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@windintheplums

The blossoms of the apricot blow from east to west and I...have tried to keep them from falling.

Katılım Haziran 2024
68 Takip Edilen20 Takipçiler
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m@windintheplums·
@SciTechera when you make up dynamic units, you can make the y axis do whatever you want lol
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SciTech Era
SciTech Era@SciTechera·
The pace of innovation is no longer linear. It’s exponential. we are living at the steepest point in human history.
SciTech Era tweet media
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m@windintheplums·
@Dr_Singularity I can barely model how ignorant you are
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Dr Singularity
Dr Singularity@Dr_Singularity·
AI will drive productivity into a near vertical curve. By the 2030s, this will translate into a level of abundance that today's economy can barely model.
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David Scott Patterson
David Scott Patterson@davidpattersonx·
Robots will be ready to replace jobs at the same time as AI. By the end of this year.
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m@windintheplums·
@AcerFur ok so what is an LLM, wise guy
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Acer
Acer@AcerFur·
I think we can finally put the “LLMs are just stochastic parrots” ideology to rest now
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Vortex
Vortex@VortexPM666·
@wordgrammer Goofy fool If it was that easy why was it unsolved for half a decade? Tech twitter nerds at peak copium over realizing they ain’t as smart as they are and it’s beautiful
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wordgrammer
wordgrammer@wordgrammer·
Wait the Erdos problem was a disproof? It just found a counterexample? Come on, man…
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m@windintheplums·
@DavidKastille @jdegoes you exhibited 0 reading comprehension. which makes sense bc you're probably a bot
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David Kastille
David Kastille@DavidKastille·
@jdegoes Yeah, the Orville bros *eventually* figured out how to build a flying machine, but have you heard about how many times those losers FAILED? If they were actually intelligent they would have got it on the first try. That's what you sound like. Insane logic.
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John A De Goes
John A De Goes@jdegoes·
You missed the point of my post by a light year. An LLM is not a pure RNG -- it's a statistical lossy model of all text written by humans. So of course the odds of it producing 2 pages of text that, when interpreted by a thinking human or fed into a (actually de novo reasoning) proof checker, leads to a proof, are insanely greater than an RNG. That is both true and irrelevant, because I used reductio ad absurdum to demonstrate my point. Rather, the point of my post is that as of today, LLMs have been used by billions of people in an effort to solve trillions of problems. They fail in almost all of these problems--if what we mean by success is a solution as factually correct and free of defects as a mathematical proof must necessarily be. People don't write papers on these failures. They don't talk about them on X like the Second Coming. They don't make the front page of Hacker News. But the few times the linear string of tokens spewed out of an LLM's probability tables can be fed into a proof checker, or interpreted by a thinking human as a proof, well, you hear about that EVERYWHERE, and a subset of humans who annoy me greatly fall down and worship at the feet of the probability tables, believing them to contain the essence of immortal gods. This is not what AGI looks like. Not even close. AGI does not look like OpenAI press release announcing their LLM "disproved" a mathematical conjecture. It looks like those trillions of problems being solved by billions of humans **correctly**, because the AGI actually knows what that means. It looks like a million, a billion, or a trillion mathematical proofs -- limited only by how much electrical power you want to throw at the task. It looks like AIs being so obviously capable of de novo reasoning that no one talks about it and no one writes about it anywhere, at any time. Until then, feel free to worship your LLM gods as you wish (freedom of religion and all that), but please do so with the knowledge you are operating under a fundamental delusion.
gfodor.id@gfodor

@jdegoes sorry but if you just randomly generated text the probability it would randomly solve a frontier math problem before the heat death of the universe is zero

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m@windintheplums·
@JuliaEMcCoy who is letting you do the living with what money
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Julia McCoy
Julia McCoy@JuliaEMcCoy·
The future of work, in one line: Machines do the work. Humans do the living. We spent a century with that backwards. The correction is here. It’s not gentle, and it’s not optional. But on the other side of it is the most human era we’ve ever had a shot at.
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m@windintheplums·
@davidpattersonx its funny. you start out talking sense then you veer off into weird ai mysticism. why
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David Scott Patterson
David Scott Patterson@davidpattersonx·
Our society encourages maximum consumption to drive maximum work, providing companies with maximum income and governments with maximum tax revenue. When AI and robots take over all work, humans will no longer be needed for production, and production will become essentially unlimited. Incentives will then switch to encouraging minimal or moderate consumption - values that are more consistent with our evolved instincts and compatible with maximum well-being according to Christian and Buddhist principles.
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David Scott Patterson
David Scott Patterson@davidpattersonx·
Some people argue that there will always be demand for human labor, even when AI and robots can do all jobs. But will there be supply? In a true post-scarcity economy, there will be nothing that people want that they cannot get for free. When everything is free, there will be no motivation to earn money. Money will not even exist. Our common understanding of how supply and demand work is based on a world of scarcity. When scarcity is gone, those rules no longer apply. This is similar to how the laws of Newtonian physics no longer adequately explain the behavior of objects at speeds close to the speed of light. Instead, things become very strange under the laws of Relativity. In a post-scarcity economy, you may still want to hire someone, but they may have no motivation to work for you. End-state economics.
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m@windintheplums·
@sama the problem of people want everything for nothing
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Sam Altman
Sam Altman@sama·
what problem do you most hope AI will solve in the future? maybe we can help!
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m@windintheplums·
@davidpattersonx 1) superabundance won't come 2) itf it did it would make people more selfish and atomized than they already are
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David Scott Patterson
David Scott Patterson@davidpattersonx·
The love of money is the root of all evil. The love of people is the root of all good. Soon, superabundance created by AI and robots will make money unimportant. Which will make room for love of people.
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Dr Singularity
Dr Singularity@Dr_Singularity·
insanely cool Big step toward creating a Star Trek replicator. We will build it soon. IMO (with ASI help) we'll develop replicator like tech during the 2030s. It may sound too fast, but just imagine billions of AGI 'agents' working together, 1000s of times faster than any human, focused solely on this one technology. MIT just took a major step toward programmable matter MIT researchers have developed a way to "reprogram" materials by moving atoms inside a solid crystal lattice (not just on the surface). The breakthrough is that they did it quickly, precisely, and at room temperature. It wasn't possible before. Using algorithm controlled electron beams, the team can reposition columns of atoms with picometer level precision, creating custom atomic defects inside a material. In one demonstration, they made over 40,000 quantum defects in about 40 minutes inside a crystalline semiconductor. That is a huge leap from older atom by atom manipulation methods, which were slow, surface limited, and often required extreme lab conditions.
Dr Singularity tweet media
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vittorio
vittorio@IterIntellectus·
how can one be an anti-AI accelerationist?
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m@windintheplums·
@davidpattersonx you're clearly already enjoying unlimited free drugs
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sgb@sadgirlyboss·
one thing about me is i will turn any minor inconvenience into evidence of societal decline
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m@windintheplums·
@sadgirlyboss Stinkin Lincoln at -infiniyy
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m@windintheplums·
@NoahKingJr how about the other way around
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Noah
Noah@NoahKingJr·
TELL ME SOMETHING YOU CAN DO THAT AI COULD NEVER DO
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m@windintheplums·
@SydSteyerhart its simple. stop taking drugs
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Syd Steyerhart
Syd Steyerhart@SydSteyerhart·
I am not anti-human, but it's difficult to look at the doubling speed of machinic intelligence and imagine humans have a long term role to play in the rest of history, even cybernetically enhanced humans. I would like to be wrong.
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