William Keating

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William Keating

William Keating

@SemiconAlpha

Semiconductors are seminal to our collective future & fascinate me. Definitely NOT investment advice. Entertainment purposes only. DYOR. Thanks!

Hong Kong Katılım Eylül 2014
389 Takip Edilen685 Takipçiler
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William Keating
William Keating@SemiconAlpha·
this is complete horse sh*t. Here's a quote from TSMC's Q4 2025 earnings call tanscript That's a long question. We built a fab in Arizona, and we worked hard, so today, everything, even the yield or defect density is almost equal to Taiwan. And due to the strong demand, as I just answered from the AI, stronger, that's a mega trend, all my customers in the AI customer you see in the US.
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William Keating
William Keating@SemiconAlpha·
In his 2001 book The Coming Collapse of China, he predicted the CCP's fall by 2011. When that didn't happen, he shifted to 2012 in a Foreign Policy article ("Bet on it"). It made "worst predictions" lists multiple times.en.wikipedia.org He has issued similar collapse forecasts for specific years (e.g., 2016, into the 2020s) that have not materialized. China has faced serious challenges (debt, demographics, property crisis, zero-COVID fallout), but it has not collapsed. Critics call this a pattern of alarmism without accountability. enough said...
Cyrus Janssen@thecyrusjanssen

The world would be a better place us stupidity was painful 🤦🏻‍♂️ Hands down the most unhinged, unrealistic, and complete BS narrative from someone who been proven wrong about China for 25 years If you knew anything about China, you would know the last thing want is a war and certainly not a war on US soil. It’s so sad Americans have to listen to this nonsense and propaganda. Gordon seriously needs to seek a mental health professional

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William Keating
William Keating@SemiconAlpha·
The US patent litigation is currently in a stalemate. The UK and German litigation could proceed much faster compared to the US, and be much more problematic for Micron...
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William Keating
William Keating@SemiconAlpha·
YMTC has also filed a complaint against Micron for false advertising, product disparagement, and unfair competition. They claim that anti-YMTC content on the chinatechthreat.com website was funded by Micron
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William Keating
William Keating@SemiconAlpha·
YMTC currently has patent infringement lawsuits filed against Micron in California, Texas, Beijing, Shanghai, London, Dusseldorf & Munich.
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William Keating
William Keating@SemiconAlpha·
Huawei chips designed under this framework will deliver transistor density equivalent to a 1.4nm process by 2031, three years after TSMC’s publicly stated 2028 timeline for its A14 (1.4nm) node.
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William Keating
William Keating@SemiconAlpha·
Huawei’s next-generation Kirin SoC, due autumn 2026, will be the first commercial chip to fully adopt the resulting architecture, which Huawei is calling “LogicFolding.”
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William Keating
William Keating@SemiconAlpha·
Huawei introduced the “Tau Scaling Law” under which chip designers optimise for the time taken for elements of a chip to communicate, rather than for the space between transistors.
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William Keating
William Keating@SemiconAlpha·
Once Phase III ramps, Guosheng estimates YMTC’s global NAND share exceeds 15%. After that, two more fabs are reportedly planned that would double total YMTC capacity at full production. Yikes!
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William Keating
William Keating@SemiconAlpha·
Reports suggest YMTC Q1 2026 revenue of ¥20 billion, doubling YoY, driven by AI data center NAND demand.
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William Keating
William Keating@SemiconAlpha·
On 19 May 2026, China’s Hubei securities regulator accepted CITIC Securities’ tutoring filing for Yangtze Memory Technologies Holding Co., Ltd. (YMTC), the country’s only end-to-end 3D NAND manufacturer.
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William Keating
William Keating@SemiconAlpha·
CXMT says that based on Omdia data for Q4 2025 DRAM sales, its global market share had risen to 7.67%, making it #4 globally and #1 in China
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William Keating
William Keating@SemiconAlpha·
For Q1 2026, CXMT reported RMB 50.800 billion of revenue, +719% YoY and RMB 24.762 billion of attributable net profit versus a RMB 1.559 billion loss in Q1 2025
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William Keating
William Keating@SemiconAlpha·
CXMT is seeking a Shanghai STAR Market listing through an A-share IPO of up to 10.62 billion shares, equal to at least 10% of post-issue share capital
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