VINCENT O.O. OUMA retweetledi
VINCENT O.O. OUMA
61.3K posts

VINCENT O.O. OUMA
@voouma
Like to discuss great ideas & current affairs.
Nairobi, Kenya Katılım Mayıs 2011
2K Takip Edilen774 Takipçiler

@MihrThakar Stunted growth.We are stuck in a rut.We need sustained growth of at least 10% p.a.for the next decade.
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VINCENT O.O. OUMA retweetledi

Second Ebola center (managed by MSF) just got torched in eastern Congo 18 suspected cases vanished into the crowd. Locals aren't waiting for 'safe burial protocols' anymore. No vaccine for this strain, outbreak exploding past 700 suspected cases. When people start burning the only help on the ground... this is how pandemics go global. Wake up.
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VINCENT O.O. OUMA retweetledi

I looked at Public Debts for Kenya, Tanzania, Ethiopia 2025.
Kenya US$ 100 Billion ( KShs 12.8 Trillion)
Tanzania US$ 46 Billion ( KShs 5.9 Billion)
Ethiopia US$ 51 Billion ( KShs 6.5 Billion).
Note that Public Debts for Ethiopia and Tanzania are 50% of Kenyas Public Debt.
It is difficult to tell where Kenya's KShs 12.8 Trillion was used.
I will analyse looking at major Projects the 3 Countries have undertaken since 2002 when the three has almost same Public Debts at US$ 7 Billion.
I will look at Kenya last.
Tanzania:
1. US$ 10 Billion Shs 1 Trillion 2,300km Standard Gauge Railway Dar Dodoma Mwanza Kigoma linking Rwanda Burundi DRC
2. US$ 3.6 Billion Julius Nyerere Hydro Power Plant 2115 MW
3. US$ 260 Million JPM Magufuli 3.2km Bridge Lake Victoria.
4. Dar es Salaam BRT US$ 332 Million
5. Kigamboni Bridge US$ 136 Million.
6. US$ 550 my Kinyerezi 400MW Gas Turbines
Total US$ 14.8 Billion ( Shs 1.28 Trillion)
If you consider Tanzania has built more Bitumen Roads (15,000kms versus 9,500km for Kenya), already about 50% of the Foreign Debt is accounted for.
And Julius Nyerere HPP was funded largely from Exchequer. Similarly more than 50% of SGR was funded from Exchequer.
Ethiopia:
1. US$ 5 Billion Grand Renaissance Dam 5150 MW
2. US$ 4 Billion 750 km Addis Djibouti Electrified SGR
3. US$ 1.7 Billion Awash Woldia SGR 425 km
4. You can't ignore Ethiopian Airlines, one of the biggest in the World with 150 Aircraft with 70 Wide Body Aircraft 100% Govt owned. At US$ 250 Million each, that is at a minimum US$ 20 Billion
US$ 12.7 Billion KShs 2.66 Trillion.
Again already about 50% of the Public Debt is accounted for.
And they can even fund GERD US$ 5 Billion from Exchequer.
Kenya
1. US$ 3.26 Billion 600km SGR Mombasa Suswa
2. Olkaria Power Stations US$ 1.3 Billion
3. US$ 360 40km Thika Superhighway
4. US$ 800 Nairobi Expressway
5. US$ 400m Dongo Kundu 17km
Total US$ 6.12 KShs 783 Billion.
When you compare with Shs 12.8Trilliin Debt,bthus is a mere 6% you can see.
I can't think of a Major Project the size of Julius Nyerere HPP or GERD in Ethiopia that Kenya has funded from internal resources the last 25 years.
Remember Kenya has borrowed KShs 6.4 Trillion more than either of those two countries.
Moreover Tanzania has 15,000 km Bitumen Roads more than Kenya at 9,500km
The ex Pres. Uhuru Kenyatta opined that about KShs 2B ( US$ 17 million) was being stolen everyday during his tenure. It is not far from the truth.
If you consider Tanzania is almost double the size of Kenya and people live everywhere.
Kenya, we live in only 30% of the Country. So Tanzania has more Roads, Population and Public services compared to Kenya.
Ideally Kenya's annual Budget should be half of Tanzania.
Instead it is 1.5 times bigger
That is about Shs 1 Trillion 'lost' annually.
This problem started after 2002 because the Public Debts were the same in the 3 Countries at US$ 7 Be each.
The mistake in Kenya is probably the choice of Political System. We chose Democracy where the one who does a better public circus gets elected. So you can end up with more than 90% of elected representatives with a dubious background who can lead a country into the abyss.
Unlike Ethiopia and Tanzania who tend to have Technocratic high quality leadership because of their Socialist past.
If you look at Kenyan Politicians the last 20 years and see who could make it in CCM Tanzanian leadership, very very few can make it.
And today, Kenya cannot do any minor Project without borrowing.
And we are still promoting PPPs as if it is free money.
Useless PPPs like Motor Vehicle Inspections, Speed Cameras, Africa50, Adani etc
So long as Foreigners are doing the PPPs, it is a burden on the KShs and they will have to be paid in US$ FOREX.
Kenya needs now to start thinking about whether the choices of Democracy and Devolution were a mistake.
At the moment, Kenya's future is bleak and nobody seems to have a clue on how to reverse.
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VINCENT O.O. OUMA retweetledi

@IanECox Goodness that is a swarm of bikers together with their passengers.I have not witnessed such in Nairobi or any other town.Severe unemployment is a major contributory factor.
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If African countries had proper mass transit we wouldn't have to deal with 1000's of 125 cc motorcycles whining everywhere.
Alionya Roseline@AlionyaRoseline
Typical day In Uganda, Kampala to be specific.
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VINCENT O.O. OUMA retweetledi

When it comes romantic affairs between men and women.
Women have short memories over the things that make them happy.
And long memories over the things that make them angry.
If you like, give her your kidney.
If that kidney stops functioning, she'll ask for the second kidney.
If you refuse....
"What have you ever done for me?"
End.
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VINCENT O.O. OUMA retweetledi
VINCENT O.O. OUMA retweetledi

The level of mediocrity absolutely stinks. They arrive in luxury SUVs, surrounded by bodyguards, dressed in expensive designer clothes, with full stomachs and most likely healthy bank accounts too, all in front of impoverished masses who can only dream of such lives. Then they get on stage, dance to popular songs, sing along, shout slogans, spew division, hate, deceit and absolute rubbish, all to keep the crowd emotionally charged and entertained.
These are the very people meant to serve you. Your employees. The ones you call public servants, representatives, leaders.
Yet many of you cheer, chant, defend them, and treat them like celebrities, while your own lives remain unchanged. No real solutions. No progress. No transformation. Just endless performance and empty noise. Then there is the other familiar script for those who pay attention, the 527/- gang are deployed to confuse, distract, divide, and muddy the waters whenever uncomfortable truths begin to surface.
The same poor and struggling people who are their real employers are the ones being played the most.
Wake up.
It is what it is
#ReclaimNairobi
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VINCENT O.O. OUMA retweetledi
VINCENT O.O. OUMA retweetledi
VINCENT O.O. OUMA retweetledi
VINCENT O.O. OUMA retweetledi
VINCENT O.O. OUMA retweetledi
VINCENT O.O. OUMA retweetledi

@IanECox Try writing physics when the only numbers in a language are 1, 2 and Many
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Americans have no issue thinking freely in someone else's language.
"Africa still graduates engineers who can’t explain their work to their own grandmothers."
Yes, because your language and society never advanced to that level before being subsumed.
That reality cannot be changed.
Brazil is one of only 5 countries in the world that produces commercial passenger aircraft. It's in #3 position by volume.
It speaks Portuguese.
Unless it was colonized and united, it would never have produced those aircraft. Imagine trying to design an Embraer using the top 5 indigenous languages of that region.
Àyànfè@Danny456080
You cannot think freely in someone else’s language. Every nation that industrialized fast Japan, China, South Korea taught science, law, and governance in its own language. Africa still graduates engineers who can’t explain their work to their own grandmothers.
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@IanECox @WaMagongo Africans have been perpetually complaining and blaming their shortfalls on others.
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@WaMagongo This isn't a justification of anything.
Blacks will always find a way to avoid taking responsibility for their own actions, amirite?
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