣ Credit to CEO @ColeMacro for not registering his shares for sale. 5⃣ Shame on CFO @BenPhiat for registering his for sale. What's the rush, man? 6⃣ Management will claim that "registering to sell" doesn't necessarily signal "intent to sell," let alone an impending sale. Every management team says this. They have to. We were not born yesterday and have seen this play out before. I wonder which of $ASST or $NAKA remains in purgatory longer. Sources: [1] #tSUM" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">sec.gov/Archives/edgar…





Sequans and Semler should seriously consider issuing Bitcoin-denominated convertible bonds to get mNAV back above 1. Capital B doesn't get enough credit for pioneering this, it's financial engineering at its finest. Add a 30% premium so that the conversion is at a mNAV comfortably above 1 and thus highly accretive. Worst case? The bond doesn’t convert and you simply return the Bitcoin, but this allows both companies to continue to add Bitcoin to their balance sheet in an accretive way. Perhaps coupled with share buybacks and I can really see this working to be honest. @werkman @IIICapital














