iPerry

364 posts

iPerry

iPerry

@0xPerry

Positioning for the future of humanity and machine

انضم Ocak 2022
758 يتبع216 المتابعون
iPerry أُعيد تغريده
JOLLY DINGER
JOLLY DINGER@JollyDinger·
i think a lotta projects that built for the future rather than the present (ie @PostFiatOrg) are gonna start looking reaaaaaaaaaal good now that we've pretty much reached escape velocity ai development wise ur considered crazy until u aren't type things noah's ark
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iPerry
iPerry@0xPerry·
@legolas_link @goodalexander @sama The year is 2026. there is a new version of XRP called Post Fiat that is decentralized via AI selecting the unique node list fairly. Its use case is the investment bank not the transaction bank, which has far less compliance issues than replacing swift.
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SnakeSpartan
SnakeSpartan@legolas_link·
@goodalexander @sama The year is 2026. there is a new version of XRP called Post Fiat that is decentralized via AI selecting the unique node list fairly. Its use case is the investment bank not the transaction bank, which has far less compliance issues than replacing swift.
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Sam Altman
Sam Altman@sama·
i would like to talk to people who have built amazing things with 5.5 that weren't possible with earlier models. i am especially interested in examples that took ludicrous token budgets. thanks.
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iPerry أُعيد تغريده
goodalexander
goodalexander@goodalexander·
(crypto focused, L1 fork) We spent months trying to copy Zcash-style privacy into PostFiat with Opus and got stuck. GPT-5.4 finally got basic Halo2 working with tool use spinning validators up/down. GPT-5.5 then proposed a better regulatory design and pushed through a Railgun-style assurance implementation in 2 days, across two 8+ hour sessions. C++/Rust/Python, validator/devnet testing, huge context. Ended w working shielded transactions w assurance / high latency
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iPerry
iPerry@0xPerry·
I have unredacted access to Hindsight Capital’s returns, and boy, they are in a league of their own. Top decile easily.
goodalexander@goodalexander

@antibearthesis Recommend an LP stake in hindsight capital if you can get in

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iPerry أُعيد تغريده
Patrick OShaughnessy
Patrick OShaughnessy@patrick_oshag·
Paul Tudor Jones says the US is more dependent on equity prices than ever, and explains what a 35% correction would trigger in the economy: "We're 252% of stock market cap to GDP. In 1929 we were 65%. In 1987 we got to ~85-90%. In 2000, 170%. If you think about the periodicity of significant bear markets. Since 1970, we get a mean reversion about every 10 years. Let's say mean revert to the past 25 or 30-year PE. That would be a 30, 35% decline. Well, 35% on 250% of GDP is 80, 90% of GDP. 10% of our tax revenues are capital gains, they go to zero. So you can see the budget deficit blowing up. You can see the bond market getting smoked. You can see this kind of negative self-reinforcing effect. In the stock market, we're over-equitized as a country. We have the highest individual equity weightings in the history of the country. And then the real problem is if you look at private equity in 2007-2008, that was about 7% of institutional portfolios. Now it's about 16% of the institutional portfolios. We're so much more illiquid than we were in 2008. The problem is that if you buy the S&P at this current valuation, the 10-year forward return is negative when you buy the S&P with a PE of 22. That's what history shows. So yes, the S&P is spectacular long-term, if you have a hundred-year view. But that's because that's an average of a hundred years, including times when the S&P 500 PE was 6, 7 and 8, or one third of what it is right now. Valuation matters a lot, and the stock market's really high and it's gonna be really hard to make money from here with any kind of long-term view."
Patrick OShaughnessy@patrick_oshag

My guest today is Paul Tudor Jones (@ptj_official), one of the greatest macro traders of all time. He correctly predicted the 1987 stock market crash and shorted the Japanese bubble in 1990. For over 40 years, his flagship fund has had a negative correlation to the S&P 500. 100% of his returns are alpha. He says today's market has so many similarities to 2000, "the easiest bear market I've ever seen in my whole life." He makes the case for going long dollar-yen, why Bitcoin beats gold as an inflation hedge, and why he was wrong about Warren Buffett. But what I'll remember most from this conversation is Paul's zest for life. He's 71 and still wakes at 2:30 every morning to trade the London open. He works out for two hours a day. He walks with his wife every evening. He travels the country chasing peak spring and peak fall. He's so excited about the songs picked for his funeral that he wishes he could be there to hear them. Paul has lived five lifetimes in one. He's one of the most entertaining and interesting people I've met, and the conversation will leave you searching to be as passionate about what you do as he is about what he does. Enjoy! Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 1:00 The Kindest Thing 13:19 Trading vs. Investing 17:33 Lessons from Warren Buffet 22:24 The Existential Risks of AI 29:54 The Nature of Trading 31:46 Bitcoin 35:55 Bubbles 42:08 A Day in the Life of PTJ 46:00 Information Overload 47:07 Passion for Markets 50:49 The Robin Hood Foundation 54:18 The Workless World 56:03 Journalism 1:00:00 Principal Components of a Great Life 1:05:06 Kill Them With Kindness

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Post Fiat
Post Fiat@PostFiatOrg·
Key updates: go to our website (PostFiat Dot Org) to join 36 other validators on our live testnet Join Discord (in profile) to learn about running AI based validation and read the updated whitepaper The Task Node (find on site) is out of beta with an active community.
Post Fiat tweet media
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iPerry
iPerry@0xPerry·
@JollyDinger They will run it red hot until the music stops
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JOLLY DINGER
JOLLY DINGER@JollyDinger·
go ahead and chart what crypto does after equities put in a substantial dip then recover to aths (every damn time) then go look at treasury tga then go look at incoming fed messaging then go look at red gameplan to give themselves a chance for midterms and 2028 then go look at ai capex and what is necessary then go look at upcoming treasury funding cycle and what interest rate gov can handle then go look at inference subsidization ending along with mythos/agi positioning by corps behind scenes then go look at ur timeline and ur chats and their activity then go look in the mirror and sack up and ship it
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iPerry أُعيد تغريده
goodalexander
goodalexander@goodalexander·
The dollar has an infinite supply and is run by devs who print it every time something remotely bad happens If you try to leave the country with gold when it matters, you won’t be able to The economy is technological and runs on the Internet Crypto market cap will go to $10T
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iPerry أُعيد تغريده
Alex Albert
Alex Albert@alexalbert__·
Glasswing is possibly the most consequential event in the AI industry I've seen up close since joining Anthropic almost 3 years ago. It feels like we're at a turning point in history.
Anthropic@AnthropicAI

Introducing Project Glasswing: an urgent initiative to help secure the world’s most critical software. It’s powered by our newest frontier model, Claude Mythos Preview, which can find software vulnerabilities better than all but the most skilled humans. anthropic.com/glasswing

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iPerry
iPerry@0xPerry·
@BigJohn043 Hi John, what do y’all use for measuring employee engagement? We are looking to implement this at our portfolio companies as well to improve retention.
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John Caple
John Caple@BigJohn043·
This is just wrong. Many PE firms offer: "flexibility in structure, respect for the team, a realistic transition for the owner, and a clear story for how you’ll grow what they built." Our firm for example last quarter had higher employee engagement scores in 14 of 18 portfolio companies than when we acquired them. OTOH, some fund-less sponsors offer: "cost‑cutting, culture changes, and a business that suddenly feels unrecognizable to the people who built it." None of this stuff has anything to do with whether a firm has a fund or not. OTOH, the one thing you know is that if they don't have a fund they can't really speak for the deal they are offering. They are going to have to go raise the money and the people providing that money will have their own say on the deal. As a seller the funded sponsor is always a higher chance of closing and brokers know this...
Jackie Ossin Hirsch@JackieHirsch_

Independent sponsors vs PE In most auction processes, everyone assumes the story is simple: private equity has more money, so private equity wins. But that’s not how it feels on the sell‑side of the table. Many owners have a quiet bias against selling to a large fund, even before the first IOI shows up. They’ve heard the stories: cost‑cutting, culture changes, and a business that suddenly feels unrecognizable to the people who built it. That’s why I like to say: “No one ever says, ‘Since private equity bought this company, prices went down, service improved, and I’m the happiest customer ever.’” That line always gets a laugh in a room full of independent sponsors, because they know it’s not completely fair—but it’s also not completely wrong. The opening for independent sponsors is simple: you may not have the biggest checkbook, but you can offer something many sellers value more—flexibility in structure, respect for the team, a realistic transition for the owner, and a clear story for how you’ll grow what they built. If you can package that into a credible, focused pitch, you stop competing as “small PE” and start winning as the buyer who can close a fair deal and sleep at night alongside the seller.

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iPerry أُعيد تغريده
Googly 👀
Googly 👀@0xG00gly·
Trump going from Venezuela to Iran is basically like me trading. Venezuela? Perfect setup, worked but I sized too small. Next trade? I am euphoric, I go 10x size on a shitty setup: Iran. It goes wrong. But I am trapped, keep adding size and blame the market for being wrong.
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iPerry أُعيد تغريده
jay
jay@jay_drainjr·
so someone tried to buy ~3% of Aave’s entire FDV through a mobile app??? am i reading that correctly??
Stani@StaniKulechov

Earlier today, a user attempted to buy AAVE using $50M USDT through the Aave interface. Given the unusually large size of the single order, the Aave interface, like most trading interfaces, warned the user about extraordinary slippage and required confirmation via a checkbox. The user confirmed the warning on their mobile device and proceeded with the swap, accepting the high slippage, which ultimately resulted in receiving only 324 AAVE in return. The transaction could not be moved forward without the user explicitly accepting the risk through the confirmation checkbox. The CoW Swap routers functioned as intended, and the integration followed standard industry practices. However, while the user was able to proceed with the swap, the final outcome was clearly far from optimal. Events like this do occur in DeFi, but the scale of this transaction was significantly larger than what is typically seen in the space. We sympathize with the user and will try to make a contact with the user and we will return $600K in fees collected from the transaction. The key takeaway is that while DeFi should remain open and permissionless, allowing users to perform transactions freely, there are additional guardrails the industry can build to better protect users. Our team will be investigating ways to improve these safeguards going forward.

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Pub
Pub@PubWanghaf·
Khamenei jestergooned and Donald Trump framemogged him. It’s that simple.
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iPerry
iPerry@0xPerry·
@Teooooos Love Trump or hate Trump, he is an artist at destroying at his opponents. What a savvy way to make actual American citizens pay attention to what is going on right before midterms.
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Teos 🧨
Teos 🧨@Teooooos·
@0xPerry Once again democrats can't get out of their own way, just unbelievably retarded showing lmao
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