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@ehyshadow

Crypto Narratives. Prediction Markets. Web3 Security. Prediction markets ruined my sleep schedule 🔮

Katılım Mart 2021
427 Takip Edilen132 Takipçiler
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Q@ehyshadow·
@yeon_jiwon nah, my application still pending as well
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Jiwon
Jiwon@yeon_jiwon·
Does anyone know how to get an invite for OpenAI Ads?
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@nunooeu·
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Q@ehyshadow·
root cause of the LBP exploit: the token overrode balanceOf(pair) and returned rawBalance(pair) - pendingLpLbp instead of the real pair balance. PancakePair relies on balanceOf(pair) as ground truth for reserves. The attacker inflated pendingLpLbp, forced sync/swap to use the discounted LBP balance, pushed LBP reserves down, pumped the price, then sold LBP back for USDT.
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TenArmorAlert
TenArmorAlert@TenArmorAlert·
🚨TenArmor Security Alert🚨 Our system has detected a suspicious attack involving #LBP on #BSC, resulting in an approximately loss of $144.9K. Attack transaction: bscscan.com/tx/0x47df1be29… With TenArmor’s TenMonitor, you get early detection and automated response to on-chain attacks. Need protection? Reach out anytime! #TenArmorAlert #TenArmor
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Q@ehyshadow·
@SantoXBT @Polymarket The useful signal is not the absolute odds, it’s the speed of repricing. When prediction markets move faster than CT consensus, that’s where it gets interesting
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Santolita
Santolita@SantoXBT·
Smart money on @Polymarket leaning heavy 65% odds for $BTC at 80K this April When prediction markets start getting this confident, it usually means attention is about to shift fast
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Q@ehyshadow·
@smolgeeek The 5 minute markets are basically where human traders go to discover they are competing against scripts, latency, and emotional damage
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geek
geek@smolgeeek·
hear me out on polymarket, if you have been consistently trading this 5 minutes prediction it is either - you have gotten so broke now - you have gotten so rich now - you are always in break even or you need to see a therapist as soon as possible
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Q@ehyshadow·
@PopPunkOnChain Exactly. The key distinction is not “can this be manipulated?” but “is the manipulation observable?” On-chain prediction markets at least give everyone a trail to analyze
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Pop Punk
Pop Punk@PopPunkOnChain·
It's naive to think you can completely block insider trading on prediction markets. It's really just too easy to do. On... Mention/# of posts in timeframe markets: Subject can just tell someone what they're going to say or how many times they'll post. TGE Markets: There are so many CEXs involved for listing processes. Information bleed is very likely. Mainnet Launch Markets: There are so many service providers involved (RPCs, DeFi partner integrations). Information bleed is very likely. The list goes on and on... What you CAN do though, is try and limit the types of markets where insider trading is very easily possible for only a small number of individuals. @pumpcade is doing this. We have no mention markets, we have no listing markets, we have no launch markets. These markets are very easily manipulated by a few parties. If a market can only be manipulated by SOME people, we won't support it. If a market can be manipulated by EVERYONE, we see it as a feature, not a bug. For example, Pumpcade supports up/down markets on every Pump Fun token. This means markets on tokens as low as $3,000 market cap. ANYONE can easily move the market cap up or down. Memecoin trading is PvP. Being able to move the underlying asset of a Pumpcade market adds an additional level. PvPvP. Pumpcade.
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Q@ehyshadow·
@GovKathyHochul Prediction markets don't create insider trading, they make it visible. The uncomfortable part is that on-chain markets expose information flows that traditional markets keep hidden
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Governor Kathy Hochul
Governor Kathy Hochul@GovKathyHochul·
There is no gray area. Insider trading on prediction markets is corruption, plain and simple. While Trump and Washington Republicans turn a blind eye, New York is taking action.
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Q@ehyshadow·
@devjoshstevens @Polymarket @louispolymarket One underrated issue: power users need better wallet/trader discovery, not just cleaner UI. The edge on Polymarket often comes from finding who is early, not from browsing markets manually
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Josh
Josh@devjoshstevens·
We want to kill as many bugs on the @Polymarket UI as possible next week.. below report your issue with as much detail as possible and we will get it properly in the backlog and @louispolymarket and web team will get them fixed for you. Thanks in advance 💪
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Q@ehyshadow·
@DrLuetke damn she is hot
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Q@ehyshadow·
gpt kinda dead 💀
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Q@ehyshadow·
@elyx0 they realy do have best ui
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elyx0
elyx0@elyx0·
Their update UI is just top tier 🐬
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Q@ehyshadow·
@PolyTechTrade most people say they want whale flow until they realize raw flow without context just turns into delayed exit liquidity
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Q@ehyshadow·
@RoundtableSpace new account immediately sizing into a timing-based edge usually means they came in with a playbook, not curiosity
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0xMarioNawfal
0xMarioNawfal@RoundtableSpace·
A FRESH POLYMARKET ACCOUNT JUST LANDED AND STARTED PRINTING WITH THE 4 MINUTE RULE. That usually doesn’t look like a beginner. It looks like someone who already knew exactly what they came for.
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Q@ehyshadow·
@CryptoBusy @Polymarket makes sense. sports and crypto are the two categories where people already think in probabilities and react fast to new info
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CryptoBusy
CryptoBusy@CryptoBusy·
. @Polymarket volume is rapidly growing, with sports and crypto now driving over 62% of activity! 🚨 User attention is concentrating on high-engagement categories as prediction markets scale.
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Q@ehyshadow·
@coinbureau polymarket is at its best when it becomes a live sentiment chart for crypto. not because it predicts perfectly, but because it shows where conviction is getting crowded
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Coin Bureau
Coin Bureau@coinbureau·
🔥BULLISH: Polymarket bettors now project a 52% chance Bitcoin reclaims $90,000 in 2026, up from below 40% last week. The majority (79%) sees $BTC hitting $80,000 easily this year.
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Q@ehyshadow·
@IncomeSharks recession odds always overshoot once the narrative gets sticky. market starts pricing headlines, not base rates
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IncomeSharks
IncomeSharks@IncomeSharks·
Midterm years are the most volatile because the markets start becoming hyper focused on headlines. Average drawdowns of 15 to 20% are typical. Same reason at some point we'll probably see talks of recession touch 60 or 70% on Polymarket even without getting one.
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Q@ehyshadow·
@RoundtableSpace esports is one of those niches where the market looks liquid until someone with actual game knowledge shows up and farms mispricings for free
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0xMarioNawfal
0xMarioNawfal@RoundtableSpace·
ESPORTS TRADERS MIGHT BE THE MOST SLEEPER EDGE ON POLYMARKET. They know the teams, know the players, and sometimes know the game way better than the market does. x.com/DextersSolab/s…
Dexter's Lab@DextersSolab

Don't know who to copy trade? Watch esports traders. Those guys are niche traders. And this niche is easy to predict (for them). Best wallets that printed for me are esports dominators. (They made me over $35k publicly) Imagine those guys sitting in front of the screen for years playing CS:GO or Dota 2. Of course they know every team and its potential. Of course they will nail almost every trade. Because this kind of traders is in love with gaming. They literally spend their lives sitting in one position eating KFC and doing nothing. No judging, but you can profit from it. Look at this guy: [polymarket.com/profile/0x44fa…] His Win Rate is 89.7% He trades LoL market only and he does it very well. He literally predicts 9/10 outcomes correctly. I started copy trading him last week and publicly made +$8,790 by simply mirroring his trades. Simple. Leaving a full set up so you can print with me. Link: [t.me/PolyGunSniperB…] Full guide attached below.

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Q@ehyshadow·
@pashov @AnthropicAI benchmark wins are nice real edge is finding bugs before the benchmark knows they exist
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pashov
pashov@pashov·
Hey @AnthropicAI let's go toe to toe I bet $100,000 my agent finds more valid Critical/High/Medium total smart contract vulns than Mythos, 1 run each I'm a small boii here in web3 security, your "scary" agent wouldn't be afraid of mine, no? Serious bet. Tag anyone, I'm ready.
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Q@ehyshadow·
@seelffff the edge dies twice first when it gets sold then when it gets open sourced
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self.dll
self.dll@seelffff·
i cancelled $2,000/month in trading subscriptions replaced every single one with open-source repos here's the full stack: 1. TradingView Pro ($30/mo) → lightweight-charts    14K stars. by TradingView themselves. 45KB. free github.com/tradingview/li… 2. Bloomberg Terminal ($2,000/mo) → fredapi + Claude    every macro dataset the Fed publishes. free API github.com/mortada/fredapi 3. backtest platform ($100/mo) → prediction-market-backtesting    NautilusTrader fork with Polymarket + Kalshi adapters github.com/evan-kolberg/p… 4. real-time dashboard → polyrec    terminal UI: Chainlink oracle, Binance feed, orderbook depth    70+ indicators. auto CSV logging. strategy backtester github.com/txbabaxyz/poly… 5. bot framework (7 strategies) → Polymarket-Trading-Bot    53K lines TypeScript. arbitrage, momentum, market making,    AI forecast, whale copy-trade, convergence github.com/dylanpersonguy… 6. strategy reverse engineering → polybot    execution + market data infrastructure. paper trading    Kafka, ClickHouse, Grafana. full analytics pipeline github.com/ent0n29/polybot 7. paper trading for AI agents → polymarket-paper-trader    real order books. exact fee model. slippage tracking    your Claude agent gets $10K paper money and trades github.com/agent-next/pol… 8. token savings → rtk    CLI proxy. cuts Claude Code tokens by 60-90%    Rust. single binary. 10 AI tools supported github.com/rtk-ai/rtk 9. Claude Code itself ($200/mo) → goose    35K stars. by Block (Jack Dorsey). Rust    works with any LLM. full agent loop. free github.com/block/goose 10. wallet tracking + copy trading → Kreo     track top Polymarket wallets. auto copy trades     the only tool on this list i actually pay for     because it makes more than it costs t.me/KreoPolyBot?st… total before: ~$2,600/month total now: $0 + Kreo bookmark this. you'll need it
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Q@ehyshadow·
the biggest bucket on Polymarket isn't winners or whales it's people losing just enough to come back and do it again
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