John Joyce

Differentiation creates leverage. In business: pricing power. In biology: survival advantage. In people: skills that compound. Wherever difference exists, asymmetry follows..

@nikitabier @zebulgar Remote work might just fix this over time .. people will naturally disperse

@zebulgar The only way you can afford to have kids and a house in a tier-1 city is a major financial windfall. Otherwise, you have to downgrade to a suburb. So the solution is make our cities more undesirable: make crime legal

@TahoeWeather Welp I’m here at lake level. Mostly rain so far 🫠

Windy with heavy snow for Thursday and snow showers through Friday. We could see 1-2+ feet at lake level and 2-4 feet on the mountains by Friday night. A little rain could mix in near lake level Thu afternoon, but overall expecting mostly snow, finally... opensnow.com/dailysnow/taho…

Writing software, especially prototypes, is becoming cheaper. This will lead to increased demand for people who can decide what to build. AI Product Management has a bright future! Software is often written by teams that comprise Product Managers (PMs), who decide what to build (such as what features to implement for what users) and Software Developers, who write the code to build the product. Economics shows that when two goods are complements — such as cars (with internal-combustion engines) and gasoline — falling prices in one leads to higher demand for the other. For example, as cars became cheaper, more people bought them, which led to increased demand for gas. Something similar will happen in software. Given a clear specification for what to build, AI is making the building itself much faster and cheaper. This will significantly increase demand for people who can come up with clear specs for valuable things to build. This is why I’m excited about the future of Product Management, the discipline of developing and managing software products. I’m especially excited about the future of AI Product Management, the discipline of developing and managing AI software products. Many companies have an Engineer:PM ratio of, say, 6:1. (The ratio varies widely by company and industry, and anywhere from 4:1 to 10:1 is typical.) As coding becomes more efficient, teams will need more product management work (as well as design work) as a fraction of the total workforce. Perhaps engineers will step in to do some of this work, but if it remains the purview of specialized Product Managers, then the demand for these roles will grow. This change in the composition of software development teams is not yet moving forward at full speed. One major force slowing this shift, particularly in AI Product Management, is that Software Engineers, being technical, are understanding and embracing AI much faster than Product Managers. Even today, most companies have difficulty finding people who know how to develop products and also understand AI, and I expect this shortage to grow. Further, AI Product Management requires a different set of skills than traditional software Product Management. It requires: - Technical proficiency in AI. PMs need to understand what products might be technically feasible to build. They also need to understand the lifecycle of AI projects, such as data collection, building, then monitoring, and maintenance of AI models. - Iterative development. Because AI development is much more iterative than traditional software and requires more course corrections along the way, PMs need be able to manage such a process. - Data proficiency. AI products often learn from data, and they can be designed to generate richer forms of data than traditional software. - Skill in managing ambiguity. Because AI’s performance is hard to predict in advance, PMs need to be comfortable with this and have tactics to manage it. - Ongoing learning. AI technology is advancing rapidly. PMs, like everyone else who aims to make best use of the technology, need to keep up with the latest technology advances, product ideas, and how they fit into users’ lives. Finally, AI Product Managers will need to know how to ensure that AI is implemented responsibly (for example, when we need to implement guardrails to prevent bad outcomes), and also be skilled at gathering feedback fast to keep projects moving. Increasingly, I also expect strong product managers to be able to build prototypes for themselves. The demand for good AI Product Managers will be huge. In addition to growing AI Product Management as a discipline, perhaps some engineers will also end up doing more product management work. The variety of valuable things we can build is nearly unlimited. What a great time to build! [Original text: deeplearning.ai/the-batch/issu… ]

Places where regulatory intervention is useful: Markets in which reducing the quality or variety of goods and services delivered can directly improve business performance

Hire for curiosity, judgment, & skill

the best people don’t wait to be asked

2025: the year of trusted relationships 🤝

expectation setting must be done with care

@0xIlyy I see this more as a glimpse into the future. Cats out of the bag on remote, like it or not..

i just saw a kid decline a senior MLE role in the bay area because he wanted to stay remote. the zoomers are cooked.

Are non-fiction books dead? You can already extract the main ideas of any book in moments using AI. You already probe deeper wherever you’d like. Will non-fiction books be anything more than training data for LLMs going forward? Will they even exist?

@parmita who has ever said this? besides meme VCs

the people who say "AI is the new crypto" don't understand AI. and also they don't understand crypto

@readswithravi Designing Data Intensive Systems - A must read for any software engineer looking to change the trajectory of their career (& life)

A book that changed your life:

@natfriedman My wife self-diagnosed celiac disease by doing this! Bye bye bread

Best hack I learned this week is creating a claude project for all your blood tests / health results, so you can get relevant health advice.

@Jason Building a network enabling investors to pay to explore, exploit, and scale working social media ads in exchange for a % of the revenue those ads drive. Supercharging growth for small businesses with outstanding products who want to scale without equity dilution..

Tell me about your startup here… Investors: please feel free to engage with these founders!

@HVconditions Canyon?

9:00 | LIFT UPDATE: The Aerial Tram, Gunbarrel, Patsy's, Powderbowl, and DMZ are OPEN. Weather permitting, sightseeing will open via Gondola starting at 10:00AM.

I have an insatiable hunger for simplification

If you can’t sell it to an investor you probably won’t be able to sell it to a customer

My wife just said ‘short story long’ proceeded to tell me a 29 minute story RIP