Madison Lackey
4.4K posts


I'm calling it. This seems the same as every other weekend, just the TACO is on Saturday instead of Sunday. Iranian news reporting trump told Iranians via third party individuals to ignore his posts which are for media and domestic consumption. I'll be using my Canadian advantage, being Monday stock market is open, to buy the dip in oil producers that should be down on low volume. I'll also buy some oil futures. Check my recent posts to see the information asymmetry here.


Trump just posted that an agreement with Iran has largely been negotiated with Iran and will be announced shortly ! Final details being discussed.

How about we trust President Trump and let him call the shots?




One thing Trump could do is to greenlight Israel to strike Iran, with the hope of keeping Gulf allies out of it But I don't think it will work. Iran will drag the Gulf into it and will retaliate disproportionately.



IRAN FOREIGN MINISTRY SAYS DEAL NOT CLOSE IRAN FOREIGN MINISTRY SAYS NO IMMINENT AGREEMENT

2 POSSIBLE OUTCOMES: 1. Iran accepts Trump's off-ramp. He's already made SIGNIFICANT concessions to be able to walk away 2. Iran rejects it, Trump bombs them one last time to be able to declare 'victory', and leaves the rest of the world to clean up the mess Both options are terrible for the U.S. and their allies, but #2 is disastrous for Israel and the Gulf This war has been a generational win for Iran, China, and Russia, and one of the most damaging wars for U.S. hegemony in decades.


**IRAN FOREIGN MINISTRY SAYS DEAL NOT CLOSE **IRAN FOREIGN MINISTRY SAYS NO IMMINENT AGREEMENT Saw these headlines, went to see how oil market was reacting, and, of course, crude was crashing.

A few weeks ago I published a deep dive on $IMPP with what I thought were reasonable Q1 estimates. I was wrong. Too conservative. Revenue: est $54M, actual $61.7M Net income: est $21M, actual $28M EPS: est $0.47, actual $0.60.


A SENIOR IRANIAN SOURCE SAID NO AGREEMENT HAS BEEN REACHED YET, THOUGH DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE SIDES HAVE NARROWED. IRAN’S URANIUM ENRICHMENT PROGRAM AND CONTROL OVER THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ REMAIN KEY STICKING POINTS IN THE TALKS.





