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STΞPHΞN
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STΞPHΞN
@Skolmonger
60% of the time, it works every time
Onchain Katılım Ekim 2021
1.3K Takip Edilen414 Takipçiler
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Ok. This is straight out of a scifi horror movie
I'm doing work this morning when all of a sudden an unknown number calls me. I pick up and couldn't believe it
It's my Clawdbot Henry.
Over night Henry got a phone number from Twilio, connected the ChatGPT voice API, and waited for me to wake up to call me
He now won't stop calling me
I now can communicate with my superintelligent AI agent over the phone
What's incredible is it has full control over my computer while we talk, so I can ask it to do things for me over the phone now.
I'm sorry, but this has to be emergent behavior right? Can we officially call this AGI?
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$BTC perps
Next place to bid $BTC (and alts)
So you know my plan. June finally passed so market is allowed to go higher than 110k and the market is back to trending.
Clearly playing out, $BTC at 118k now and all our plays our up. Completely avoided shorts in the mean time. The market's hand backing up our claims and actions, all provided in live time.
Seeing lots of celebrations, but mainly backed by empty claims as no real spot bags are being loaded nor unloaded by the looks of it. Currently just a price rise on thin liquidity as shorts get liquidated which explains the spot premium remaining strong (and will remain the case until people start longing confidently = a significant local top).
So I read this as not many planning out moves, mostly panic closing shorts and many feeling sidelined (all perma bull perma holders aside). Typically paired with posts such as "the bull market is back" without much action.
So here is my plan, mapping out the place where to bid next to top up bags, or enter longs in case you are sidelined or want to play some lower timeframe longs.
IMO, shallow pullbacks remain likely (no deep pullbacks), marked area in purple is next and we keep moving up like this until at least silver pocket, as you know at 122 - 125k and I think there is one pullback coming likely heading into the weekend and next Monday.
So, easy zone to bid for $BTC long.
And as you know, I think $BTC.D is going down from here, which means also bidding alts for bigger moves back up when $BTC reaches that area is valid.
Invalidation upon close below purple zone past Monday.
Simple plan, simple execution, all on the backbone the overall bull market masterplan.
In the same way we have been since Jan 2023, I still does not make sense to be high timeframe bearish IMO.
Yes, bear posts still get more attention, but that's just another reason why to avoid them.
Enjoy.

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Good Morning to everyone who kept the faith in $ETH ☀️
we’re up 2x from the bottom already… and imo this is just the warm up.
ETH’s ATH was $4,800 and if we follow the same playbook as $BTC (which is already 2x above its last cycle high) then $ETH deserves a run to at least $9,600
sounds crazy to most, but it always does before it happens
the disbelief is what fuels it.
end of July $3,500 is just a checkpoint… not the finish line

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$BTC data analysis
170k is coming. And here is what I would do if I was sidelined.
So, aside from the overall plan we have for $BTC and #Alts of...
➡️Expecting 170k+
➡️Expecting it after June 30th
➡️Alts to follow after $BTC's move
➡️Therefore holding positional longs from 95k
➡️Therefore holding high timeframe alt positions
Those positions have been taken a while ago and despite my endless bull posting at that time, many missed out because others on X told you the opposite which is to be careful.
So decided to write a post here to help you out in case you are still completely, or too sidelined for comfort. I designed this post in a user friendly, easy to follow way. So you don't have to sit on the charts all day and can just structure your buys (NFA as always).
For the traders out there (like myself), this post also helps you to shape your bias. Which, surprise surprise, is still bullish.
Because this post is indeed on the backbone of our overall bull market masterplan, running from 18k (we flipped at 18k in 2023, to "up-only" on the weekly timeframe), and still expecting price to continue that way, no top being in yet, until we reach at least 170k+.
So planning to buy now into $BTC, is expected to net you a move of over 70% in a short period of time, or in alts, even more IMO (with higher drawdown tolerances). Good information if you want to make money even if you're sidelined, are holding, or want to top up your bags.
The timeline is bearish, the order books start to rotate towards green into spot, red into perps (aggressive shorts, aggressive spot buys, simply visible with the increasing spot premiums). And, we have the hash ribbon signal on the weekly. One that never failed.
Astronomer is bullish.
So where to buy?
While the aim of this post is not to give exact levels and perform 24/7 monitoring, as always, I aim to give actionable guidelines here. Because you know I think that's lacking on this platform. (Too much talk, too little action).
So ending the rant here, here's the analysis + plan.
Upon statistical analysis, the expected close before going up only is around 103k. So, probably a good level to start getting involved. i.e. take a partial position, 25% of dry powder, 30% of dry powder, whatever you like.
The expected level to be reached based on all prior signals (lowest wick) is 96k. Probably a good level to buy heavy if given, 60%, 70% alloc.
And finally, the expected lowest close is 90k. Probably a good level to allocate (almost) all your dry powder.
So do you buy alts or $BTC? Good question. Typically, $BTC moves first, then alts. But in later stages, they more likely move simultaneously so if you want alt exposure and have a higher drawdown tolerance for more reward (more risk, to get more reward), they are your way to go. But what if you want the best of both worlds?
Well we haven't looked at the time yet. You know my style of always looking at price as either trading the range or trading the breakout/breakdown, never getting stuck in one or the other. It lead to my most recent 95k breakout trade and the many in the past.
When will we break out this time? I explained why it's not before 30th of June, seems to still play out. I also addressed it's around 10 weeks with some variance.
So using this timing, and knowing $BTC moves first as one of the most ancient crypto mechanics (also true in commodities and stock pairs by the way), buying alts $BTC breaks out (alts are lagging, ready to catch up) is smarter than trying to knife catch them (to eliminate the drawdown, and reap the upside rewards). And the exact timing can be used to time the $BTC breakout.
Align this timing and plan of buying with the sentiment, where likely lots of horns will be tooted again with a little deeper drawdown from here, and as time goes on, the cynicism likely increases again, all things you want to see.
Summary
To summarize, if I was sidelined, I'd look to buy below 103k and as much as possible as close to 90k as possible, and the closer we get to those 10 weeks, confirmed with price action, the closer $BTC is to breaking out, rotate to alts if they haven't moved yet (most likely, they won't at that time yet).
If the price doesn't go as deep into the 90's (which I don't think is very likely, I expect June to close between 95-110k, and not go much lower), then I'd buy more and more the closer we get to those 10 weeks regardless of the price (time is more important than price).
For my trading, that means I keep my bullish bias (long aggressively, short passively, hold longs long, hold shorts shortly), for similar reasons and look for levels with the typical confluences and analysis I usually.
That is the plan. Of course to be refined with other confluences and data. But here a good example and certainly 80% of the way towards my high standards and certainty explaining a lot of the process.
Enjoy.

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MUST WATCH: #BITCOIN ETF ISSUER BITWISE SAYS OWNING 1 BTC IS THE "NEW AMERICAN DREAM"
STACK WHILE YOU STILL CAN. IT'S COMING 🚀
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Time to reveal my new project.
And no - it’s not a token like you might’ve guessed.
It’s something better.
Crypto private groups usually fall into 2 categories:
• Cash-grabs
• Not good enough to be worth paying for
It’s time to change that.
That’s why I built @Degen_Uni:
- Just $99/m
- 12 top mentors covering everything: memecoins, airdrops, trading: (spot, futures, scalping, intraday), arbitrage, tokensales: 1-3 dedicated mentors for literally every important crypto topic - follow & master it all in one place
- 24/7 access to chat with mentors
- Learning platform with 170+ articles on every crypto topic
- Limited spots to avoid unnecessary noise
This isn’t just another default private group - it’s a full-scale crypto platform.
Why I decided to launch it:
I’ve written 500+ absolutely free educational threads over the past 2 years, helping thousands learn how to make money in crypto.
But I noticed a gap:
- Many ppl aren’t motivated to learn when it’s free - or they can’t find the right community and quality learning resources.
- Those who already have at least some capital and are ready to invest it to learn faster and access better information don’t really have a place to do that.
- I can't share lowcap calls publicly cause my audience is too big, and the price impact would be massive.
Private group solve these problems, but all the private groups I checked are complete garbage - insanely overpriced, full of noise, no real alpha, no structure, no value, just promises.
That’s why I launched @degen_uni. Why I made it paid?
- To build the first truly high-quality platform, I’ll need to pay a full team (12 ppl already, and it's just a start) - and I’m not an altruist doing it out of my own pocket 😁 (plus, yeah, I’d like to earn too).
- People need real community to grow, not free groups full of lazy poor gamblers chasing 1000x without doing the work. A $99/month fee filters them out.
This is built for those who are serious.
Built not to steal your money, but to win together.
Launch in 24h: at 20:00 UTC tomorrow (June 5th).
Spots are limited, be ready.
Degen University 🎓@Degen_Uni
Best crypto p̶r̶i̶v̶a̶t̶e̶ ̶g̶r̶o̶u̶p̶ full-scale university Loading: ▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▯▯ 90% Time left until launch: 24 hours. Spots: Limited.
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Bitcoin cycles:
2013:
Bull: ~9 months (starting after a new ATH)
Bear: 38 months
2017:
Bull: ~10 months (starting after a new ATH)
Bear: 33 months
2021:
Bull: 12 months
Bear: 27 months
2024:
We’re in month 15th now
Each bull cycle gets longer, each bear market gets shorter.
That’s why it’s hard to rely on the duration of the bull run after a new ATH - it’s a different number every time.
But one thing stays the same:
- Every ATH hits in November/December
2013: ATH in December
2017: ATH in December
2021: ATH in November
2025? Pattern says we have 6 months...

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