
William Keating
811 posts

William Keating
@SemiconAlpha
Semiconductors are seminal to our collective future & fascinate me. Definitely NOT investment advice. Entertainment purposes only. DYOR. Thanks!


The world would be a better place us stupidity was painful 🤦🏻♂️ Hands down the most unhinged, unrealistic, and complete BS narrative from someone who been proven wrong about China for 25 years If you knew anything about China, you would know the last thing want is a war and certainly not a war on US soil. It’s so sad Americans have to listen to this nonsense and propaganda. Gordon seriously needs to seek a mental health professional




In yesterday’s UBS Tech view (APAC) it is pretty striking how aggressive the UBS still is on the AI memory and packaging cycle. A few notable updates from this latest semi chain work: $NVDA AI GPU forecast raised from 8.7m to 10.3m units for 2026 Rubin now expected to ramp meaningfully in H2’26 CoWoS capacity seen reaching 210k WPM by end-2027 HBM wafer allocation expected to nearly double again into 2027 But maybe the biggest takeaway: UBS now thinks DRAM stays undersupplied until Q2’28 and NAND until Q4’27. That’s a much longer/tighter cycle than what the market historically expects from memory as far as I remember. The note also reinforces that packaging expansion still looks intact despite ongoing investor concerns around digestion/capacity normalization. $AMD $MU $005930.KS $000660.KS