Sherwood

38 posts

Sherwood

Sherwood

@JSirrs5

Katılım Şubat 2024
24 Takip Edilen10 Takipçiler
Tony Denaro
Tony Denaro@Tony_Denaro·
For those being overly bearish on box office or $AMC in general for short term, some experts are expecting a $2.75B Q2. Thats even higher than my $2.6B forecast which is already in the profit zone for #AMC. Don’t be dumb…🍿
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Sherwood
Sherwood@JSirrs5·
@vikstrom_stefan MNPI halting appears to have been arena one and now he's made a statement with this purchase. This is a big one for affirming what we already know! LFG
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Doc
Doc@doc62research·
@ApesNotADeadCat Also… It’s still a penny stock after several dilutions and an attempt at a RS. Be Real. Most penny stocks have high days to cover Most penny stocks are overly shorted. Most penny stocks are penny stocks bc they deserve to be and/or bc have shitty CEOs like @CEOAdam
GIF
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Tom V
Tom V@ApesNotADeadCat·
#AMC $AMC 5.71 Days to Cover Is Important A Days to Cover above 5 is generally viewed as meaningful because: Shorts cannot easily exit positions quickly. If buying pressure spikes, covering could accelerate upward momentum. This metric matters for #APEs , together is strong 💪
Tom V tweet media
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Sherwood
Sherwood@JSirrs5·
@npantano_ Your previous post mentions $0.70 you still think that's possible? I would hope not
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Nicholas A. Pantano
Nicholas A. Pantano@npantano_·
📕 Been almost a month. Quick Update Reminder: $AMC We'll know by June 4th - July 1st which route it is. I will not trade this stock until I have confirmation, everything else is speculation at this point. Tons of great news out for AMC and she isn't moving, screams distribution. NEED the $2.50 break to confirm bottom is in. 📊 SPY UP > Collateral UP > AMC Down
Nicholas A. Pantano tweet media
Nicholas A. Pantano@npantano_

Final 2026 Analysis 🚨 Only 2 routes are possible w the current POI & swap setup on the Super Mac time frame: If $Amc reaches $2.50 before June 4, bottom is in. $6+ range is top by March. If $Amc stalls and snubs $2 here, $.70 still in play by Nov, then $3.50 top by March. 🫱🏻‍🫲🏼 No more tweets until this seq finishes.

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Dade Murphy
Dade Murphy@nakedjockman·
I’m reading mainstream media and because AMC is now showing live concerts—giving people a cheaper alternative to seeing shows that they couldn’t afford or unable to attend because of venue location—AMC has now transformed into becoming something other than a dying cinema operator. AMC is finally something worth investing in says all the prior naysayers. So it’s so freaking convenient that the fanny pack wearing duck turd, Matt Kohrs, said his goodbye the day before AMC announced earnings and AMC essentially transformed itself massively in a plethora of ways. That rat couldn’t have fled fast enough.
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Sherwood
Sherwood@JSirrs5·
@upitadalee Depends on the tone of AA and the vibe of this earnings call
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Upita
Upita@upitadalee·
$AMC up 9% today. Is this going to be one of those fake runs that gets walked down during the earnings call? Or is this week different?
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Sherwood
Sherwood@JSirrs5·
@AFMBlog 2 votes, you're really raking in the data on this one! Ironic that your options and results appear to create a 4th clown option.... 🪞
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Sherwood
Sherwood@JSirrs5·
@AFMBlog Pretty hypocritical to voice your opinion so confidently and yet say shorting it involves risk.... That's clown behavior
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JLP
JLP@AFMBlog·
@JSirrs5 Not worth the risk, clown boy.
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JLP
JLP@AFMBlog·
"Earnings" day for $AMC (in quotes because it's most likely a loss so not really earnings...lol). They dropped another 8-K this morning stating that they exchanged $155,845,562 of debt for 142,040,030 shares of AMC. If my math is correct, that's $1.097 per share. Also... If my math is correct, $AMC now has 754,109,455 shares outstanding and 345,890,545 shares left that they can issue.
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Sherwood
Sherwood@JSirrs5·
@AFMBlog Clown boy says the guy who is obsessed with a stock he's neither buying or shorting...
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Sherwood
Sherwood@JSirrs5·
@Riddlemethiss84 @AMCTheatres Agreed but at least they're aware and stepping it up for the home runs i.e. yoshi bucket. Of course there's room to grow. Can also over buy if they start also selling ecommerce etc so plenty of growth opportunities.
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Mr.Dov_LarryDov
Mr.Dov_LarryDov@Riddlemethiss84·
@JSirrs5 @AMCTheatres I disagree. But that’s fine. The bigger problem is just how far off the gap is. The miss is WAYYYYY too large. Weren’t not even close to being in the same realm of matching supply and demand
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Mr.Dov_LarryDov
Mr.Dov_LarryDov@Riddlemethiss84·
#AMC Sorry in advance but MERCH is the one thing I will not stop harping on for mess ups. 👇 shipping in September?!?!? WTF, people were standing in line ready to buy inside @AMCTheatres all weekend. Unacceptable!!! The point of purchase moment is gone and lost! 😡 🤦‍♂️ CMON @CEOAdam , #HelpUsHelpYou ‼️
Mr.Dov_LarryDov tweet mediaMr.Dov_LarryDov tweet media
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Sherwood
Sherwood@JSirrs5·
@Xx_WiReD_xX @ApesNotADeadCat Amc is less than 1 billion market cap right now compared to 3 billion CNK. "Priced in" amc is at least 3x current price conservatively. If amc was $5 today that would be priced in. Currently undervalued
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⛉⚔ ᵂⁱᴿᵉᴰ•ᵁˢᴰ ⚔⛊ 🧶
That hit was priced in, including the cost of the debt restructuring. The big directional pieces (box office + debt savings) are largely known and priced. If you're talking about the exact F&B contribution, operating efficiencies, full-margin performance, etc.. then I can agree.
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Sherwood
Sherwood@JSirrs5·
@nakedjockman I discovered recently that my amc shares are being lent out all the time on my wealthsimple. I didn't consent knowingly I just noticed because I got a notification that I got X amount of money for shares lent
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Dade Murphy
Dade Murphy@nakedjockman·
I wonder how many people took up IBKR's offer yesterday and decided to lend their AMC shares? I wonder how many people didn't receive an offer because the brokerage didn't have a need to ask for their AMC shares because people had share lending turned on? I wonder how many people have a margin account and the brokerage can, is and routinely does lend their AMC shares without asking for approval? I'm partially kidding, of course; just as IHOP never runs out of pancakes, the chef can always throw some AMC shares on the griddle.
Dade Murphy tweet media
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Sherwood
Sherwood@JSirrs5·
@AFMBlog Again as I mentioned your historical figures are valid but Q1 earnings 2026 is most important comparison for fair value today and CNK is May 1st AMC May 4th. Thanks for doing the comparison
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JLP
JLP@AFMBlog·
@JSirrs5 LOL. Okay, even using adjusted EBITDA, $AMC comes up short. Hilarious.
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JLP
JLP@AFMBlog·
I ran some $AMC vs. $CNK comparison numbers for the #AMCARMY over the weekend using Yahoo! Finance's historical stock prices. Their $AMC and $CNK data goes back to 12/18/2013 and 04/24/2007, respectively. Let's look at rolling 5-year periods (assuming $100k invested at the beginning of each period at the adjusted closing price). Total number of rolling 5-year periods for... AMC: 1,842 CNK: 3,516 Total number of rolling 5-year periods with positive returns... AMC: 171 (9.28% of the time) CNK: 2,258 (64.22% of the time) Average CAGR during those positive years... AMC: 10.66% CNK: 16.65% Average CAGR for all rolling 5-year periods... AMC: -23.70% CNK: 6.04% Average ending value... AMC: $44,637 CNK: $166,284 Highest ending value... AMC: $291,662 CNK: $595,997 Lowest ending value... AMC: $704 CNK: $17,960 Latest ending value (as of 04/17/2026) AMC: $1,994 CNK: $143,324 All of these stats heavily favor $CNK. I didn't do that on purpose. There were no stats favorable for $AMC unless I cherry picked data (like comparing the last two weeks or something like that).
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Sherwood
Sherwood@JSirrs5·
@AFMBlog EBITDA is a tool to fairly compare AMC and CNK operations it's not the whole scope but to not consider variable is intentional ignorance. The balance sheet is full scope and is equally as important.
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JLP
JLP@AFMBlog·
I do look at earnings and balance sheets. I don't like EBITDA because it highly favors heavily indebted companies. I mean, who the hell wouldn't like to take on a ton of debt to finance operations and then report those operations without counting the debt? In my opinion, EBITDA is about as useless as Price/Sales ratios are.
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Sherwood
Sherwood@JSirrs5·
@AFMBlog You don't pay attention to EBITDA which measures the performance of business and you're only using CAGR which measures performance of stock. AMC stock is highly manipulated in comparison to CNK so not a true comparison in this market nor does it reflect gains to come in 2026 ✌🏻
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JLP
JLP@AFMBlog·
@JSirrs5 I know it has its fans, but I don't pay attention to EBITDA. As Munger put it, I consider them bullshit earnings.
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Sherwood
Sherwood@JSirrs5·
@AFMBlog Nothing wrong with $6.88 pre split sounds like a healthy stock. Fact is AMC went from $500 million market cap to $1 billion in a month and it's still undervalued. CNK has $3.5 billion market cap which sets the tone to where amc is going this spring. 3X with ease and go from there
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JLP
JLP@AFMBlog·
I've seen a few posts/comments from the #AMCARMY saying that $AMC will reach a new ATH. Yeah, that's not happening–at least not as far as the stock price is concerned. Why? $AMC's ATH was $72.62 reached intraday on 06/02/2021. That was before the 1:10 split, so the adjusted ATH is $726.20. At the time $AMC reached that ATH, they had 501,780,240 shares outstanding. The number of shares outstanding after adjusting for the split is 50,178,024. 726.20 x 50,178,024 = $36.4 billion market cap Fast forward to today... $AMC currently has 529,547,465 shares outstanding. 726.20 x 529,547,465 = $384.6 billion market cap That's not gonna happen. What would the share price be if $AMC were to reach their 2021 market cap ATH? $36,439,281,029 ÷ 529,547,465 = $68.81 Sounds like a decent number until you remember that it's really only $6.88 pre-split...lol. That's the real harm of share dilution. AMC has increased the number of shares outstanding by 10x over the last 5 years. This is the reality that we've been talking about but you guys have been ignoring.
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