GameTheory Racing

@TimeformUSfigs @CenturyDowns Lol! Apparently the race timer and social media guy are the same person at tracks that small.

@CenturyDowns Only in horse racing man.

Looks like a less than stellar day of race timing @CenturyDowns, an account which apparently has blocked me LOL.

@racetrackandy I may be totally wrong on this, but I though the lasik issue was because it can be used to mask PEDs, not because it's inherently dangerous. And not allowing the use of the crop was purely for public perception. Did they really argue both were directly contributing to fatalities?

Growing amount of evidence that 5cc's of Lasix and Whips DO NOT cause fatalities Some people seem to be unhappy with the evidence that the reforms currently in place in California resulted in a HISTORICALLY LOW FATALITY RATE

10 years ago, Rachel Alexandra raised the rafters at Saratoga... @StonestreetFarm

@loomsboldly Oops

See folks, one podcast can make a difference lol! Go to nyrabets.com to sign up for the Woodward Challenge today!

@Utbighair @loomsboldly Just FYI the good folks at NYRA are reopening Woodward challenge registration this morning. 😃

@ThunderDan42 @loomsboldly If you think the 10-1 shot should really be 20-1 then you’re right. But if you think the market has it pegged fairly efficiently then I think there is maybe some mathematical value to hedging because you have the heavy favorite covered so well, but I’d have to crunch the #s

@ThunderDan42 @loomsboldly Got it, I forgot about the carryover strategy. I guess I was thinking from like a market efficiency, and situational EV perspective as opposed to long term EV.

@ThunderDan42 @loomsboldly Not to second guess at all, really just curious because I’m still learning, but might this have been a kinda perfect situation to hedge? $300 on the 7 and the 3 puts your total investment to 1400 but you lock in a minimum of 1600$ profit.

@paulcavanaugh @EJXD2 Ahh that makes me feel better, I thought I just missed it like an idiot.

@Gametheoryrace @EJXD2 they announced on feed going straight to post

Only haters will say it’s shopped

@BeychokRacing According to Larry, he was vewwy vewwy wide heading into the far turn.

Twitter Poll. Was live to big time contest payoff Saturday to Im Elmer J Fudd. He returns today in the 10th. Chase or no chase?

@derby1592 @loomsboldly It’s like asking if you have 3:1 pot odds to call in a cash game and you have 3 outs going into the river. Should you call? No, you’re upside down in the math regardless of whether you hit the 3 outer or not. You’ll always lose money in the long term due to the law of lg numbers.

Follow up question. You decide to bet the horse anyway even though it’s 3/5 because that’s the horse you came to the track to play so, by golly, you are going to play it and the horse does win. Was that a good decision? @loomsboldly

Here is a link to my piece on value. inthemoneypodcast.com/2019/08/06/val…

@AshleyAnd502 There was some weirdness going on in that early pick 5 sequence today

This is the most insane 10-cent superfecta payout I've ever seen in my life. Sadly, all I had was the fourth horse... #IndianaGrand

@racetrackandy I had clubhouse seats to the Preakness this year and had to walk a literal mile to find a functioning restroom, they’ll need more than whispers 😂😂😂😂

Hearing whispers of hope for Pimlico.

If he was that far back and was walked off, ok that’s one thing, probably an injury, but to be that far back and close to the pack after the front runners went 25, 49 seems odd.

The ride on the four in the first at Indiana grand seem fishy to anyone else? Must have been 30 lengths out of it rounding the far turn, was never asked for more run, felt the stick twice in the stretch and closed to within a couple of lengths of the trailers.

Benny’s trips for 2YO MSW race on Wednesday, 8-14-19. inthemoneypodcast.com/2019/08/13/ben…

And yes I had her, yes I lost my pick 5 on her.

I’m sure no one in the world missed this one, but make sure to get Lady Ninja on your watch list. Missed the break by....5? Tough to say based on camera angles. Closed into a fair pace and a gate to wire winner on a speed favoring track. #delmar #tripnote

I’m convinced is no sweeter sports betting moment than a saved trip, bet back win. Odds weren’t great but Angelino was much the best at 5/2. #arlington #cashingtickets