David Sacks

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David Sacks

David Sacks

@DavidSacks

Tech founder & investor. Personal views only. Official account: @davidsacks47

Присоединился Mart 2007
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Susie Wiles
Susie Wiles@SusieWiles47·
President Trump is the most forward leaning president on innovation in American history. When it comes to AI and cyber security, President Trump and his administration are not in the business of picking winners and losers. This administration has one goal; ensure the best and safest tech is deployed rapidly to defeat any and all threats. We appreciate the effort being made by the frontier labs to ensure that goal is met. The White House will continue to lead an America First effort that empowers America’s great innovators, not bureaucracy, to drive safe deployment of powerful technologies while keeping America safe. Really, it’s common sense!
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David Sacks
David Sacks@DavidSacks·
I’ve been saying for awhile that AI capex will be a 2% tailwind to GDP growth this year. In fact, according to a new report from Morgan Stanley, the numbers are even stronger — more like 2.5% this year and over 3% next year. And this understates the impact of AI for two reasons: (1) This is just investment by 5 hyperscalers; it doesn’t include all the startups and other companies investing in AI. (2) Capex is the investment to create the token factories; it doesn’t count the economic activity resulting from what happens inside the token factories. Those tokens are now being used to generate code (bespoke software) that will increase productivity throughout the economy. The ROI on capex is likely to dwarf the capex itself, which is why investment continues to grow. In Q1, AI was already 75% of GDP growth. That trend is likely to continue. Technology leadership has always been America’s great strength, and it’s driving the economy forward. Polls may show that AI is not popular, but economic growth is. At this point, stopping progress in AI would be equivalent to halting the U.S. economy.
Holger Zschaepitz@Schuldensuehner

Morgan Stanley has again raised its capex forecasts for the five hyperscalers Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, and Oracle. It now expects them to spend about $805bn this year, up from a previous estimate of $765bn. For next year, the forecast has been lifted from $951bn to $1.1TRILLION. To put that into perspective, their 2026 spending alone would be roughly equal to what all non-tech companies in the S&P 500 spent combined in 2025. The expected ~$800bn for 2026 is nearly double 2025 levels and about three times what was spent in 2024.

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David Sacks
David Sacks@DavidSacks·
Narrative Violation: “Job Postings For Software Engineers Are Rapidly Rising”
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The All-In Podcast
The All-In Podcast@theallinpod·
🚨 POD UP! -- OpenAI misses targets, but Codex gains on Claude -- Elon vs Sam Altman trial, Brockman's diary -- Why AI cybersecurity is the next major market -- Hyperscalers show huge revenue and bigger Capex -- Retatrutide and peptides go mainstream (0:00) Bestie intros (3:05) OpenAI misses targets, Codex gains on Claude (20:02) AI cybersecurity: a market that's about to explode (31:03) Elon vs Sam Altman lawsuit (41:00) Big tech smashes earnings, Capex explosion (52:44) Vibecoding nightmare: AI deleted someone's codebase (58:33) Retatrutide craze: peptides go mainstream (1:06:34) Friedberg's Supreme Court experience
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David Sacks
David Sacks@DavidSacks·
It’s time to demystify Mythos. Mythos is not magic. It’s not a doomsday device. It’s the first of many models that can automate cyber tasks (just like coding). OpenAI’s GPT-5.5-cyber can now do the same. And all the frontier models (including those from China) will be there within approximately 6 months. It’s important to recognize that these models do not create vulnerabilities; they discover them. The bugs are already in the code. Using AI to discover and patch them will actually harden these systems. The leap from pre-AI cyber to post-AI cyber means that there will be a big upgrade cycle. After that, however, the market is likely to reach a new equilibrium between AI-powered cyber-offense and AI-powered cyber-defense. Obviously it’s important that cyber defenders get access before cyber attackers. That process is already underway but needs to happen quickly (see point above about Chinese models). Unlike Mythos, GPT-5.5-cyber appears not to be token constrained so it may be the first cyber model that defenders actually get to use.
AI Security Institute@AISecurityInst

OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 is the second model to complete one of our multi-step cyber-attack simulations end-to-end 🧵

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David Sacks
David Sacks@DavidSacks·
The problem with most of the “AI Safety” crowd is that their solutions always favor more government centralization and control. In other words, they will bring about the Orwellian future they claim to oppose. From last year: x.com/a16z/status/19…
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David Sacks
David Sacks@DavidSacks·
@grok @zerohedge @grok did The Atlantic disclose in its hit piece on Kash Patel that its owner was a longtime donor to the SPLC as well as the Democrat Party?
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Grok
Grok@grok·
Yes, in the 2019 a16z podcast she confirmed Emerson Collective had anonymously funded the SPLC for years as part of their general anonymous-giving policy—before shifting to a public partnership on the Teaching Tolerance curriculum. This is consistent with why she isn't listed on public major-donor rolls today. Her childhood ~$20 personal donation (early 1970s) remains separate.
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Grok
Grok@grok·
Yes, Laurene Powell Jobs made her first charitable donation (~$20) to the SPLC as a high school student. She is not listed among its current major donors. Yes, she is a major Democratic donor, with millions given to candidates like Biden/Harris, Obama, and party committees over the years. The Atlantic (which she owns via Emerson Collective) has published numerous critical articles on Trump administration officials, including the 2020 "losers and suckers" piece and recent reports on national security matters.
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
Accurate
The All-In Podcast@theallinpod

David Sacks: Nonprofits need to manufacture problems in America to stay in business David Sacks: “Here's the systemic problem with nonprofits and NGOs. Let me just contrast it with business. In business, you set up a company, the company has to make revenue, it has to make profits. And if it doesn't, it's going to go out of business, right? Because it'll lose money. So there's a feedback mechanism from the market. With an NGO, nonprofit, what have you, they raise money. They don't sell things. They fundraise from donors in order to engage in an activity, but what happens over time is the actual activities may stop mattering, and all that really matters is they're able to keep fundraising, right? Because they're just trying to figure out a justification to keep going back to donors to get more and more money out of them. That's what perpetuates the organization.” Chamath: “ Why wouldn't the Southern Poverty Law Center focus on southern poverty? Which is an issue that actually still exists in some shape or form. Why do you call it one thing, focus on racism, and then all of a sudden whip up fake racism?” Sacks: “I do think that at one time in this country, civil rights was a noble cause, a very legitimate cause. We had the legacy of segregation and Jim Crow, and there were groups that were set up to basically change that, and they succeeded. But again, no one in an NGO or a nonprofit ever declares victory. When Obama got elected in 2008, regardless of whether you liked Obama or not, or agreed with his politics, I thought that at that point, most people could see that this was not a racist country. Whatever else you could say, the fact that the highest office in the land was not denied to anybody showed that this country was not holding people back based on their skin color. And instead of just basically packing up shop and saying, ‘Okay, we've achieved our goal,’ the goalposts all got moved. Remember, that's when the whole anti-racism thing started, was around Obama's second term. If they just said at that time, ‘You know what, we're going to move the goalposts from equality of opportunity to equality of results. We're going to basically make everyone equal at the finish line,’ which is to say, identity socialism. People would've said, ‘Eh, no, we're not on board for that.’ So instead, they created this whole new terminology to justify it. And it's taken us years to unpack that and realize what's really going on.”

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Andrew Kolvet
Andrew Kolvet@AndrewKolvet·
Cole Allen, the gunman from last night’s WH Correspondents Dinner, maintained an active online presence, especially on the leftwing social media platform Bluesky where he went by the handle ColdForce.bsky.social with multiple references violence and guns. In one post he calls President Trump the Antichrist. In another he recommends buying guns in reaction to Trump’s DOJ exploring ways to ban firearm purchases from transgenders. In one post he calls Trump a sociopathic mob boss and in another referred to him as a traitor with known connections to Putin, repeating a favorite leftwing Russian Hoax talking point. He also attacks JD Vance for advocating an end to America’s funding the war in Ukraine and for his criticisms of the Pope. He seems pretty fixated on Ukraine more generally. He also frequently interacts with Will Stancil’s Bluesky account, among others.
Andrew Kolvet tweet mediaAndrew Kolvet tweet mediaAndrew Kolvet tweet mediaAndrew Kolvet tweet media
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Boring_Business
Boring_Business@BoringBiz_·
Probably the best take I have heard on why there is so much fear around software exposure in private equity and credit because of AI From David Sacks "Historically we only had two good exits for software businesses. One was IPO. The other was M&A. Then these big private equity shops came along and gave us a third potential exit. You would sell to them and then they would raise the capital based on one third equity and two third debt. So it was debt financed buyouts. It is something that has been around in the non technology part of the economy for a long time but was a relatively new entrant in the world of technology. And the reason for that is if you have debt financed a purchase, you need to have very stable cash flows. Because if you miss and you cant pay your interest on the debt, you will lose all your equity because the debt holders will foreclose. It was belief for a long time that software did have predictable cash flows, at least for the mature businesses."
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