Dalton Lin

Sharing brief thoughts on Trump’s Taiwan gambit. I argue Trump’s approach, if acted on, would be a shift from deterrence to dealmaking in a domain where there is no deal to be made, beyond offering unilateral concessions that undermine US credibility. brookings.edu/articles/trump…

Beijing continues to distort the intent of UN Resolution 2758. It didn’t address the one China principle. FM Zhou Enlai said at the time that it didn’t resolve the issue of Taiwan’s status. It’s time to be honest about this issue. news.cgtn.com/news/2025-02-2…

I appreciate @CWPColumbia and its fellows’ feedback, criticism, and support in the book’s draft stage! 9/

Instead, the agency of neighboring regimes and the resource constraints amid geopolitical competition incentivize Beijing to be a wary patron in its periphery! 8/

Delighted to announce the publication of my book, Geopolitics and China’s Patronage Strategy (@routledgebooks , amazon.com/Geopolitics-Ch…)! 1/

Thoughtful analysis of Lai’s inaugural speech by ⁦@KathrinHille⁩ on.ft.com/4aurDIO

Check out @DaltonLin's article on China’s Pursuit of Agenda-Setting Power for @sciencedirect bit.ly/45gnpBU

Delighted to share my @FPRI_Orbis article, where I argue China leverages the agenda-setting power for an international power transition. The agenda China proposes is development, and the lever to promote the agenda is the BRI authors.elsevier.com/a/1hncF6wyHHPWu

The Problems With China’s Economy Start at the Top. "One view is that officials in Beijing “live above the clouds,” lacking a full understanding of how their attitudes and policies affect businesses." Excellent analysis by @EswarSPrasad nytimes.com/2023/08/26/opi…

Here comes the US Navy: A US Navy P-8 Poseidon patrol and reconnaissance plane circles a Chinese coast guard ship during the resupply mission to Second Thomas Shoal in the South China Sea on Augus 22. Image: AFP

Honored to interview with @CarterCenter on the cross-Taiwan Strait triangular security dynamics and pointed out the blind spot of the strategic ambiguity vs. clarity debate uscnpm.org/2023/02/13/dr-…

台湾前总统马英九称他的中国大陆行是以私人身份进行的祭祖交流之旅，但作为台湾重要的政治人物，他在中国所受到的接待规格以及他的一些言论(如称赞武汉抗疫)在台湾引发讨论和争议。有学者认为，对于台湾人来说，马英九此行最重要的观察点是交流是否对等，以及是否能带来后续交流的势头。

Taiwan Is Already Independent: why most of the island's people don't desire a formal declaration. Great piece by Nathan Batto. foreignaffairs.com/taiwan/taiwan-… via @ForeignAffairs

The blind spot in Wu Xinbo’s fatalism re US policy is how China’s shifts under XJP - more repression & state capitalism at home, more assertive foreign policy abroad - that has induced a reaction by US & others. We’re in a vicious cycle propelled by both. scmp.com/news/china/dip…