VS

Heads up for Polymarket users hitting an onboarding error on PredMart: If your Polymarket account was created after April 28 (the V2 migration date), you have the new DepositWallet, and Polymarket currently restricts these wallets from connecting to third-party protocols like ours. We're working with the Polymarket team to get PredMart added to their allowlist; expecting this to resolve quickly. If you joined Polymarket before April 28, you have the older Safe wallet and PredMart works as expected — give it a try in the meantime. Need access sooner? We have an individual workaround on a case-by-case basis — reach out at predmart.com/support and we'll help you through it.

@Krish_naydv Are you a full-time Polymarket trader, or are you rather a marketing guy?

Quick trade on Polymarket gPOLY

@kongclaves @arc @arclens_app What are you exploring? Do you have any ideas so far?

I just started exploring @arc, mostly hyped about the potential they offer the agentic economy I will be digging deeper and building in the future For now, I am exploring @arclens_app to see what other builders are pushing

@kongclaves Why don't you post anything about Polymarket?

John 1:1-14

@0xMims In Predmart, we used a lending pool approach

@Nik_Poly $4.7k for being the only person on the platform who read the EFL press release in real time. Sports degens were trading a game that had already been cancelled by lawyers - the actual moneyline was the news cycle.

Update: Ended up with $4.7k profit on this one💰 > Southampton appealed⚖️ > Highly unlikely that it would be succesfull, as they admitted to everything📝 > Sports degens didn't know game was cancelled🤦‍♂️ > I was getting filled at 80c after my initial tweet🎯 > Was buying low selling high, and held most until resolution📈

@CKontad Could you explain your reasoning? Why do you think that it can be a share?

What if the $POLY airdrop was never an airdrop? What if it is a pre-IPO share of Polymarket? Maybe the Nasdaq Private Market partnership is the clue everyone missed. Maybe you're not farming a token. Maybe you're farming a pre equity token

@ssshhss123 @buidlpad The campaign was selling synthetic "shares" of a company that explicitly said it had not authorized any of this and the platform admitted on the page it doesn't hold actual shares. The miracle isn't that it failed, it's that they thought it would succeed for a week.

果然还是失败了 20%的本金手续费 20%利润分成 还有6个月的锁仓 @buidlpad 作为去年打新最靓的平台目前也拉了 要不干脆自己发个币 自己打新吧

@elucidxte @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket @betmoardotfun What's the most underrated market right now?

April wrap, made some bad changes in week 4 which led to some heavy losses but still going to be a hard month to beat 😙

@duderrpoly Could you explain how it can be possible? What's your edge?

Maybe too bullish 😅

Someone seems bullish🤔

@zmzweb3 What changed in the matching engine specifically?

Polymarket这次升级之后交易量下降很多。这和我的感觉是差不多的。我是24年10月开始接触的Polymarket，当时交易量不多，我还是一半仓PM一半仓Defi，到了25年年中的时候差不多就是全仓PM，26年1月开始我重新开了一个交易账号，1-3月是我赚的最多的时候，这三个月的盈利基本和25年一年持平。

@keccakdog Why aren't you talking about your Polymarket strategy?

it's tough being this profitable.

@seemeohan The honest version of "I will likely turn off rather than constantly adapting" is the same conclusion every market maker reaches before discovering crypto perps - the manipulation isn't a bug, it's the actual product retail is paying for.

At some point, I decided to stop constantly adjusting one of my Polymarket crypto up/down strategies (the one running out of account "ohanism") to deal with market manipulation by toxic participants. This is the outcome. It is still profitable, but you can see that after May 13 it has been much lower Sharpe, much larger, more frequent drawdowns. The main reason is that new classes of manipulators emerged, and I am bleeding large amounts of PnL to their impact. There will be a point when it stops making money entirely, and at that point I will likely turn off rather than constantly adapting. Some thoughts. 1. If you think you have an algo capable of winning in a game with all manipulations, you are lying to yourself. You have an algo capable of dealing with *today's* manipulators. Tomorrow's will be more sophisticated. 2. People can and do make money trading around manipulation. But it's an ever-evolving game that you are playing at a massive disadvantage. 3. I feel confident that I can go back in the code, make significant changes to the way I trade around manipulation, and go back to making a profit. But to what end? Will I need to spend half my week constantly chasing what manipulators are doing next? When will I find time to work on anything else? I would much rather spend my time providing in games where I am not at a structural disadvantage. 4. TWAP will not perfectly solve the problem, but it will help considerably. At the very least, it makes things much more annoying for today's manipulators.

@BrokieTrades @shayne_coplan Why would you want their shares? Basically, Airdrop is something similar to shares because they share their token with early adopters.

Instead of an airdrop can Polymarket just give loyal users shares of the company? cc @shayne_coplan

@verrissimus @Kalshi They will never achieve as much accuracy as on Polymarket because accuracy without insider trading is impossible. AML can kill this accuracy.

Reason 52313412 why not to use @Kalshi

@verrissimus "realized something was off" - What was off? How did you realize it?

Hit my first 100x on Polymarket! $670 → $67,000 but here's the crazy part: I almost bought Tybura at 99¢ with $100k. stopped, realized something was off. cancelled my order, scooped up 1c shares instead. the UFC corrected the winner seconds later. easiest 100x ever

@sorryblessed @Polymarket How did you predict it? How did you analyze that? It's very unusual to enter a one‑cent market.

its finally nice catch😛 lets go @Polymarket

@holy_moses7 What do you think about the situation that happened in the Ukrainian ceasefire market? It was a drama around it.

I dumped most of my ceasefire cancellation shares. I don't think anything is going to happen this weekend, time will tell if I was right.

@Soarin22 Why did you decide to bet on Thunder? What's your edge?

Thunder in 6

Based Bezos is awesome