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Josh Man
38.5K posts

Josh Man
@JoshMandell6
Salomon Brothers 90-98 Bond Portfolio Analysis Government Desk - Long Bond Trader Derivatives - Short-Dated Options Trading (Head) Caxton Assoc Hedge Fund
Katılım Ocak 2021
1.3K Takip Edilen148.2K Takipçiler

@FinFreedom414 @LawrenceLepard @dotkrueger I have a few calls but I've sold short dated covered calls against those it in an attempt to offset the Theta burn
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@JoshMandell6 @LawrenceLepard @dotkrueger Oil driven inflation eases and the Fed eases.
The economy booms into midterms.
$MSTR goes to $1000.
Josh Mandell buys Greenland single-handedly.
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@JoshMandell6 @dotkrueger Well done!
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Non consensus view. Warsh will cut. He will use the AI Productivity and trimmed inflation excuses. Will claim all the war inflation is transitory. Two data points from today's WSJ support this view.
Kevin Hassett, director of the White House National Economic Council, made the same case days earlier on Bloomberg Television. “We’re really likely to see rate cuts this year because of Kevin Warsh,” he said.
“Nothing is more transient than a supply shock,” Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on CNBC last week, predicting a substantial easing in price pressures after “one or two more hot inflation numbers.”
As Miran points out, inflation occurs with a lag. So, cut, juice the market, run it hot, all to help with the mid terms. My view, war is over. Oil will come down allowing this.
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@mariana057 @JoshMandell6 sometimes life writes its own jokes, Dad.
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@JoshMandell6 @arkhet @dotkrueger Got crushed going full degen with ibit calls into “uptober”. But lots of lessons learned. Productive cycle overall… onwards!
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Your doing that publicly helped to send me down a rabbit hole into understanding options more deeply. Ultimately I got around 2x my cost basis on the calls back by doing that opportunistically throughout the last cycle, at varying degrees of aggressiveness…
More recently was selling puts as we chopped around. Probably around a 35% discount on my shares, given the put premiums collected over the past couple months before finally accepting assignment.
Gracias Coach. 🙏
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@LorenHodl @JoshMandell6 has already agreed to do a hostile takeover of Nakamoto. He will turn the ship around
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@AGratefulApe @dotkrueger I'm not very big into technical analysis, but this observation would seem to match the formation dynamics of a bear or bull flag. I think what's going on is that FOMO kicks in and people lose their minds and then things settle.
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@JoshMandell6 @dotkrueger On the third read it clicked ie when the "power" (law) goes out! The power law anchors BTC so if way above we drift up and rapid down, if way below drift down the rapid up. Is this because of OG holders believing in the law or some structural effect of the 21M cap? Then CCs now?
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@arkhet @dotkrueger I was "shorting it" by selling in-the-money calls and aggressively rolling them lower over and over again.
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@JoshMandell6 when the peaks happen it's both exponential up and down -- about 1% per day on average.
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