Pav

“There is always a well-known solution to every human problem—neat, plausible, and wrong.” (American journalist H.L. Mencken)

@simonmaechling Real scientists don’t spend their spare time posting strawman arguments on social media.

It’s a rough time to be a scientist. You spend decades learning how to measure things properly. How to separate signal from noise. How to distinguish hazard from risk. And then you open your phone and watch fear beat data - again and again and again. In the lab, we argue about controls, concentrations, confidence intervals. Online, people argue about screenshots, podcasters and blogs. This little molecule in my hand? The dose matters. Exposure matters. Evidence matters. Being a scientist today means doing more than running experiments. It means explaining, clarifying, correcting - over and over and over again. So yes - it’s a rough time to be a scientist. But it’s also the most important time to speak up.

@MeanwhileInUA “In post war Europe there was a decision in 1945 that we’re not going to invade each other anymore . We’re not going to have wars. Instead we’re going to decide everything by diplomacy. Borders will not be changed by force”. 🤥😂 Anyone who believes this is an idiot.

Putin didn't invade Ukraine because of NATO. He invaded because Ukrainians were proving democracy works. Historian and Pulitzer Prize winner Anne Applebaum puts it plainly: Putin looked at Ukraine's democratic movement and thought, "If they can do it in Ukraine, then people could do it in Russia. So I need to crush this." That's the real threat Ukraine posed. Not missiles. Not borders. A working democracy next door. Applebaum frames the war as a fault line between the democratic and autocratic worlds. Russia isn't just trying to take territory. It's trying to erase Ukraine as a nation, reduce it to a colony, and send a message to every country that the post-1945 rules of Europe no longer apply. Those rules were simple: no invasions, no wars, borders don't change by force. Russia understood exactly what it was breaking when it crossed into Ukraine.

@MeanwhileInUA She’s on the board of the National Endowment for Democracy.

@200pipss @profitsplusid Junk?! Ha ha. Too bad about today’s green candle!

@profitsplusid 😂🤣😂🤣 no dude we are going 50% lower from here , it’s worthless junk to own people have finally figured it out

Gold and Silver Alert 4 hour charts creating the inverted head and shoulders pattern with positive divergence in relative strength.

@simonmaechling Is that the same as conformism mistaking consensus for critical thinking, Simon?

Pseudoscience mistakes contrarianism for critical thinking.

@strangerous10 So says the guy with accountability in his bio and buys Albo’s line that he changed his position. 🤥

Jim Chalmers “It would have been the easiest thing in the world to leave everything as it was” “To leave in place this busted status quo” “It would have been politically easier. But we would rather do the right thing even if it’s difficult”💥 It’s the right call, Treasurer..🙏

@strangerous10 @peaceitw Jane Caro reposted this. 🤡

@peaceitw If you’re so keen on giving wealthy investors a handout you can always donate directly.

For Sunrise viewers who couldn’t hear Tanya Plibersek over Nat Barr & Barnaby Joyce’s constant interruptions, what she said was “Those who work for a living should not get taxed more on their wages than ppl who are living on their assets”✅ Hard to argue with that. #auspol

@strangerous10 @JaneCaro But they do!

@aaronsmith Why are you trying to justify a tax that will now most likely reduce investment? Australia will have the highest CGT in the world so investment will go elsewhere. Even New Zealand has zero CGT.

Who benefits from Australia's 50% CGT discount (2022–23, Treasury) Top 10% of earners: get 86% of the benefit Top 20%: get 89% Over-60s: get 52% 18–34 year olds: just 4% Avg benefit to top earners: $86,000+ Avg benefit to bottom 60%: ~$5,000 ie - the young do not benefit from CGT disc

@samstrades Flat 30% tax rate is unrealistic. Capital gain is added to your other income and taxed at your marginal rate — often 37%, 45% + Medicare. 30% only a minimum floor. The effective tax rate on the (mostly) full gain will be much higher making the real tax hit significantly bigger

Example with $250k #ausbiz #CGT

Do not panic and think rationally #ausbiz #auspol #CGT #investing #budget

@samstrades Losing 0.3–1% per year in after-tax return over decades is meaningful money, especially in retirement portfolios or growth assets like shares/property.

@samstrades On a $250k gain: +72% more tax than discount method.

@samstrades And? Under new indexation method your paying 31.2% more tax.

@aaronsmith That’s exactly what an ALP hack would say. The budget was a fail.

How many part time workers at Woolies, attending University, plough cash into EFTs?

@mick_g_w @craigkellyAFEE Not the point. Plenty of people who aren’t earning any income have assets they may want to sell. How clueless are you!

@craigkellyAFEE no one earning $45,000 is buying shares or antiques my man, how fucking out of touch are you haha

If you are earning less than $45,000 your marginal tax rate is zero for $0 – $18,200 and 16% for $18,201 – $45,000. However if you’ve bought a few shares, or maybe invested in a few antiques - that have had a capital gain, sneaky Albanese now wants to tax that not at your marginal rate, but at 30%. Its a direct attack on low income earners and pensioner.

@craigkellyAFEE It's pure confiscation, Craig. #theft

@AvidCommentator Jealous brats. ha ha

Wow this has stuck a chord, who would have thought Chat GPT assuming Australian women were attractive by default would annoy so many people 😂

@AvidCommentator The government has wrecked investment incentives, and if anyone calls it unintended consequences I’ll spew. There’s no such thing as unintended consequences — only ignored ones.

This is Emily (hypothetical). She is 22 years old and works part time at a supermarket while at uni, she is very frugal and puts most of her pay into index fund ETF's. When she sells those she will be slugged at 30% minimum capital gains tax, despite being a low income earner.

@simonmaechling You said it! 🤣

The biggest public health problem today isn’t chemicals. It’s scientific illiteracy.