ckmdk

12 posts

ckmdk

ckmdk

@ckmdk70

Katılım Mart 2026
53 Takip Edilen8 Takipçiler
ckmdk
ckmdk@ckmdk70·
@Kennethaydt1969 We would all do better if we waited for confirmation of both tops and bottoms. Trends can extend beyond our expectations. If the next top is a generational end of a wave 3, there will be years to trade both directions. Your insights are very valuable. Thank you!
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kenneth
kenneth@Kennethaydt1969·
@ckmdk70 I called the bottom and top of the covid crash before it happened but I covered way too soon listening to all the bounce calls...I wont do that again.....and btw that was luck....happens every now and again...x.com/Kennethaydt196…
kenneth@Kennethaydt1969

1987 redux?   spy started 2019 around 240..spx started 1987 around 240....even got some pb's to 275...1-2 months of 310-315 action and now headed to 335-340 before a hard roll back to 220...or about where we was when Trump got elected....time will tell stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24S…

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kenneth
kenneth@Kennethaydt1969·
I remember 2006-2007 like it was yesterday....EVERYTHING behind the scenes was collapsing...I was constantly trying to short from late 2005 into the summer of 2007....By the time we reached the apex in October....I was looking up.....if history is any guide we will all be looking up when the true top does come....My advice for bears....dont try to short the top...wait for support to break and ride the trend down....kicker is most of us are narcissistic in nature and we will have no choice but to try and continue to short the top....most of you will either lose most of your account or be totally wiped out by the time the true top does come....AND the ones that do get lucky enough to hit the top will cover WAY TOO SOON...I know thousand of traders...I only know one that rode the whole covid crash from top to bottom...Good Luck Bears
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ckmdk
ckmdk@ckmdk70·
@Kennethaydt1969 The market conditions us over time to question our conviction
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ckmdk
ckmdk@ckmdk70·
@TicTocTick I subscribe to your substack. Your levels and insight into momentum are excellent!
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Emini tic
Emini tic@TicTocTick·
Those who are in my inner circle ⭕️ (Substack) know that I don’t flip flop like other furu . Am consistent even tempered. I don’t shoot at random targets .. I only strike when it is red hot .. unleashing profit and wetting our folks beaks 💦 But I ask for patience & loyalty.
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ckmdk
ckmdk@ckmdk70·
@TicTocTick Your levels keep me out of trouble and make money. Both equally important!
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Emini tic
Emini tic@TicTocTick·
Let there be no doubts left no more of order blow. Like if beak 🐦 is wet 💦 today.
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kenneth
kenneth@Kennethaydt1969·
If you went long with me before the China trip I would lighten up on the longs....not saying to short or that we are setting a major top........Not seeing any big vol bets which almost always comes with a major top...This has the recipe for a blowoff top similar to Jan 2018...This rally is still short of what we got in dotcom...to get a true replay of dotcom would shock the masses....We are not there yet....to get a replay of jan 2018 we would see the market rally with the VXX after the vix cycle is finished next week....Not predicting this by no means....just pointing out the setup is there...
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ckmdk
ckmdk@ckmdk70·
@TicTocTick Shorting above support is a recipe for a squeeze
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Emini tic
Emini tic@TicTocTick·
My folks had this support level in the email. 2 days ago. 2. Dipping buying is going on. The participants are greedy they want 7600.
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ckmdk
ckmdk@ckmdk70·
@AdamMancini4 Always great levels and insight into market behavior
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Adam Mancini
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4·
Choppy corrective mode the theme today in #ES_F as typical with OPEX - do not overtrade today as warned. Give ES time to digest the recent move and build new structure. We are coming into 7421 next support down. 7402-7399 remain below (watch traps). 7435 reclaims see 7450-55.
Adam Mancini@AdamMancini4

OPEX day underway - do not overtrade today. Yesterday the 7411 Failed Breakdown was long trigger. We got to 7526 main target, then 7539 bonus, then dipped. Now #ES_F in choppy corrective mode. 7421, 7402-7399 remain below (watch traps). 7450 recovery with vol triggers to 7473

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ckmdk
ckmdk@ckmdk70·
@TicTocTick Backtesting last breakout is actually a sign of more normal market behavior
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Emini tic
Emini tic@TicTocTick·
Markets deep red at the open, QQQ, Korea, Japan, Australia , everything is down. Gold crashing. Bond yields spiking. Oil prices spiking . Is it the end now?
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ckmdk
ckmdk@ckmdk70·
@TicTocTick Nobody has a crystal ball. Good news, market goes up big. Bad news, market goes down a little. Seems like the market wants up to finish something off. If it doesn’t happen, use a stop
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Emini tic
Emini tic@TicTocTick·
Can be an explosive 🧨 day tomorrow to wrap the week off . I call for 7500. Now 7393.
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ckmdk
ckmdk@ckmdk70·
@TicTocTick I believe in your vision and approach. Will keep a look out for chat on substack
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ckmdk
ckmdk@ckmdk70·
@TicTocTick Thanks so much! We will take anything you have on substack even if infrequently
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Emini tic@TicTocTick·
With heavy heart, 💜 we are shortly suspending publication. Existing readers will continue to be serviced. For now .
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