Anthony 🦛

@BitcoinAIGuy i rotated into iren last time you told us and i regret it so much

Calling it now. This is probably the absolute best time to trim $NBIS and rotate into $iREN. Bookmark this. Current prices: $NBIS $207 $IREN $54 It will look obvious in hindsight. Few

Q1 2026 Deferred Revenue Liability - $IREN $22M - $NBIS $4.7B Simply put, Nebius has received over $4B in customer pre-payments, whilst $IREN essentially $0.

@BitcoinAIGuy what are you even talking about? its Iren thats dilluting us shareholders to hell with nothing to show for it

$NBIS wow that’s like 50% dilution at a $50B market cap… those GPUs are just gonna sit idle in a warehouse with nowhere to plug them in… reminds me of $MARA in 2022 $IREN fixes this

📢 𝐉𝐔𝐒𝐓 𝐈𝐍: $IREN IREN Limited today announced its intention to offer, subject to market and other conditions, $2 billion aggregate principal amount of convertible senior notes due 2033

Is there an $IREN bull that sees anything bullish about this? wth. Theyre covering up technical mishaps and no execution with future ARR hopes? $NVDA name drop? embarassing. Honestly thought they had a shot. WTH is this.

I actually downloaded the $IREN Press Release to fact check myself. > It's literally in less than 200 words / probably one of the shortest PR i've seen. > It's so vague on the terms of the contract. > 5 years, how much is revenue worth? What does value mean? Is it hardware value + DC + revenue?

be $IREN > announce $NVDA pump headline pre-earnings > quietly miss Q1 AI Cloud ARR target by 73% > new $3.7BN ARR target for EOY replaces original $500MM Q1 target one nobody's talking about anymore > you current ARR is $134MM > $NVDA investment turns out to be a call option if you can execute at 0 risk to them if you don't > you have a history of failed execution > continue to criticize $NBIS for lack of execution when management has done nothing but execute > your investors think this is unironically bullish

I took time to read the PR and this is bad. The partnership with $NVDA is not a direct investment of $2.1b $NVDA offers $IREN to buy DSX equipment with $IREN’s own money, and $IREN in return gives them right to buy 30m shares at $70 Basically 30m shares worth of call options at $70 strike price, 5 years out, for 0 premium 🙄. Only premium $NVDA is offering is letting you buy their equipment at same market price everyone else would buy. How’s this good for $IREN? How do I call it a win? What am I missing? Educate me.

The strongest quarter in Rocket Lab history

$IREN and $SLNH investors are probably the most braindead communities I've interacted with on X. I've never seen a community so bullish on a $219M MC stock that has a new $1,000,000,000 dilution. And an ongoing $500,000,000 ATM. Then you have $IREN, with $6,000,000,000 active ATM, sold over time into the open market. Maybe, it's a better idea to just go long on a stock without the toxic financing... So you can actually benefit from equity appreciation without just being liquidity? It's just so hard to explain to people the nuances in financial dilution who lack the brain cells. And it just so happens $SLNH gets mentioned positively by $BKKT, $IREN investors the moment after they file a $500M ATM since they need exit liquidity. The company is selling offloading shares directly to these idiots.

$POET down over 40% after $MRVL canceled all purchase orders tied to Celestial AI including initial production orders first disclosed in 2023. POET said the cancellation was tied to alleged confidentiality breaches while it continues serving other customers.

It seems all photonics stocks dropped My biggest position $SIVE $LPKF is down too $POET only is not relevant to $SIVE or $LPKF OR $M7U TIME TO ADD MORE $SIVE LOOKING FOR CHANGE UNDER MY PILLOW TO BUY MKRE $SIVE I have invested everything since $SIVE was 8SEK

@MauroBianchi24 i bought much more

$SIVE $POET Marvell just cancelled its POET orders (the ones tied to Celestial AI). It created some noise today — Sivers went from +20% to flat, POET is down -45%. But let’s be clear on what this actually means for $SIVE: The POET path to Marvell (and therefore Google) was always one of the more speculative legs. It was still in early prototype/qualification stage. Meaningful revenue from this path was never expected until 2027+ anyway. SIVE’s core drivers remain completely untouched: → Jabil 1.6T LRO (confirmed and progressing) → Ayar Labs (active orders & qualification) → O-Net + Enablence (external light source modules) This is why we talked about how SIVE’s multi-path strategy is such a big de-risking factor. One leg gets delayed → the rest of the map keeps moving. Overreaction in the short term, in my opinion.

@FransBakker9812 Still better than iren dilluting half their marketcap with no deals to show for it, every hyperscaler is desperate to sign deals with neoclouds so i think theres a big problem with iren datacenter design that they are not disclosing

$NBIS This is not a flex, these are liabilities. Never has Nebius build large scale data centers at rack densities above, or on par with $IREN. Nebius has made fame a decade ago as a company that supposedly rivaled Google because it was a search machine software 😂 "signing only $3B because you're out of capacity" -> "just wait until they sign Anthropic and surpass $200 per share" Maxed out all capacity for 2026-2027 ✅ Signed deals asap to pump share price ✅ Disclose nothing, absolutely nothing, except topline ✅ Don't use the ATM for 1-2 quarters to make people forget about it ✅ Use convertible notes after the ATM so people completely forget there is one open ✅ Declare yourself the winner of the AI Cloud race at $161 per share ✅ See your NJ site slowdown, opposition accelerate, permits nowhere to be found 📛 Deliver a dumpster fire of a PnL for the remainder of 2026-2027 📉 With all your deals signed and NONE delivered, see the stock start to deteriorate as hot money moves to the next winners that have capacity to sell 📉📉 Well done retail, you played yourself. Chilling and printing turns into: "I have been trading Nebius all the time, vastly outperforming Nebius" (Daniel Koss supposedly traded Nebius because he can predict the stock price rather than understand the fundamentals?, receipts are to be found in the drawer with Nebius deal metrics). Nebius was a great short at $161, but it will do down much further. The market won't have patience for $NBIS to hit their 2028 positive EPS. I am collecting satellite material of the failures they call data center sites at Nebius. I have no problem debating these spreadsheet Europoors who were no different than the guys rooting for $CLSK last year when they were running hot without a chance at profitability. Long $IREN. Proud $NBIS bear.

Reasons for my hesitation on buying MORE $IREN: Over 5+ months since the massive November 2025 $9.7B Microsoft deal and still zero new hyperscaler announcements. IREN sits on >4.5 GW of secured power—one of the deepest moats in AI infrastructure—yet the big tech buyers have gone completely silent on fresh contracts. With IREN CEO Dan Roberts saying ‘time to compute’ is everything, don’t you need a deal with pre-payments to accelerate ‘time to compute’? So with exponential Ai demand knocking down the doors, where’s the new deal? Some bulls claim that a new deal will come soon and that IREN is just waiting for even better terms. Perhaps! But what if the market has simply shifted now? Maybe hyperscalers are demanding more now and aren’t lining up for bare-metal deals from a former Bitcoin miner that still hasn’t delivered proven, large-scale AI compute. They’re either buying their own power and building on their own or chasing turnkey clusters from established AI cloud specialists who’ve already cracked the toughest parts: ironclad uptime, ultra-low latency networking, and fully de-risked, production-ready performance. While peers keep landing billion-dollar hyperscaler wins with live, monetized capacity today, IREN appears to be stuck now in the “promise and ramp” phase. In the last earnings call on February 5th, IREN management conveyed that they are negotiating a multiple billion dollar deal but need to find a software solution. Even IREN’s own CEO, Dan Roberts, emphasized in a spaces MTG I attended on X that “anyone can sign a piece of paper” — but at the end of the day, revenue only begins when you’ve got GPUs energized, online, and actually delivering. Those kinds of statements from the top are telling. They reflect real concern that landing and monetizing new deals has perhaps gotten materially harder for IREN in today’s environment. If this assessment is accurate, it could leave the company in a brutal position: forced to self-fund the massive buildout with no more fat prepayments rolling in. Instead, it’s debt + the freshly expanded $6B ATM equity program, a textbook recipe for enormous dilution that could crush shareholders while management scrambles to prove the model actually works. Raw power is worthless without customers who actually want to pay for it at scale. This is precisely how a high-conviction infrastructure story could quietly turn into a capital-intensive trap…

🚨 $NBIS will acquire $IREN $NBIS has the demand and the value while $IREN has the power. If we are in a simulation (very likely), the most logical and entertaining outcome is for $NBIS to buy $IREN. $NBIS is worth $40B and $IREN is worth $15B, but if $IREN market cap gos down to $10B or less, this could become possible. Let’s remember that $NBIS has a lot of capital in the form of subsidiaries.

Ok I hate to say it but But something is up with $IREN the chart isn’t lying Incredibly tight at the trendline, not even surrendering the 5ema. Very very different behavior from prior two spots.

This is literally the most extreme momentum event in 40 years of recorded data. The Nasdaq 100's RSI went from 28 (oversold) on March 30 to 70.5 (overbought) by April 15 — in just 11 sessions. That is the fastest oversold-to-overbought transition in the Nasdaq 100's 40-year recorded history. The previous fastest was 25 sessions after Liberation Day last year. The historical average is 60+ sessions. Benzinga According to Bespoke Investment Group, this also marks the fastest move from a correction of this size to a new record high since 1928. Yahoo Finance The forward return data is actually quite bullish long-term. Across all 44 historical episodes where the Nasdaq gained 11% or more in 10 sessions, the 12-month forward return averaged +24%, with a median of +30%, and a win rate of 80%. At 6 months, the win rate is 74%. Benzinga But the near-term pullback is almost guaranteed. The average maximum drawdown following these signals was −18.39% — meaning while the 12-month destination is historically higher, the journey involves deep, punishing pullbacks that can severely impact over-leveraged portfolios. Ainvest The key number to watch: Based on the 6 most comparable historical analogues — COVID recovery (−8%), Liberation Day 2025 (−4%), Fed pivot 2018 (−6%), Asian crisis 1997 (−7%) — the most probable near-term pullback is 3-8% within the next 2-4 weeks. The April 22 ceasefire expiry is the most likely trigger. After that consolidation, the historical data overwhelmingly favors a resumption of the bull trend. The S&P 500 has experienced average intra-year declines of roughly 14% since 1990, even in years that finish strongly positive — and the average correction (10-20% decline) lasts just 17 days. U.S. Bank A pullback here isn't a disaster; it's the historical norm and historically the best re-entry point. Wes and I are extremely well positioned in the leaders.

S&P 500 is quietly repeating the exact same pattern from last year. Same structure. Same sequence. Same liquidity engineering. 1 → 2 → 3 → 4 playing out again like nothing changed. But almost nobody is paying attention. A year ago, this setup ended with a sharp move that caught everyone off guard. And now we’re right back at the same point in the cycle. I already mapped this scenario before it started unfolding. This isn’t randomness - it’s positioning. The market is moving exactly where it needs to, to trap the majority. And if this fractal holds, the move will be aggressive. Turn on notifications. I’ll call it in real time.

Have you guys ever experienced an 11.7 sigma event before? Well you just did this week, exceeding the top of the dot-com bubble. The cross-sectional standard deviation of annual returns within the S&P 500 Information Technology sector, as of April 15, 2026, dispersion hit 392.93, which sits 11.7 standard deviations above its long-term historical mean (data going back to 1973). For context: The chart draws horizontal lines all the way up to +6 SD. The current spike blows well past the +6 SD line.