WhenExcelFreezesOver

2.6K posts

WhenExcelFreezesOver

WhenExcelFreezesOver

@ExcelFrozeOver

Entrou em Temmuz 2025
325 Seguindo49 Seguidores
Ed Whelan
Ed Whelan@EdWhelanEPPC·
In a two-way race in 2024, Donald Trump got 26.5% of the vote in City of Los Angeles. In a three-way race in 2026, Spencer Pratt has 26.7% of the vote. I'm not sure what the mystery is that demands a conspiratorial explanation.
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Straight Florida
Straight Florida@StraightFlorida·
Caught dead to rights on bodycam throwing a man off a bridge. 😳 The second the cop gets out and pulls his gun, this dude immediately hits him with the classic: “He jumped! I ain’t do nothing!” My guy… the cop literally watched you launch that man like a redneck shot put. The victim is doing the backstroke in the river trying to survive, and you’re standing there doing the “Dindu Nuffin” special right in front of bodycam footage. Zero accountability. Zero remorse. Just straight denial while the evidence is both on camera and splashing around in the water below. The lack of self-awareness is actually comedic at this point. 🤦
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Hotep Jesus
Hotep Jesus@HotepJesus·
Austin Metcalf was a thug.
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👑 Geechee Barbie🌴🇺🇸
So a Frisco police officer just confirmed Karmelo Anthony’s knife was legal to carry? Is that what I’m hearing?
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allen
allen@BingoBongom6ae·
@FlopperKev7 @dccommonsense @BrianDBowers @idiotboy1999 @ExcelFrozeOver Jesus Christ dude. How can you listen to HH and have the intellectual capabilities of a 10 year old? This “stolen election” shit is so tired and obviously straw grasping by republicans. If it was real why wouldn’t Trump throw everyone in prison?
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Dan Carlin
Dan Carlin@dccommonsense·
Trump's constant crowing about election "rigging" is his "Big Lie". He says he doesn't need proof...he can just see it. Now he "sees" it in California."Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence". And we've seen none. It's conspiracy theory stuff.
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EnoughOfYourBullshit
EnoughOfYourBullshit@makeapointorgfy·
@ExcelFrozeOver @dccommonsense If they had open primaries in MS Kamala would finish 97th, as would every dem since Clinton. It’s LA. Since 2016 each election an R loses causes some vast conspiracy theory espoused not only by online randos but by party leadership. It’s like bitching about KY D losses lol
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Frank Luntz
Frank Luntz@FrankLuntz·
A good point by @ForecasterEnten about the “Democratic rigging” in Los Angeles’ mayoral race. Incumbent mayor Karen Bass leads Republican Spencer Pratt by double digits in run-off polls, but trails Democratic challenger Nithya Raman by 4. If Dems wanted to “rig” the primary, they would’ve picked Pratt to face Bass in the run-off.
(((Harry Enten)))@ForecasterEnten

The LA mayor stuff is the dumbest conspiracy theory I've ever heard & makes no sense. Dem establishment/Bass wanted Pratt, not Raman, to advance. Bass crushes Pratt in a 1-on-1 by 18 pt, while Raman beat Bass by 4. Pratt's the rarity in LA less popular than the unpopular Bass!

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WhenExcelFreezesOver
WhenExcelFreezesOver@ExcelFrozeOver·
@rail_breaker31 @dccommonsense Hi Actual Data Scientists, nice to meet you. x.com/EveretteDo1951…
Everette Dobbins@EveretteDo19517

Who likes math 🤓 This is fun math The odds of Nithya Raman receiving 40% of the vote yesterday are “LESS LIKELY than picking ONE GRAIN OF SAND on Earth dozens of times in a row.” I believe elections tend to be fair. Someone help me make sense of math that seems impossible… I ASKED CHATGPT - “What is the statistical likelihood that 40% of votes from a “new batch” of ballots go to a candidate who received 24% of votes from all other batches that represented 95% of counted electorate. Give me a % odds.” The Answer (Part 1) - “Assuming the candidate’s “true” share is 24%, the odds that a random new batch lands at 40% or higher depends on batch size: 50 ballots 0.88% 100 ballots 0.028% 200 ballots 0.00004% 500 ballots ~0.00000000000018% 1,000 ballots ~0.0000000000000000000000000035%” My follow up - “Assume 40,000 ballots. Are the odds one in a billion? One in a trillion? Worse? This seems to be happening in Los Angeles Mayor’s race between Mayor Bass, Spencer Pratt and Nithya Raman.” The Answer (Part 2) - “If the 40,000-ballot batch were drawn from the same population that produced 24% support in the other 95% of votes, then seeing 40% support in that batch would be far beyond “one in a billion” or “one in a trillion.” 75 standard deviations is in an entirely different universe. The probability is approximately: ~10⁻¹²²⁰ or about 1 chance in 10¹²²⁰ That’s a number with roughly 1,220 zeros after the 1. Statistically, if the batch were truly a random sample of the same electorate, the odds are so small that statisticians would effectively treat the event as impossible. The usual conclusion would not be “wow, what a lucky fluctuation,” but rather that the batch is not representative of the earlier ballots—for example, it came from a different geographic area, voting method, demographic group, or subset of voters. So yes: much worse than one in a billion, much worse than one in a trillion, and vastly smaller than any probability encountered in ordinary statistical analysis.” My follow up - “More grains of sand on earth than the likelihood of this?” The Answer (Part 3) - “Yes. Much, much more. Estimated grains of sand on Earth are often put around 10¹⁸ to 10²⁰. Your odds example was roughly: 1 in 10¹²²⁰ So this is not just “less likely than picking one grain of sand on Earth.” It’s more like picking the right grain of sand on Earth correctly over and over again dozens of times in a row.” Sincerely, Jeremy Padawer Pacificpalisades.com @spencerpratt @BoredElonMusk @Hotshot_Movie @415FirePhoto #losangeles #la #fyp #mayor See less

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Just Some Guy
Just Some Guy@rail_breaker31·
@ExcelFrozeOver @dccommonsense Hi! Actual data scientists here. Can you explain how you got to the trillion to one probability outcome? Please show your work. And saying “I’m just retarded” isn’t an answer.
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EnoughOfYourBullshit
EnoughOfYourBullshit@makeapointorgfy·
@dccommonsense @ExcelFrozeOver The court of law is the setting that matters for a legal claim, you deeply moronic dickhead. LA is blue as shit. Pratt winning there is like Kamala willing Alabama. Shut the fuck up.
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Dan Carlin
Dan Carlin@dccommonsense·
@BrianDBowers @idiotboy1999 @ExcelFrozeOver Again, there are massively powerful who would like this to be true. They have virtually unlimited funds. Can hire the finest lawyers and researchers. They may even have sway over a few SCOTUS members. But with all this evidence we get...nothing?
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MatrixMysteries
MatrixMysteries@MatrixMysteries·
“I sent out 300 applications with my real name — nothing.” “So I changed the last name on my résumé to ‘Singh’ — and suddenly I got callbacks.” This is discrimination based on race and it’s happening everywhere to White people
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WhenExcelFreezesOver
WhenExcelFreezesOver@ExcelFrozeOver·
@coreyhoganyyc This is just an effect of overvalued housing, and just means it's harder for young people to buy homes. Once the crash comes it'll fall back down. Elbows Up Boomers will cry, but the rest of us will celebrate.
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Corey Hogan 🇨🇦
Corey Hogan 🇨🇦@coreyhoganyyc·
The United States has a higher GDP than Canada, but the average Canadian is better off. As we grow wealth through new major projects and new trade agreements, let's continue to make sure we all benefit.
Corey Hogan 🇨🇦 tweet media
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Mr.Indo Jin
Mr.Indo Jin@misterindojin·
@MatrixMysteries Indians are so known for their intelligence, recruiters blindly hire Indians and it works well
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Rachelle
Rachelle@Raindance_33·
@MatrixMysteries Maybe the company simply didn't want to employ a fat dude with a ratty unmended collar who makes shit up online to get a rise. Just a thought.
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WhenExcelFreezesOver
WhenExcelFreezesOver@ExcelFrozeOver·
@drunknballerina @MatrixMysteries You've never had to work or interact with Indians, have you? Impossible to hold the opinion that they are smarter on average once you do. Some of them are very good at memorizing (the obsessive Spelling Bee types)
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BustStageEntered
BustStageEntered@drunknballerina·
@MatrixMysteries Did you ever stop to think that majority of Indians in America are smarter than the average American?? wtf did you dumbfucks think would happen year after year after year of taking money out of education?? Year after year after year of fucking over teachers? Dumb fucking idiots.
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