MVP NDUB
13.5K posts

MVP NDUB
@topfloorinc
NFL/NBA Money printer with @makevegaspay_ 👑 💶 ‘23 NBA: +45.7U | ‘24 NBA: +82.2U


WE GOT A FREE SUPER MAX PLAY ⚡️4U | Spurs -1.5 (-110, FD) ⚡️0.5U | Spurs -9.5 (+260, MGM Playoff Max Plays are 13-5 (+29.4U) 💵 📈We backed Spurs game 1, and backed OKC game 2, but I left last game even more convinced that Spurs are winning this series than after game 1. In a pure desperation spot with OKC scratching and clawing for loose balls and outpacing San Antonio in transition, Spurs still were in that game and almost won. Wemby looked gassed all game. Harper left early (might still be out game 3). OKC had 14 steals and got 9 more shots, 7 more FTs. Hartenstein was allowed to maul Wemby on every play. That will not happen again once tape gets sent to the league office. This was still a close game with 2 mins left. 📈The theme of game 3 is size and physicality. OKC is just too small to actually trust them to beat San Antonio on the road. Without JDub they are severely undersized on the perimeter, and are going to keep getting killed on the glass and when allowing penetration on drives. I thought McCain and Ajay still looked lost in their roles without Jdub, and Castle, Keldon, Harper, and Vassell are shooting 20/32 (63%) when guarded by those 2. Hopefully we get Fox back to limit the TOs but even without him we should get a home court boost for the role players and Wemby back to his usual Wemby self. 📈 We should see some shooting regression by swapping the logos on the court. On wide open 3s this series, Spurs have shot 9/27 (33%). Thunder have shot 25/50 (50%). For the season, Spurs shot 38.2%, Thunder shot 36.8% 📈 Thunder are 3-11 ATS on the road in the playoffs since last year. They’ve really struggled to translate their shooting and in what figures to be a grind it out style game San Antonio has all the physical advantages to win. Spurs are also 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss. Books agree here, with the line adjusting 10 pts for the home court flip, much more than the usual 6 pt adjustment. 📈Since 2015, home favs in game 3 that won game 1 and lost game 2 are 11-6 ATS (64.7%) in the Conference Finals 📈Since 2020, short game 3 home favs (-5 or less) in a tied series of the conference finals are 10-2 ATS (83.3%), 10-0 last 10 games 📈Over the last five conference finals seasons, teams coming off outright losses in conference finals games are 30-24 SU and 34-19-1 ATS (64.2%) 📈In their last 41 conference finals games when playing as underdogs or favorites of 4.5-points or less, #1 seeds are just 17-28 SU and 17-27-1 ATS (38.6%) We have an amazing slate today. Come join us for more free plays and giveaways 👉 discord.gg/CHN44vKtN



A Hartenstein foul highlight package is wild








FREE GAME 2 PLAYER PROP! ⬇️ 1u - Josh Hart (NYK) OVER 1.5 3PM (-105 @ MGM, -115 @ FD, PIN, -120 @ BOV, -122 @ DK) “Yeah, probably the same game plan. I’m gonna shoot the exact same shots, I’m gonna shoot it with confidence, play my game, whatever that is in the moment"- Josh Hart Same play and thought process, but different series. Cleveland is daring Josh Hart to beat them and that's the structural cost of their entire defensive scheme. Allen sat in the paint all of Game 1 with 9.1 feet of average space between Hart and his closest defender, compared to 7.8 in the regular season. The Cavs HAVE to leave him open to muck up the Knicks' offense, and that's the trade for the rest of the series. Hart shot 41.3% from three this regular season before a cold playoff stretch at 27.5%. Just like Caruso, the volume eventually punishes the disrespect; although this comes with a wide range of outcomes. Mike Brown is going to run more Hart-centric action to attack the Allen sag and the wide-open looks finally start falling. The line is sitting on his cold streak while Cleveland is gift-wrapping him his cleanest looks of the postseason. He has to make them to stay on the court. #PlayerProps

🚨Cavs vs Knicks Game 2 Free Plays🚨 🔥Mobley Over 23.5 PTS + REB (-140) 🔥KAT Over 4.5 Assists (-148) 🔥Dean Wade Over 3.5 Rebounds (-154) Mobley dominating the paint, KAT cooking as a facilitator, and Wade glass cleaning Like or RT if tailing 🫡 Drop your plays below⬇️







Shams: De'Aaron Fox (ankle) a game-time decision for Friday.













