Gray

Indian Wells = My best tournament ever 💰 Qual + R1: 5-3, +1.49u ✅ Round 2: 15-11, +5.64u ✅ Round 3: 12-9, +8.26u ✅ Round 4: 11-4, +8.82u ✅ Quarters: 8-0, +8.15u ✅ Futures: 2-4, +1.33u ✅ +33.69u through 2 weeks of March. Every single pick dropped on here for free. 🫡

🎾 Roland Garros Futures 🎾 0.15u - Daniel Altmaier to reach SF (+10000 DK) SOMEBODY has to win this awful quarter. 100-1 feels too steep for him given the easy path/ability to grind out matches on clay. If this tournament got played 100x I have to imagine he’d get there once.

Ben is a guy that rarely suffers upsets in the Best Of 5 format, regardless of surface. Love the variety he serves with & his ability to keep rallies on his forehand, I’m a long term believer in his upside on clay. No serious threats in his eighth of the draw = big opportunity.

🎾 Roland Garros Futures 🎾 0.5u - Sinner/Shelton to meet in QF (+600 B365) Shelton impressive R4 last year, taking a set off of Carlos. Biggest obstacle looks like a potential R3 match vs. Tsitsipas and I’d back Ben there. Also 25-4 vs. lower ranked players at slams since ‘24.

@SPfcb10 Yeah I think every book should void any futures bet for a player that doesn’t play.

@propbetguru Is it voided now?

🎾 Roland Garros Futures 🎾 1u - Daniil Medvedev to advance further than Arthur Fils (+125 DK) I have this at about a coin flip. Meddy has actually made it to R4 three times here in the past and I still have my doubts about Fils in a BO5 format with a Zverev H2H on the horizon.

🎾 Roland Garros Futures 🎾 0.5u - Alexander Zverev to reach SF (+187 B365) Adding another half unit with Fils out of the draw now. Path just got a whole lot easier with now only real tests potentially being Khachanov R4 & Jodar QF.

@SPfcb10 Yep

@propbetguru It’s a push if they both go out same round, no?

@Smarty3385 That’s why only half unit for me. But Kovacevic, Diallo, Fritz/Michelsen to get to R4 is too nice of a draw for me to pass up on the kid. Could be in for a tougher test after that but would be a surprise if he loses to any of those guys for me.

@propbetguru Jodar body in best of 5 matches. Would be very concerned.

🎾 Roland Garros Futures 🎾 1u - Alexander Zverev to reach SF (+195 FD) 0.5u - Zverev/Jodar to meet in QF (+500 B365) Skeptical of Fils making big run. Solid draw for Z & very nice draw for Jodar. Such a consistent body of work here with 4 SF’s since 2021 & 23-0 vs. non-Top 10.

🎾 Roland Garros Round 1 🎾 1u - Tomas Machac ML (-148 FD) If he’s healthy he should prevail. If not, we’ll void. Strong showing on clay the last month and a half & is a lot more natural on the surface than Zizou, who hits a very flat ball + 4-10 vs. Top 100 on clay since 2025.

After a 1st round out in Rome (6-2 6-3 to Popyrin), he played the Valencia challenger and lost in straights to Ugo Carabelli in the 2nd round. Since the weird double bagel vs. Meddy in MC, he’s a fairly discouraging 3-5. Plus, this is just his 2nd GS appearance out of the last 5.

🎾 Roland Garros Round 1 🎾 0.75u - Marton Fucsovics ML (+240 B365) Not a huge endorsement of Marton by any means, as he’s 0-3 so far on the clay swing. But Berrettini has been almost equally terrible. Also hasn’t won a slam match since AO ‘25 & has some real fitness concerns.

🎾 Roland Garros Round 1 🎾 0.5u parlay (+267 B365) • Altmaier/FAA o3.5 Sets • Rafael Jodar -1.5 Sets • Alexander Zverev 3-0 On all of these separately and have a really nice price for the lay. Well worth a shot for me to get some plus money action to start the tournament.

🎾 Roland Garros Round 1 🎾 1.15u - Altmaier/Auger Aliassime o3.5 Sets (-150 B365) Since ‘22 … cashed in 27/40 GS matches for FAA, 20/28 for Altmaier (7/10 RG). They’ve played 3x in the last year or so. Split 1-1 on clay & Felix in a decider on HC. Expecting a competitive one.

🎾 Roland Garros Round 1 🎾 2u - Rafael Jodar -1.5 Sets + Ben Shelton ML (-122 B265) Jodar gets some rest this week before a relatively light matchup vs. Kova. 15-3 on clay. And Ben seems to always show up in the BO5 format. Merida can take a set but really don’t see the upset.

🎾 Roland Garros Round 1 🎾 0.75u - Sinner 3-0/Popyrin -1.5 Sets (-135 DK) 0.75u - Sinner 3-0/Arthur Fils -1.5 Sets (-159 DK) Sinner 3-0 -300 just feels so wildly mispriced to me - I’m happy to double up there. Svajda still an easy clay fade for now + idk how Stan gets 2 sets.

Looking at the weather forecast in Paris for the next week and I am #concerned for some guys in round 1 …

🎾 Roland Garros Round 1 🎾 0.75u - Andrey Rublev ML (-185 DK) -200 FD. Missed the -150 opener but still see value here. 8-4 on clay after an awful sunshine double. Buse has played a lot of tennis lately and still yet to win a slam match in his career. This would be a surprise.

🎾 Roland Garros Round 1 🎾 0.75u - Daniel Altmaier ML (+283 DK) Gotta fade FAA (1st round exit 2 of L3 RG’s) with a guy in Altmaier that’s had legit results here and has regained some form after an awful start to the year. 11-8 on the clay swing + a win over Shelton this week.

🎾 Roland Garros Round 1 🎾 1u - Alexander Zverev 3-0 (-163 B365) Way too short to me. I like Bonzi, but outside of his wins vs. a slumping Daniil last year he hasn’t shown me a ton at slams, and isn’t a great clay courter despite the awesome set he played vs. Sinner in Madrid.