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35 posts


@JC_Investment Guys, come back to earth!
Economy doing reasonably well!
Medium term, trend is up!
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@mattcerminaro @fs_insight FS is worth every penny! But we are waiting to hear from you on where and when to go short SPX 💥💥
This will be a great value-add ✌️
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Quick tweet… gotta run, CPI 🤑 … but Tune in folks 👇
Fundstrat Direct@FundstratDirect
Post-CPI & earnings season around the corner, hear from our research team TODAY at 2pm ET. Not a member? Don't navigate markets alone. Start your 30-day trial & join us! 👇
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The main event for this week, and arguably the main event for this month is the June CPI report.
We even issued a “tactical Buy call” (100 points on S&P 500 by Friday this week) as we expect a material downside read on Core CPI of 0.25% or better MoM, compared to Consensus of +0.30%.
Of the last 8 CPI reports, the S&P 500 has risen and in two of them, rallied strongly:
– Oct CPI (11/10) +5.3% 5D rally
– Feb CPI (3/14) +3.8% 5D rally
– So, +4%-5% rally is 180 to 225 S&P 500 points
– Thus, 100 points could be a “low end” on a CPI beat
Read today's full FIRST WORD report from @fundstrat Tom Lee 👇
fsinsight.com/first-word/202…
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How Earth will look in 250 million years according to plate tectonics theory
[video: buff.ly/2I3KQ7N]
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The major drivers of equity markets are shifting. We can see this in the data, and how the independent relationships are moving
The Fed was the only game in town for most of 2022
No longer
Join the conversation in our new Discord community
👇
discord.gg/26Nvg6F97d
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Your easy summary for the last week - the entire macro complex summarised
Simples
#macro #markets #stocks
Mahmood Noorani@quant_invest
The one thing.. ..you need to know about #macro in the last week Top10 macro moves in comparable z score terms (+3 to -3 the range pretty much) 👉 Overall slight risk positive form USDCNH and CHina CDS #markets #stocks
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1/ $SPX $ES long signal from Friday 15th Oct
Price is now within 0.25 std dev of model
Model value 3 day chg is lower
Backtest on this set up assumed exit once price was within 0.25 std dev of model=>reached
Price has caught up with the info
5%+ gain/6 day hold
#stocks

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#macro themes dominate
macro information is profuse
time to use analytics to get on top of macro
The Transcript@TheTranscript_
$GS CEO: "Everywhere I go macro themes dominate. In my conversations with CEOs, they tell me that they are rethinking business opportunities. I would like to see more certainty before committing to longer-term plans"
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When stock prices lag the information, and there is a growing disconnect, a signal is generated by the eyeQ "market brain". When other conditions are also supportive this becomes a "super signal"
They are rare
We had several today
#stocks
Ai for successful investing
GIF
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