kenneth

@LukeMillerPHD YES YES.....I learned my lesson in 99-00 2005-2007....heard stories of 86-87.....largest IPO in the history of the markets was 2019...lot of folks called for a top in Q4 2019.....it went up another 10%

@Kennethaydt1969 Historically, complacency can last a surprisingly long time before regimes shift.

The masses continue to look for a top.....continue to look for volatility to come in....the masses continue to fight history....Check out the last 5 years on the vix...you see the pattern? vix fade into July...Then Q3 volatility...with the midterms coming up this is my wag because that is HISTORY....so vix stays subdued into early Q3 then we get protection buying for the midterms putting a floor under the vix....my guess we get a uvix reverse split by then....be patient my friends....

@masterMind15297 I look for the Vix to start grinding or basing for the next 6-8 weeks....not saying we dont have a 1-2 day spike but it will come right back down imho

@Kennethaydt1969 Seasonality does not occur my friend. We are at a cusp of volatility expansion

Those Q3 vix spikes all come between july 15 and Labor day....Here are the pullbacks.....I am not saying we wont get a 3-5% pullback between here and the July vix opex.That is very possible....The problem with folks looking for a major top is if we do get a 3-5% pullback they will not ring the register...They will stay short and eventually lose their position or get stopped out...I am looking for the big boy down....so I am deep in the cave.....and I dont make a dime off nobody...no subs..no twitter revenue...I have ZERO bias...what I do have is 30 years of experience trading...lot of blown accounts...I have made millions and lost millions.....so I have basically seen it all....I am trying to help folks help themselves...This weekend I will be working two twelve hour shifts in the factory building semi truck tires...I am a working man...will be til my last heartbeat.....headed to work...

@BooEW55 doesnt matter in my work.

@Kennethaydt1969 Unless the Iran war blows up 🤷‍♂️

@GuntherEagleman Family first unless its your sons wedding

🚨 BREAKING: TULSI GABBARD RESIGNS AS DNI TO STAND BY HER HUSBAND IN HIS BATTLE WITH RARE BONE CANCER! 🙏 Family first. Always. Tulsi is stepping down from her post as Director of National Intelligence to support her husband through this fight. Last day is June 30. Trump has been informed. Thank you for your service, @TulsiGabbard, you brought real integrity and strength to the role 🇺🇸 Prayers up for her family and complete healing for her husband. God bless them both.

@SullyCNBC lot of the remote jobs are going bye bye via AI.....UNH cutting like crazy....few friends just got axed...175k jobs.....poof gone my friend

Tens of millions of you fine people now work remotely, either all or part of the week. That's going to reduce demand for gasoline and mitigate its cost for those people. Obviously this is not for true for everyone. As with Covid lockdowns, many cannot work remotely and those are often the most vulnerable. But for millions who now can work at home, that freedom from a commute is a big economic deal. Bottom line: For millions of families, gasoline prices don't matter like they did pre-Covid. Thoughts?

@PeterSchiff but he has you talking about him everyday...Dont let him control you like a tool....You are smarter than that

The Liar-in-Chief told one lie after another while welcoming Kevin Warsh as Fed Chairman. One in particular was that all the pundits told him it would be impossible for the Dow to hit 50K during his four-year term, despite the Dow being just 13% below 50K when he was sworn in.

Really nothing to say.....The masses are looking down....Major tops dont come with everyone looking down....I traded the dotcom top....traded the GFC top...We arent there yet imho....That being said I am not an analyst...not a suit and tie Wall Street guy....I am steel toe wearing factory worker That builds semi truck tires...but I put the work in on the markets...I NEVER take a day off because money never sleeps...you take a day off from the markets it will show in your work...EVERYTIME Memorial Day coming up....Dont forget..

@ckmdk70 I called the bottom and top of the covid crash before it happened but I covered way too soon listening to all the bounce calls...I wont do that again.....and btw that was luck....happens every now and again...x.com/Kennethaydt196…

@Kennethaydt1969 I have learned some hard lessons trying to call tops. I agree, it is narcissism because you want to be smarter or better at technicals than the crowd. Worse if you have actually called a couple of tops. Makes you think you can do it again. Thanks for your posts!

I remember 2006-2007 like it was yesterday....EVERYTHING behind the scenes was collapsing...I was constantly trying to short from late 2005 into the summer of 2007....By the time we reached the apex in October....I was looking up.....if history is any guide we will all be looking up when the true top does come....My advice for bears....dont try to short the top...wait for support to break and ride the trend down....kicker is most of us are narcissistic in nature and we will have no choice but to try and continue to short the top....most of you will either lose most of your account or be totally wiped out by the time the true top does come....AND the ones that do get lucky enough to hit the top will cover WAY TOO SOON...I know thousand of traders...I only know one that rode the whole covid crash from top to bottom...Good Luck Bears

@ckmdk70 especially at critical turns

@Kennethaydt1969 The market conditions us over time to question our conviction

The fade in rates should last 1.5-3 months if history is any guide.....then rally with the vix and equities into the apex of everything.....This will all take several months...

only time in history....going back 100 years that I can find a major top in june....1948....interesting that is when the spacex ipo hits.....not seeing much size at all in big vol bets...This ole bear is still not shorting....

Are we at the end of May 1987....end of May 1929....end of May 1968....end of May 2000....end of May 2007....If we are you better be strapped in....Here is 1929

We are beginning the biggest surge in both inflation and bond yields since the 1970s. Even when the Iran war ends, inflation and yields will continue to rise. Those who thought inflation was transitory in 2021 or subprime was contained in 2007 are just as oblivious now. Got gold?

Mortgage rates gonna go up not down. Higher oil = higher bond yields.

rates from 1987.....I find 1968 very interesting....2007....

@Mr_Derivatives Really....Look at rates from 1986-1987.....1968....This can go on for several more months

Cannot have equities this sky high and bond yields this sky high. Something will have to give and give soon… Add on the fact oil remains stubbornly high already as well, and now we got a 3way predicament.

Watching rates from Mid may 1987.....May 1968...