FPL Warnock

@fplblackbox_az @fpl_peptalk @FPLBlackBox_ @FplMode He's only 10pts ahead of EV, so more accurate to say it was paying off early in the season, but now mostly in line with expectations.

@fpl_peptalk @FPLBlackBox_ @FplMode The exact opposite of mine 😂 decision making that is slightly against the “optimal” moves but has paid off spectacularly

Was watching @FPLBlackBox_ Late Tackle tonight @fplblackbox_az & @FplMode you were talking about FPL Optimized, so I thought I'd go & have a look at mine for the season I'm an old school manager not heavily into the new stats & models so can you explain whats going on here?

@FPL_leaky 😬 hopefully we get lucky my friend!

@FPL_Warnock Ah no 😞 I’ve triple Chelsea too. But Enzo first on bench 😭

Hungover. Missed the deadline. 20 pts ahead of mini league rival. Fuck.

Another real mins EV win picking Raul, I'm inevitable

@fpl_tactician Analytics FC honorary member imo

@FPL_Warnock I went Eze.

Analytics dub

Eze vs Olise... Analytics FC vs Grass FC about to finish the season with a bang

its not looking good brev

@FplTucker @FpLtickle @FlapjackFpl I'm not sure it does backup your point. Strategy is certainly important, but FPL is absolutely subject to some randomness that does not even out over a season.

@FPL_Warnock @FpLtickle @FlapjackFpl Agree, and this actually backing up my point. FPL is not random. Maximise your strategy over 38 weeks and you come out on top.

It’s taken me 12 seasons to learn to free hit in a double instead of a blank. I could have won FPL if I’d known, and instead FPL are taking away most the doubles and blanks.

@FplTucker @FpLtickle @FlapjackFpl I'm staying clear of FH29 vs FH34 chat 😃 - but random events dont even out. A coinflip has no knowledge of the previous results of a sequence of coinflips in order to be able to do so.

@FpLtickle @FlapjackFpl I'm not saying random events don't happen. I have two TOT defenders currently flagged. But I am saying: over a season, if you gradually manage your team to min/max the fixtures, you'll perform very well and the random events will average out.

FH29 fploptimized graphs this week 😭

@FPL__Jack Hadn't seen that!

@FPL_Warnock He actually is 🫠 twitter.com/FPL_Chase/stat…

@FPLProp 11% chance of a BGW for Southampton, rising to 17% if those wooden pallets catch fire..

Waiting For Crellin to tweet how this will affect BGW31 in 2028/29 season

@pig_fpl Why do you only have 9 players?

9 players, don’t even ask. 🌎 70K~

❌️

@FPL_BONES @fplreview @fploptimized So right hand side is measuring 'luck' with respect to other managers. Figures at bottom on left are measuring luck with respect to your own expected pts total.

@FPL_BONES @fplreview @fploptimized Its not quite the same metric - the right hand image says that you are roughly 140pts 'unluckier' than the managers in the prime sample Left hand metric is saying you are 90pts behind fplreview mpdel's expected points based on actual mins played, and 200pts behind based on xmins

Can someone explain something to me, What do these two images mean? Am I an unlucky bad manager or am I just Unlucky? 🤔 @fplreview @fploptimized

@FPLMarcin Ur going to run out of gifs at this rate

Areola 5th save!!!!!