
David Birch
12.7K posts


@Sykodelic_ Ok, but why has your key level of $78.4K suddenly disappeared?
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I'm long.
Been waiting for this level for a while now.
Liquidity swept below $75,000 on a Saturday and funding has flipped negative for the first time in 6 days.
Could see one more push a little lower to create some bearish divergences, but I think we hold above $73,500 and close the weekly above our key level of $74,400.
We have an easy and tight invalidation here and the R/R is solid.
Until we lose $74,400 on the weekly this is a HTF retest of reclaiming Bullish HTF market structure.
$74,400 has been a level in my thesis for a very long time, so we want to see this hold.
If we get 2x weekly closes below it I would consider that weakness and new lows would be back on the cards.
But that is not what I expect.

Sykodelic 🔪@Sykodelic_
Getting more abuse in my comments again. Good sign. Give us the $75k deviation breakout retest and they’ll be even more abusive. But that is a high probability reversal area. We don’t need to get emotional about it. If we lose $74,400 on the weekly, it will be bearish. But until then, this is a higher low after a confirmed HTF deviation.
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The Clarity Act and Trump meets Xi event will mark a local top for $BTC.
Always +- a day or so.
Conor Kenny@conorfkenny
OFFICIAL: 🇺🇸 THE CLARITY ACT VOTE IS SET FOR NEXT THURSDAY. GET READY!
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@Waterman_crypto Hope so CW. You seem to be in the 1% who actually knows what they’re talking about 👌
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@PolitlcsUK For the love of Christ, it’s literally just reopened.
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@_adamcherry_ It’s brilliant and will be played for years to come, but it does now require a significant update.
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Think we may need to re-edit this with even more material yet again soon. Knew it was a good idea to keep the file handy.
Guido Fawkes@GuidoFawkes
'The grown-ups are back in the room...' 💥UPDATED FOR 2026💥 Featuring new resignations, new scandals, and even a new clip of Starmer falling over in front of the world's media! 🧨order-order.com/membership
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When can we start saying @HenrikZeberg was right.
#SP500 just blowing past its all time high!

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@AndreasSteno This either makes it ROW against Iran or ROW against US to get it open. Maybe both. We just made Iran everyone's problem - I think that's the strategy, if there is a strategy.
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@thespieler Like the hurdling version of Tiger Roll - just smashing through them without seemingly losing any momentum.
WA being balloted out of the CC worked out quite well for you, Matt! 👏
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@RacingPost Exactly as with Cheltenham (Monday’s in the Know) the 1st show of a major festival is a disaster. Do you guys bother with any pre production checks?
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@richmanlench @EarnedKnowledge @HenrikZeberg Absolutely True.
On the hand, he has said along the lines of ‘now we go’ several times in the last couple of months (previous to ‘one final bottom before take off’)
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@EarnedKnowledge I'm convinced most people can't actually understand English. The final decline before the blow off top is what @HenrikZeberg is saying... The thesis remains the same
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@TheLongInvest Denial. I seeing loads of ‘the lady doth protest too much’ re what great ‘value’ stock are.
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@RossKempsell End of Q rebalancing.
Potential for huge rugging today.
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@RacingPost Five figures? FFS, it’s hardly stuff of Barney Curley legend.
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"The payout would be in the five-figures" 😮
Paddy Power fearing multiples on Dan Skelton quartet after first two horses win at Bangor 👀
The next two run at 4.50 and 5.00
racingpost.com/news/reports/t…
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@AndreasSteno Let’s be honest; @crossbordercap & @NoLimitGains have been right all along - liquidity was draining & the move towards risk off had begun well before war broke out..that has just accelerated the process.
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We are starting to see what I would characterize as true capitulation.
When you see bond yields coming down sharply, even if the oil price is a tad up, while the USD strengthens and equities sell off, it smells like capitulation and a real fear that we may have passed the soft deadline beyond which the impact on the business cycle will be hard to undo.
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@GuidoFawkes They’d be better off simply having a session on the cobra.
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@TheLongInvest Historical data doesn’t last forever. We’ll all be dead several times over before dear old Tom Lee hits $9k
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