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daedaulus
361 posts
@ma_james90134 @GoshawkTrades The other explanations here are wrong. It’s not about predicting the magnitude. It’s about the fill rate. For the 55% good trades, other people will also know they were good, so there will be no one else on the other side to transact with
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@GoshawkTrades that doesnt make any sense why would you do all the bad trades and some of the good ones?
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a former Jane Street trader on the biggest mistake people make with AI and trading:
"you throw ML at a dataset, find something that predicts price movement 55% of the time, and think you've won."
"that thing can still lose a lot of money in production. because of adverse selection. you're only going to do a small fraction of the good trades. you're gonna do all the bad trades."
more complex ≠ more profitability.
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@ajaeger74 @mamboitaliano__ Nominative determinism is not “puns”. It’s a hypothesis about the universe. Get educated.
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🚨 Breaking news
The missing Italian bodies have reportedly been found, or at least sighted, in the tragedy in the Maldives 🇮🇹
The credit goes to three Finnish divers, among the world’s leading experts, who went down with extraordinary equipment and skill to locate the bodies
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Diver dies while searching for bodies of tourists killed in Maldives scuba tragedy trib.al/1mwaaMY
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5 dead in 160-foot Maldives scuba dive - worst diving accident nation has ever seen trib.al/CgL7v4Q
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daedaulus retweetledi
These two giant turtles have been fighting each other for more than 120 years.
According to the zoo, one turtle stole the other’s food 120 years ago, and since that day they became enemies.
There hasn’t been a single day where they don’t fight for 2–3 minutes😂
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YC have oversold their "investors are dumb" meme and are doing young founders a disservice. Conviction is key, but don't waste your life if your idea's not landing. If you unsuccessfully poll 100 investors, have some self awareness. Maybe the problem is them. But maybe it's you.
Ankit Gupta@agupta
This is ridiculously bad advice. You should change your idea if users don’t want it. Investors are a lagging indicator.
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the discourse about the dwarkesh jensen interview is ridiculous: the fact that a 25yo podcaster can make the ceo of the largest company in the world dance and answer to the people at all is impressive. the purpose of media is not to respectfully sing praises to the powerful
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real ones know that Roon got PIP’d at OpenAI
the only reason they keep him around is to act as their in-house propagandist
Sam Altman’s very own Goebbels
shaur@xXshaurizardXx
omg hes hot
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daedaulus retweetledi
Another Stellar Run In The Wasatch, UT! The 19-day old powder that had been skiing so well got pretty beat up by the Northwest winds yesterday 😬🌬️🍃. But it still didn't ski that bad - you had to really look for the orange peel 🍊 and avoid the smooth stuff. The forecast continues to be dry as the desert 🌵so we just gotta keep grinding. I bought a ticket to Chamonix, France, for Monday, tho... Should I go? Thanks, Utah!
🏄♂️ @Miles_Clark
🎿 @MeierSkis
🧥 @Elevenate_E11
🧤 @HestraGloves
🪄 @LEKIUSA
🦶 @Intuitionliners
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@ESYudkowsky @ESYudkowsky you never address alignment through competition. Algorithmic game theorists believe it’s solvable?! arxiv.org/pdf/2509.15090
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(A redo without the direct link. I tried Promoting the previous version to see if Twitter would let me just *pay* to bypass the link penalty. Apparently not.)
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"If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" is now out. Read it today if you want to see with fresh eyes what's truly there, before others try to prime your brain to see something else instead!
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