@dubidubabap Great list. Thanks for sharing. Btw, how about checking $TRT?
English
Melbourne kim
63 posts
이번에는 기존에 내가 보던 종목들을 전부 제외하고,
완전히 clean sheet 관점에서 멀티배거 후보를 다시 서치해봤다.
아직 각 기업을 깊게 판 것은 아니다.
제품 경쟁력, 고객사, 계약 구조, 10-K, 희석 리스크, 현금흐름까지 전부 검증한 단계는 아니고,
현재는 1차 서치 / watchlist 구축 단계다.
내가 본 기준은 단순하다.
작은 시총
아직 과열되지 않은 가격
수익성 개선의 단서
EBITDA / FCF 개선 가능성
고품질 재투자
희석 리스크 통제
그리고 실제 수급 반응
성장 산업에 있다고 다 멀티배거가 되는 것은 아니다.
AI, 반도체, 데이터센터, 헬스케어, 인프라 같은 단어가 붙어도, 그 투자가 실제 매출, EBITDA, FCF로 이어지지 않으면 결국 자본 소모형 기업일 수 있다.
그래서 이번에는 스토리보다 숫자를 먼저 봤다.
1차 clean-sheet 결과는 이렇게 나왔다.
1. $GCT
이번 서치에서 숫자만 보면 가장 먼저 걸린 후보.
시총은 작고, 밸류에이션은 낮고, 매출과 순이익이 같이 증가하고 있다.
AI/반도체처럼 화려한 테마는 아니지만,
B2B 대형 화물·물류·마켓플레이스 구조에서 매출 성장과 이익 성장이 동시에 나오고 있다.
좋게 보면 “싸고 성장하는 플랫폼”.
나쁘게 보면 관세, 물류비, 경기 민감도, 거버넌스 리스크가 있는 종목.
화려하진 않지만 멀티배거 필터에는 꽤 잘 맞는다.
2. $TSSI
가장 원석형에 가까운 후보.
AI 데이터센터 rack integration에 직접 걸려 있다.
GPU가 늘어나면 칩만 필요한 게 아니다.
랙 조립, 테스트, 통합, 전력, 냉각, 배치까지 필요하다.
여기서 병목이 생기면 TSSI 같은 회사가 수혜를 받을 수 있다.
다만 리스크도 크다.
고객 집중도, 전력·냉각 capacity, 분기 변동성, 소형주 유동성은 반드시 봐야 한다.
성공하면 크지만, 아직은 고위험 원석이다.
3. $GENI
의외로 강하게 걸린 후보.
스포츠 데이터, 미디어, 베팅 기술 인프라 쪽 회사다.
매출 성장과 adjusted EBITDA 성장률이 좋고,
인수 이후 가이던스 기준으로 보면 시총 대비 EBITDA가 꽤 커 보인다.
하지만 이 종목은 조심해야 한다.
Legend 인수 이후 레버리지, 통합 리스크, GAAP 손실, 규제 리스크가 있다.
숫자만 보면 매우 흥미롭지만,
잘못 보면 “싼 주식”이 아니라 “레버리지 트랩”일 수도 있다.
4. $WLDN
에너지 효율화, 전력 수요 관리, 인프라 서비스 후보.
AI 직접 수혜주는 아니지만,
데이터센터와 전력 부족 문제가 커질수록 전력 효율화와 수요 관리도 중요해진다.
좋게 보는 이유는 매출 성장보다 EBITDA 개선이 더 명확하게 보인다는 점이다.
화려한 종목은 아니지만,
고품질 재투자 기업이라는 관점에서는 꽤 괜찮다.
10배 원석보다는 장기 compounder 쪽에 가깝다.
5. $OPRA
생각보다 숫자가 좋은 소프트웨어/브라우저 후보.
매출 성장, adjusted EBITDA 성장, 현금흐름, 자사주 매입이 같이 있다.
AI browser / AI agent narrative도 붙을 수 있다.
중요한 건 이 회사가 단순 적자 AI 스토리주가 아니라,
이미 돈을 벌고 현금흐름을 내는 회사라는 점이다.
다만 시총이 이미 어느 정도 커서 초소형 멀티배거라기보다는,
좋은 가격에서 사야 하는 품질 성장주에 가깝다.
6. $ETON
소형 제약 성장 후보.
매출 성장률이 높고 adjusted EBITDA도 플러스다.
멀티배거 후보를 볼 때 중요한 건
“성장하면 적자가 커지는 회사”가 아니라,
“성장하면서 이익 체력이 같이 좋아지는 회사”다.
ETON은 이 조건에 일부 맞는다.
다만 제약주는 제품 집중도, 보험, FDA, 인수 제품 성과, 희석 리스크를 반드시 봐야 한다.
7. $BLLN
분자진단 쪽 고성장 후보.
매출 성장률이 매우 높고, gross margin도 높고, 영업이익도 플러스로 전환됐다.
질적으로는 꽤 강한 회사처럼 보인다.
다만 최근 IPO 종목이고, 이미 시총이 꽤 커졌다.
좋은 회사일 가능성은 있지만,
멀티배거 관점에서는 좋은 가격이 훨씬 중요하다.
8. $COHU
반도체 테스트 장비 후보.
AI compute, HPC, advanced packaging이 커지면 테스트 수요도 같이 커질 수밖에 없다.
COHU가 흥미로운 이유는 recurring revenue 성격이 있다는 점이다.
다만 아직 GAAP 기준으로는 완전히 깨끗한 흑자 회사가 아니다.
그래서 앞으로 봐야 할 것은 단순 매출이 아니라,
마진, 테스트 utilization, recurring revenue, 현금흐름이다.
9. $BWMN
작은 인프라 엔지니어링 서비스 후보.
시총이 작고, 매출 성장률은 높다.
AI 테마는 아니지만 멀티배거는 꼭 AI에서만 나오는 것이 아니다.
작은 회사가 인프라 수요와 함께 성장하고,
인수와 운영 레버리지를 잘 쓰면 충분히 커질 수 있다.
다만 roll-up 리스크, GAAP 이익, 부채, working capital을 봐야 한다.
10. $ICHR
반도체 장비 공급망 후보.
HBM, advanced logic, advanced packaging, capex 회복에 걸려 있다.
수급은 강하고, 시장이 다시 관심을 주는 쪽이다.
하지만 Q1 기준으로는 영업현금흐름, 재고, 매출채권 증가를 봐야 한다.
좋은 후보일 수 있지만,
단순히 “반도체 사이클이 온다”만으로는 부족하다.
결국 EBITDA와 FCF가 따라와야 한다.
이번 clean-sheet 1차 순위는 이렇게 본다.
$GCT > $TSSI > $GENI > $WLDN > $OPRA > $ETON > $BLLN > $COHU > $BWMN > $ICHR
이 순위는 매수 순위가 아니다.
아직 깊게 연구한 단계도 아니다.
지금은 “어디를 더 파볼 것인가”를 정하는 1차 watchlist에 가깝다.
내가 앞으로 더 확인할 것은 이거다.
1. 매출 성장이 EBITDA로 연결되는가
2. EBITDA가 FCF로 이어지는가
3. 자산 증가율보다 이익 증가율이 더 강한가
4. CAPEX와 R&D가 자본 소모가 아니라 재투자인가
5. 기존 주주를 희석시키지 않고 성장할 수 있는가
6. 수급이 단순 급등이 아니라 실적 리레이팅으로 이어지는가
결국 멀티배거는 꿈을 사는 게임이 아니다.
작은 회사가, 좋은 시장에서, 자본을 효율적으로 쓰고,
그 결과가 숫자로 확인되며,
시장이 뒤늦게 재평가할 때 나온다.
이번 clean-sheet 결과에서는
숫자형은 $GCT,
원석형은 $TSSI,
레버리지 논쟁형은 $GENI,
품질 인프라형은 $WLDN,
현금흐름 성장형은 $OPRA,
소형 제약 성장형은 $ETON으로 보고 있다.
NFA.
한국어
@RemoteNavigator I also have a same issue lol. I have invested heavily in $CIFR, but now there are so many attractive data centre stocks. I haven’t invested in them yet, but it’s time for me to decide which ones to go with
English
Portfolio Discipline: Sticking to your rules when it feels like crap to watch a stock run without you
Managing portfolio risk often means making tough decisions that don't feel great in the short term.
Two days ago, I decided against opening a position in $HIVE at $3.20. My datacentre and infrastructure exposure was already very high, and adding more would have broken the exact risk management rules I am trying to be better at sticking to. The stock immediately moved +20%.
Instead of chasing, I analysed other names in the sector, and $WYFI stood out after its recent pullback. Again, I went back and forth, but ultimately stuck to my rules and passed due to sector concentration. It has since rallied sharply from $24 to $32.80 (following an after-hours announcement).
Having gone too heavy into these infrastructure plays late last year and roundtripping a few positions (and losing on some), it's easy to let past experiences dictate current moves. But walking away from a massive short-term runner because it violates your portfolio allocation rules isn't a mistake, it's discipline. It just kind of sucks at the time.
In a hot market, it can be tough to see stocks run without you. However, X was full of retail traders whose portfolios were decimated in the months following the huge pullbacks in growth stocks from mid-October 2025.
Protecting capital and managing concentration risk will always matter more than catching every single green day. These are part of the rules I am trying to learn, and the misses are what I am trying to become more comfortable with.
English
$RDW AE 파트너스 이 시발롬들이 또 15백만주를 신주전환부사채 행사로 풀었다. 뭐 이전 45백만주 헐값 매도량에 비하면 적어서 다행이긴 하나, 앞으로 한달간 좇같은 뿅망치질을 해댈 생각을 하니 피꺼솟..
한국어
@seppo996 @TorreGiorgio94 Im a $rdw shareholder. Based on past experience about $rdw, the stock price tends to drop on this kind of news, even if nearly everybody knows it's a good thing. I don't know the exact reason, but it seems related to algo trading. I truly hope this time is different, though.
English
@crucible3801 @TorreGiorgio94 Actually you should buy now if you have been waiting for that. AEI dumping and other institutionala loading up. This is the time to buy not when it sits at 25 USD plus
English
$RDW
Yesterday’s price cap at $14 was the result of AEI dumping 15m shares.
I understand the need to raise capital without paying interest to banks.
But I can’t wait to see them out 100%.
English
Renaissance Tech (most successful hedge fund in history) INCREASED positions in interesting names...
$BTBT owns a lot of $WYFI
$CORZ multi-billion hosting backlog
$CPSH defense rare specialty materials
$CTRM small cap dry bulk shipping
$CVV epitaxial deposition equipment
$ETOR global retail trading platform scale
$GEN Norton plus LifeLock cyber moat
$GOOGL TPU finally getting respect
$IMPP ultra cheap product tanker fleet
$LPTH precision optics for defense
$MAMA refrigerated grab and go
$MELI Latin America commerce
$MSTR largest corporate $BTC treasury
$MTC synthetic biology biomaterials
$PAYS prepaid card programs for plasma
$SNDK NAND memory pure play
$TENB cyber exposure management
$TOYO Japanese solar cell tech maker
$WGS whole genome sequencing leader
$ZS zero trust cloud security pioneer
13F filing (03/31/2026 reporting period).
They also added the space ticker I'm talking about tomorrow... 🫡
Can you figure out which one?
English
📊 Chart Requests
I'll break down 3 charts before Friday's open based on your requests.
Comment 1 TICKER each.
Most-requested names will be covered.
Let's see what the community is watching 👀
English
@RemoteNavigator I think all of your followers are rooting for you because you strive to be a transparent and good person!
English
Real chat: my ethical pivot and the reaction surprise
When I shared that I was looking to start scaling out of $RDW due to ethical concerns, someone commented:
"You’re probably gonna get all sorts of crap for your post"
And that is what I expected.
Instead, it was the opposite. So many people said it was commendable, that they had huge respect for the decision and me, that it was refreshing, things like integrity and strong moral compass etc.
And also that it is something they have been considering doing or are thinking about now.
And that is so awesome to see! I love that 😍
The argument is you can't make money with ethical investing, so if you say you are focusing on it, people think you are a joke. Yet some of the most exciting new retail favs on X are ethical, eco-focused businesses.
I will be sharing my portfolio in an hour, and it has been built around that approach, so you can be the judge of whether it looks "goofy", or whether this approach might have some legs.
But yea, super impressed by the reaction and how awesome this community is! You guys rock 🙏👊
Remote Navigator 🧭@RemoteNavigator
My Ethical Dilemma: Why I Am Scaling Out of $RDW 🛡️ I want to premise this by saying this has nothing to do with how I believe the company or the stock will perform in the future; it is solely based on my own personal investing philosophy. I originally entered $RDW as a commercial space infrastructure play, that was the core attraction for me. However, following the Edge Autonomy acquisition and recent management commentary, it is clear the company is pivoting aggressively toward military applications. As of the Q1 2026 report, revenues are now split nearly 50/50 between the Space (Commercial) and Defence Tech segments. This is part of a process I have worked through over the past few months as I move my portfolio away from military-related and high-polluting stocks. My ethical grounding has always kept me away from pharma, gambling, fast food, and "social harm" stocks, but I am becoming stricter as I do deeper fundamental research into my positions. This shift may help clear up my reasoning for other recent exits: - $ONDS: When I exited last year, I noted that I was not planning to ever re-enter the stock. While they initially focused on commercial drones, their shift toward a military-first strategy began to eat away at me. - $RKLB: This was a difficult one as the New Zealand-founded company remains my biggest historical winner. However, I have completely cut the position as they have secured increasingly significant military and national security contracts. From a revenue standpoint, the pivot to military contracts offers aerospace companies long-term stability, so I understand why they do it. It is crucial for their growth and development. Again, this is a personal decision based on what I want to support with my capital. It is not an indictment of these companies' operational success or their future stock performance; it is simply me deciding where my money sits. And it is something I have fought with for a while, as I love space and do like these companies, and will continue to follow their developments and celebrate their successes. However, I won't be putting my money in them. Disclosure: I am currently scaling out of an open position in $RDW. This post is a personal reflection on ethical investing and is not financial advice, a recommendation to sell, or a comment on the stock's future value. DYOR.
English
@teslamania4477 Lol That might be possible. Even if some $satl shareholders aren't happy about it, I’d actually love for $satl to do an offering so I can get another chance to buy in
English
$SATL
-Net cash provided by operating activities가 $0.2 million (20만 달러)
-회사 역사상 최초로 positive operating cash flow 달성
-전년 동기 대비 $4.9 million 개선
(작년에는 -$4.7M)
이 말인 즉슨 오늘 밤 9시에 유증한다는 소리
야수모드 감자🔥@skrr_potato
$SATL 갑작스런 발표 뭐냐 진짜 satellogic.gcs-web.com/sec-filings/se…
한국어
@RemoteNavigator Good! As you are probably well aware, $RDW chart looks quite compelling at the moment. It'll be interesting to see if the long-maintained resistance line will be broken and and I look forward to seeing more of your TA in the future!
English
@crucible3801 Well the actual sales will be TA based still, I haven't dumped the position or anything.
English
My Ethical Dilemma: Why I Am Scaling Out of $RDW 🛡️
I want to premise this by saying this has nothing to do with how I believe the company or the stock will perform in the future; it is solely based on my own personal investing philosophy.
I originally entered $RDW as a commercial space infrastructure play, that was the core attraction for me. However, following the Edge Autonomy acquisition and recent management commentary, it is clear the company is pivoting aggressively toward military applications. As of the Q1 2026 report, revenues are now split nearly 50/50 between the Space (Commercial) and Defence Tech segments.
This is part of a process I have worked through over the past few months as I move my portfolio away from military-related and high-polluting stocks. My ethical grounding has always kept me away from pharma, gambling, fast food, and "social harm" stocks, but I am becoming stricter as I do deeper fundamental research into my positions.
This shift may help clear up my reasoning for other recent exits:
- $ONDS: When I exited last year, I noted that I was not planning to ever re-enter the stock. While they initially focused on commercial drones, their shift toward a military-first strategy began to eat away at me.
- $RKLB: This was a difficult one as the New Zealand-founded company remains my biggest historical winner. However, I have completely cut the position as they have secured increasingly significant military and national security contracts.
From a revenue standpoint, the pivot to military contracts offers aerospace companies long-term stability, so I understand why they do it. It is crucial for their growth and development.
Again, this is a personal decision based on what I want to support with my capital. It is not an indictment of these companies' operational success or their future stock performance; it is simply me deciding where my money sits.
And it is something I have fought with for a while, as I love space and do like these companies, and will continue to follow their developments and celebrate their successes. However, I won't be putting my money in them.
Disclosure: I am currently scaling out of an open position in $RDW. This post is a personal reflection on ethical investing and is not financial advice, a recommendation to sell, or a comment on the stock's future value. DYOR.
English
@RemoteNavigator @yuzhou32142836 You're right, they still have convertible preferred stock to deal with. I don't think they'll address this until $rdw price is high enough, but then again, nobody knows for sure.
English
@yuzhou32142836 All the coverage I had seen said they are mostly finished, not completed though.
English
$RDW catches a strong bid with the space sector today! There was a lot of negativity after earnings, but you will notice that price action has remained perfectly within the long-term tightening wedge. That is why it is important to zoom out, and why I kept mentioning the wedge bottom.
Now we watch to see if AE is still selling at this level, and whether $RDW will breakout here or continue to coil within the apex.
Is space momentum back?
English
@YOKi_SGN @SpaceInvestor_D That’s a proper analogy lol. But in the short term, my analysis might hold up. Boosted by the rally in space stocks today, $RDW saw a significant jump. With the major shareholders exiting, earnings miss, and the ATM offering, it feels like all bad news is finally baked in.
English
@crucible3801 @SpaceInvestor_D that ATM... is going to be like Herpes
you think it's gone... but it's there to push down.
English
$RDW: Small miss, again...
But the bigger story is margins improving back above 25%, a record backlog, and reaffirmed guidance.
Best quarter in a year imo.
Nothing spectacular, but a clear step in the right direction.
And if you follow me, you knew that raise was coming...
Space Investor@SpaceInvestor_D
$RDW: For the full year ended December 31, 2026, Redwire affirms that it is forecasting revenues of $450 million to $500 million. "During the first quarter of 2026, Redwire’s focus on operational performance and portfolio management drove meaningful year-over-year and sequential improvement in gross margins to 26.6%, which contributed to improved cash from operations," said Chris Edmunds, Chief Financial Officer of Redwire. "In addition, we ended the quarter with record total liquidity4 of $175.2 million. With further line of sight into the rest of the year, we are pleased to reaffirm our 2026 revenue forecast."
English
@RemoteNavigator Your analysis is always insightful. Although $RDW has let me down, I hope there is a bright future for your investments
English
$RDW Earnings Recap: Mixed
Some say good, plenty say bad, but in all honesty, the earnings were mixed. And we are seeing the market wrestling with the messy headlines versus the underlying growth. That is why the price is flat on the day, with $RDW essentially given back all the gains from the regular session.
The Raw Numbers:
Revenue: $97M (+57.9% YoY). While this missed consensus estimates (~$103.5M–$105M), it is still strong top-line growth for a space infrastructure play.
Gross Margin: 26.6% - this is the real highlight: It’s a massive jump from 14.7% a year ago. It suggests they are successfully scaling production and moving past the lower-margin development phases.
The Net Loss: Reported at $(76.5)M / $(0.40) EPS. On paper, it looks bad compared to the $(2.9)M loss last year. However, keep in mind that $42.5M of that was a non-cash, one-time equity compensation charge tied to the Edge Autonomy acquisition. Strip that out, and the picture improves dramatically.
Backlog & Demand: Record $498.1M backlog (+21% since Dec 2025). The 1.92x book-to-bill shows they booked nearly $2 of new business for every $1 recognised, suggesting demand is accelerating.
Liquidity & Guidance: $175.2M in liquidity (+21% QoQ) provides a solid runway. Management also reaffirmed their $450–500M FY2026 revenue guide.
The ATM Overhang:
A lot of the after-hours price action is likely down to the $350M ATM equity shelf filed today. While they terminated their previous, smaller agreement, this new shelf leaves the dilution door wide open.
Conclusion:
Growth is executing underneath the headline miss, but the new equity shelf adds uncertainty for the short-term. The earnings call tomorrow morning (9:00 AM ET) will be key for framing how they plan to use that $350M.
A Quick Chart Note:
Throughout after-hours trading, we have seen the $8.65 level hold up perfectly. This is a good sign that demand remains around here, although tomorrow will give a better reflection (especially after the call). For now, structure looks fine as long at $8.25 (wedge bottom) continues to hold.
Disclosure: I hold an open position in $RDW. Educational technical analysis only – not financial advice or a trade signal. DYOR.
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Are people seeing my posts? My engagement is down like 50-90% on almost all posts as my impressions have tanked.
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@YOKi_SGN Good call. The Q1 results of $rdw were worse than I expected. Let’s make a better move next time
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@TorreGiorgio94 @AFactCheck2U Let’s face it, bro. It’s a miss on both revenue and EPS
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@crucible3801 @AFactCheck2U • Revenue: $97 M, +58% YoY
• Gross Margin: 26.6% vs 14.7%
• Backlog: Record $498 M
• Book-to-Bill: 1.92
• Defense Revenue: +378% YoY
That's what big money (institutions) want to see!
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$RDW
In less than 24 hours, Q1 FY2026 will be released.
I would expect this:
- Revenue beat (>$105m)
- Tremendous demand (b2b ratio ~2x)
- Weak by improved EPS (~ -0.19$)
Backlog from 2025 is huge but these projects are low-margin - this could determine EPS result.
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@AFactCheck2U @TorreGiorgio94 Maybe im right. In case of $rdw, It is necessary to distinguish between simple contracts and actual revenue
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@windstrown @TorreGiorgio94 Thanks for your answer. I hope your investments and $RDW have a bright future!
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@crucible3801 @TorreGiorgio94 Good point, I think for them is about the completion of backlog on this quarter, which I'm my opinion they are getting better at. The revenue even has a good chance to beat above the 110m mark tbh. As for the eps it will be a miss
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