Benjamin’s Column

5.3K posts

Benjamin’s Column

Benjamin’s Column

@Benjamin_0520

Just Speak My Mind

انضم Eylül 2023
439 يتبع57 المتابعون
江峰
江峰@realjiangfeng·
貫徹習近平「國進民退」,為啥7天內遭秒殺?副部級高官惹怒習遠平,被清洗!揭秘深圳神秘富豪張峻,長達十年的「習家錢袋子」內幕!【江峰視界20260... youtu.be/34KKMnUdpZw?si… via @YouTube
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中国人权-Human Rights in China
【北京房山铲车无差别冲撞致至少13死,底层访民申冤无门走向极端,当局火速全网消音并升级天安门戒备】据追光者消息,​3月29日中午,北京房山区大韩继村早市发生惨剧。一名50多岁男子驾驶铲车疯狂冲撞人群与摊档,现场惨烈。警方事后在肇事车辆内发现厚达十几厘米的举报材料。据悉,大韩继村因历史拆迁遗留问题,一直是当地村民与政府矛盾最深、访民高度集中的区域。 ​这起极端的暴力事件,揭开了中国社会维稳表象下的深层溃疡:当体制内的司法救济与纠错渠道被彻底堵死,长年上访无果、陷入绝望的底层民众,往往会滑向极端的“报复社会”行为。令人痛心的是,最终为体制失效付出血的代价的,依然是无辜的平民。 ​悲剧发生后,官方的惯性反应依旧是“维稳”压倒一切。国内媒体的初步报道被火速下架,社交网络上的现场视频遭到全网审查,甚至在距离事发地47公里外的天安门广场,也迅速部署大量特警封路戒备。 ​掩盖鲜血无法带来真正的稳定。缺乏法治与基本的人权保障,将申冤者逼入绝境,全社会都将成为系统性痼疾的受害者。 报道原文👇 pulsehknews.com/beijing-bulldo…
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悉尼閑人
悉尼閑人@ChinaTruth·
突发新闻:阿联酋已冻结了伊朗5300亿美元的资产,并撤销了所有伊朗人的居留签证,包括黄金签证,尽管此前曾承诺给予伊朗人“99年居留权”。
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高瑜
高瑜@gaoyu200812·
專門對中國“挑刺兒”的@作家崔成浩,又用4幅日本公園的景緻對比了北京公園。 日本又是櫻花盛開的季節,不僅一排排櫻花樹像緋紅的輕雲,落英把下邊的道路也染成緋紅色。包括秋天深紅的楓葉、金黃的銀杏葉,都任其飄落。 而北京公園一景,環衛工人正用高高的木桿像秋天打棗一樣,把剛剛綻放的玉蘭花辦全部打掉,令觀者無不瞠目結舌。因為公園有規定,花瓣落地不及時打掃要罰款。工人們只好一次清理乾淨。 落英和落葉,在日本看作美景,在中國看作垃圾,這是文化不同?審美不同?還是規章制度不同?三者綜合起來,就是文明的不同。文明國度,一定最大滿足國民對美的最多最廣泛的需求,野蠻的的國度寧可讓遊人看枯枝,也不允許樹下有落英,還自詡為一塵不染。國家的方方面面都像政治制度一樣死板僵硬,不合邏輯、沒有人味。
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高瑜@gaoyu200812

中共司法的條條框框保障的從來不是人民的審美權利,而是把美掃進垃圾堆中去毀滅。

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张发财
张发财@zhangfacai777·
于右任遗愿是“葬我于高山之上兮”。台湾第一峰是玉山,当局决定在山顶造一座3米高的于右任像。为什么3米高?理由有趣,玉山海拔3997米, 加增3米, 就进入世界4000米高峰行列,对文旅宣传开发有好处。“山高我为峰”,红塔集团还能赞助。若在马里亚纳海沟挖点石头搬到玉山,一下创造两个记录!
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sincere
sincere@zi68795486·
民进党创党元老张俊宏说: “只要中国大陆敢开放直选, 台湾马上回归!” 他主张两岸应实行“一国一制”, 在民主、法制前题下统一才是真统一。 他强调中国若真想统一, 就实施总统直选, 2300万台湾人和4万民进党员都不害怕, 13亿中国人和8000万中共党员更不应反对。
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Benjamin’s Column
Benjamin’s Column@Benjamin_0520·
@GordonGChang Regardless of any denial, the CCP regime is an enemy of democratic nations—particularly the United States. China's current opposition to Israel is also aimed at countering the United States.
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Gordon G. Chang
Gordon G. Chang@GordonGChang·
Want to win this war? Make China pay. Want to lose the war? Keep trying to work with China. China is our enemy.
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86

BREAKING: An Iranian ballistic missile guided by Chinese BeiDou satellites, fuelled by Chinese sodium perchlorate, precisely navigated by Chinese gyroscopic sensors, and fabricated on production lines equipped with Chinese SMIC tools just struck the Neot Hovav industrial zone south of Beersheba. Israel’s largest chemical and hazardous waste complex. Nineteen plants. Adama. Teva Pharmaceutical. Israel Chemicals. A warehouse is burning. Route 40 closed. No injuries. No hazmat release. Fire contained. Four countries built that missile. One country appears at every layer of the supply chain. The same country that processes 85 to 90 percent of the rare earth magnets inside the Arrow interceptor that was fired to stop it. The missile cost Iran between $200,000 and $500,000. The Arrow 3 interceptor that attempted to stop it cost $2 to $4 million. If THAAD was fired, $13 to $15 million. If a Gulf state Patriot battery engaged a Shahed in the same wave, $4 million to stop a $20,000 drone. The cost ratio runs 5 to 1 at the lowest. 200 to 1 at the highest. The defender pays more to stop the weapon than the attacker pays to build it. Every single time. BeiDou is the variable that makes this ratio lethal. Before Chinese satellite integration, Iranian ballistic missiles relied on pure inertial navigation with a circular error probable of 500 to 1,000 metres. With BeiDou-3 hybrid guidance, the CEP drops to 50 to 200 metres. The missile that hit Neot Hovav did not land in the desert. It landed in a 19-plant chemical complex. BeiDou did not make the missile more expensive. It made the same cheap missile accurate enough to force the defender to fire the expensive interceptor every time. The cost of the offence stayed flat. The cost of the defence compounded. The Pentagon burned $5.6 billion in munitions in 48 hours. Israel has fired hundreds of Arrows since February 28, exceeding $1 billion in interception costs. The US requests $200 billion in supplemental funding. Iran’s total offensive expenditure: an estimated $200 million. $200 billion to stop $200 million. A 1,000 to 1 ratio at the strategic level. China is on both sides of the ledger. Chinese BeiDou makes the Iranian missile accurate enough to force interception. Chinese rare earth magnets make the interceptor that fires to stop it. Chinese SMIC tools build the production lines that fabricate the guidance chips. Chinese sodium perchlorate fuels the propellant. Every missile that forces an interception depletes an Arrow that contains Chinese rare earth magnets that are under export restrictions that China controls. The attacker’s supply chain and the defender’s supply chain route through the same country. The country profits from both the missile and the interceptor. The country that makes the offence possible also makes the defence expensive. This is not a war between Iran and Israel. This is a cost function. The cost function has one variable on the offence side: China. And one variable on the defence side: also China. The rare earth magnets in the Arrow motor. The BeiDou signal in the Emad guidance. Both made in the same country. Both consumed in the same exchange. One depleting the other. The war is a Chinese supply chain consuming itself at a ratio that bankrupts the defender before it exhausts the attacker. Neot Hovav is contained. No injuries. No hazmat. And none of that matters. The interceptor was fired. The stockpile shrank. The rare earth magnet was consumed. Tomorrow another BeiDou-guided missile will force another Arrow containing another Chinese magnet to fire at another ratio the defender cannot sustain. The IDF Chief said “collapse.” The interceptor stockpile says the same in a different currency. Both currencies route through Beijing. Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

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Benjamin’s Column
Benjamin’s Column@Benjamin_0520·
@SilenceGvq 为了世界和平和伟大领袖的健康,强烈呼吁美国也给予习近平、金三胖这样的待遇😆
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Silent Bird
Silent Bird@SilenceGvq·
這貨該感謝川普,減肥成功了,三高問題也解決了
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Benjamin’s Column@Benjamin_0520·
The democratic nations, led by the United States, should have taken action against China—more precisely, against the CCP—long ago. As long as the CCP remains in power, there will be no lasting peace
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86

BREAKING: An Iranian ballistic missile guided by Chinese BeiDou satellites, fuelled by Chinese sodium perchlorate, precisely navigated by Chinese gyroscopic sensors, and fabricated on production lines equipped with Chinese SMIC tools just struck the Neot Hovav industrial zone south of Beersheba. Israel’s largest chemical and hazardous waste complex. Nineteen plants. Adama. Teva Pharmaceutical. Israel Chemicals. A warehouse is burning. Route 40 closed. No injuries. No hazmat release. Fire contained. Four countries built that missile. One country appears at every layer of the supply chain. The same country that processes 85 to 90 percent of the rare earth magnets inside the Arrow interceptor that was fired to stop it. The missile cost Iran between $200,000 and $500,000. The Arrow 3 interceptor that attempted to stop it cost $2 to $4 million. If THAAD was fired, $13 to $15 million. If a Gulf state Patriot battery engaged a Shahed in the same wave, $4 million to stop a $20,000 drone. The cost ratio runs 5 to 1 at the lowest. 200 to 1 at the highest. The defender pays more to stop the weapon than the attacker pays to build it. Every single time. BeiDou is the variable that makes this ratio lethal. Before Chinese satellite integration, Iranian ballistic missiles relied on pure inertial navigation with a circular error probable of 500 to 1,000 metres. With BeiDou-3 hybrid guidance, the CEP drops to 50 to 200 metres. The missile that hit Neot Hovav did not land in the desert. It landed in a 19-plant chemical complex. BeiDou did not make the missile more expensive. It made the same cheap missile accurate enough to force the defender to fire the expensive interceptor every time. The cost of the offence stayed flat. The cost of the defence compounded. The Pentagon burned $5.6 billion in munitions in 48 hours. Israel has fired hundreds of Arrows since February 28, exceeding $1 billion in interception costs. The US requests $200 billion in supplemental funding. Iran’s total offensive expenditure: an estimated $200 million. $200 billion to stop $200 million. A 1,000 to 1 ratio at the strategic level. China is on both sides of the ledger. Chinese BeiDou makes the Iranian missile accurate enough to force interception. Chinese rare earth magnets make the interceptor that fires to stop it. Chinese SMIC tools build the production lines that fabricate the guidance chips. Chinese sodium perchlorate fuels the propellant. Every missile that forces an interception depletes an Arrow that contains Chinese rare earth magnets that are under export restrictions that China controls. The attacker’s supply chain and the defender’s supply chain route through the same country. The country profits from both the missile and the interceptor. The country that makes the offence possible also makes the defence expensive. This is not a war between Iran and Israel. This is a cost function. The cost function has one variable on the offence side: China. And one variable on the defence side: also China. The rare earth magnets in the Arrow motor. The BeiDou signal in the Emad guidance. Both made in the same country. Both consumed in the same exchange. One depleting the other. The war is a Chinese supply chain consuming itself at a ratio that bankrupts the defender before it exhausts the attacker. Neot Hovav is contained. No injuries. No hazmat. And none of that matters. The interceptor was fired. The stockpile shrank. The rare earth magnet was consumed. Tomorrow another BeiDou-guided missile will force another Arrow containing another Chinese magnet to fire at another ratio the defender cannot sustain. The IDF Chief said “collapse.” The interceptor stockpile says the same in a different currency. Both currencies route through Beijing. Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

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Benjamin’s Column
Benjamin’s Column@Benjamin_0520·
China, Iran, Russia, North Korea, and other anti-American regimes have long formed an axis of evil, with China serving as its core.
Shijie诗姐@shijie808

译文:突发新闻:一枚由中国北斗卫星引导、以中国高氯酸钠为燃料、依靠中国陀螺仪传感器进行精密导航、并在配备中国中芯国际(SMIC)设备的生产线上制造的伊朗弹道导弹,刚刚击中了位于贝尔谢巴(Beersheba)以南的内奥特霍瓦夫(Neot Hovav)工业区。这是以色列最大的化学品与危险废弃物综合处理基地,拥有19家工厂,其中包括阿达玛(Adama)、梯瓦制药(Teva Pharmaceutical)和以色列化工(Israel Chemicals)等巨头。目前有一座仓库起火,40号公路已封闭。暂无人员伤亡报告,未发生危险物质泄漏,火势已得到控制。 这枚导弹由四个国家联手打造,而其中一个国家的身影贯穿了整个供应链的每一个环节。巧合的是,正是这个国家,负责加工制造了85%至90%的稀土磁体——而这些磁体正是用于那枚被发射出来试图拦截该导弹的“箭式”(Arrow)拦截弹之中。 这枚导弹的造价在20万至50万美元之间。而试图将其拦截的“箭-3”(Arrow 3)拦截弹,造价高达200万至400万美元。若动用“萨德”(THAAD)系统进行拦截,成本将飙升至1300万至1500万美元。若海湾国家的“爱国者”(Patriot)防空连在同一波次攻击中拦截一架“见证者”(Shahed)无人机,则需耗资400万美元,去拦截一架仅值2万美元的无人机。攻防双方的成本比最低为5比1,最高甚至达到200比1。防守方为拦截武器所付出的代价,总是高于进攻方制造该武器的成本——无一例外。 北斗系统正是导致这种成本比率变得如此致命的关键变量。在整合中国卫星导航技术之前,伊朗的弹道导弹主要依靠纯惯性导航,其圆概率误差(CEP)在500至1000米之间。而在引入“北斗三号”混合制导技术后,其圆概率误差已大幅缩减至50至200米。那枚击中内奥特霍瓦夫的导弹,并没有像往常那样落入荒漠之中,而是精准地命中了那个拥有19家工厂的化学工业综合体。北斗系统的应用并未提高导弹本身的造价,却赋予了这款廉价导弹极高的精度,迫使防守方不得不每一次都发射昂贵的拦截弹进行应对。进攻方的成本维持不变,而防守方的成本却呈几何级数螺旋上升。 在短短48小时内,五角大楼便消耗了价值56亿美元的弹药。自2月28日以来,以色列已发射了数百枚“箭式”拦截弹,仅拦截行动本身的成本就已超过10亿美元。为此,美国正寻求国会批准一笔高达2000亿美元的补充拨款。伊朗的总进攻开支:估算约为2亿美元。而为了拦截这2亿美元的攻击,却耗费了2000亿美元。在战略层面上,这是一种1000比1的悬殊比例。 中国在这笔账目的收支两端都占据了一席之地。正是中国的“北斗”导航系统,赋予了伊朗导弹足够的精度,迫使对方不得不实施拦截;而正是中国的稀土磁体,构成了那些发射升空实施拦截的导弹组件。中国的“中芯国际”(SMIC)提供的设备,构建了制造导弹制导芯片的生产线;而中国的过氯酸钠,则为导弹推进剂提供了燃料。每一枚迫使对方实施拦截的导弹,都会消耗掉一枚“箭式”(Arrow)拦截弹;而这枚拦截弹中,恰恰含有受中国政府出口管制、且由中国掌控的稀土磁体。攻击方的供应链与防御方的供应链,竟然殊途同归,都绕不开同一个国家。这个国家不仅从攻击导弹中获利,同时也从拦截导弹中获利。正是这个国家,既促成了攻击行动的实施,又极大地推高了防御行动的成本。 这并非仅仅是一场伊朗与以色列之间的战争。这本质上是一个“成本函数”。在这个成本函数中,攻击方一侧只有一个变量:中国;而在防御方一侧,变量依然是:中国。无论是“箭式”拦截弹发动机中的稀土磁体,还是“埃马德”(Emad)导弹制导系统中接收的“北斗”信号,两者皆产自同一个国家,且在同一场交锋中被双双消耗。一方的消耗,必然导致另一方的损耗。这场战争,归根结底是一条“中国供应链”在进行自我消耗——其消耗的比例之悬殊,足以让防御方在耗尽攻击方之前,便已率先走向破产。 Neot Hovav 地区已解除警报,局势得到控制。无人员伤亡,亦无危险化学品泄漏。然而,所有这些“无损”的结果,其实都无关紧要。因为拦截弹终究还是发射出去了;拦截弹的库存终究还是缩减了;而那枚稀土磁体,终究还是被消耗掉了。到了明天,又一枚由“北斗”系统制导的导弹将会飞来,再次迫使另一枚装有中国稀土磁体的“箭式”拦截弹升空迎击——而这种极不对称的消耗比例,正是防御方所根本无法长期维系的。 以色列国防军(IDF)总参谋长口中说出了“崩溃”二字;而那日益缩减的拦截弹库存,则以另一种“货币”的形式,印证了同样的预言。而这两种“货币”的流通路径,最终都指向了同一个地方——北京。 完整分析文章请见:open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans

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Benjamin’s Column
Benjamin’s Column@Benjamin_0520·
@shijie808 中国、伊朗、俄罗斯、朝鲜以及其他反美国家早已结成邪恶轴心,而中国则是邪恶轴心的核心。以美国为首的民主国家早就应该对中国,确切地说是对中共,采取行动了。中共不除,永无宁日。
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Shijie诗姐
Shijie诗姐@shijie808·
译文:突发新闻:一枚由中国北斗卫星引导、以中国高氯酸钠为燃料、依靠中国陀螺仪传感器进行精密导航、并在配备中国中芯国际(SMIC)设备的生产线上制造的伊朗弹道导弹,刚刚击中了位于贝尔谢巴(Beersheba)以南的内奥特霍瓦夫(Neot Hovav)工业区。这是以色列最大的化学品与危险废弃物综合处理基地,拥有19家工厂,其中包括阿达玛(Adama)、梯瓦制药(Teva Pharmaceutical)和以色列化工(Israel Chemicals)等巨头。目前有一座仓库起火,40号公路已封闭。暂无人员伤亡报告,未发生危险物质泄漏,火势已得到控制。 这枚导弹由四个国家联手打造,而其中一个国家的身影贯穿了整个供应链的每一个环节。巧合的是,正是这个国家,负责加工制造了85%至90%的稀土磁体——而这些磁体正是用于那枚被发射出来试图拦截该导弹的“箭式”(Arrow)拦截弹之中。 这枚导弹的造价在20万至50万美元之间。而试图将其拦截的“箭-3”(Arrow 3)拦截弹,造价高达200万至400万美元。若动用“萨德”(THAAD)系统进行拦截,成本将飙升至1300万至1500万美元。若海湾国家的“爱国者”(Patriot)防空连在同一波次攻击中拦截一架“见证者”(Shahed)无人机,则需耗资400万美元,去拦截一架仅值2万美元的无人机。攻防双方的成本比最低为5比1,最高甚至达到200比1。防守方为拦截武器所付出的代价,总是高于进攻方制造该武器的成本——无一例外。 北斗系统正是导致这种成本比率变得如此致命的关键变量。在整合中国卫星导航技术之前,伊朗的弹道导弹主要依靠纯惯性导航,其圆概率误差(CEP)在500至1000米之间。而在引入“北斗三号”混合制导技术后,其圆概率误差已大幅缩减至50至200米。那枚击中内奥特霍瓦夫的导弹,并没有像往常那样落入荒漠之中,而是精准地命中了那个拥有19家工厂的化学工业综合体。北斗系统的应用并未提高导弹本身的造价,却赋予了这款廉价导弹极高的精度,迫使防守方不得不每一次都发射昂贵的拦截弹进行应对。进攻方的成本维持不变,而防守方的成本却呈几何级数螺旋上升。 在短短48小时内,五角大楼便消耗了价值56亿美元的弹药。自2月28日以来,以色列已发射了数百枚“箭式”拦截弹,仅拦截行动本身的成本就已超过10亿美元。为此,美国正寻求国会批准一笔高达2000亿美元的补充拨款。伊朗的总进攻开支:估算约为2亿美元。而为了拦截这2亿美元的攻击,却耗费了2000亿美元。在战略层面上,这是一种1000比1的悬殊比例。 中国在这笔账目的收支两端都占据了一席之地。正是中国的“北斗”导航系统,赋予了伊朗导弹足够的精度,迫使对方不得不实施拦截;而正是中国的稀土磁体,构成了那些发射升空实施拦截的导弹组件。中国的“中芯国际”(SMIC)提供的设备,构建了制造导弹制导芯片的生产线;而中国的过氯酸钠,则为导弹推进剂提供了燃料。每一枚迫使对方实施拦截的导弹,都会消耗掉一枚“箭式”(Arrow)拦截弹;而这枚拦截弹中,恰恰含有受中国政府出口管制、且由中国掌控的稀土磁体。攻击方的供应链与防御方的供应链,竟然殊途同归,都绕不开同一个国家。这个国家不仅从攻击导弹中获利,同时也从拦截导弹中获利。正是这个国家,既促成了攻击行动的实施,又极大地推高了防御行动的成本。 这并非仅仅是一场伊朗与以色列之间的战争。这本质上是一个“成本函数”。在这个成本函数中,攻击方一侧只有一个变量:中国;而在防御方一侧,变量依然是:中国。无论是“箭式”拦截弹发动机中的稀土磁体,还是“埃马德”(Emad)导弹制导系统中接收的“北斗”信号,两者皆产自同一个国家,且在同一场交锋中被双双消耗。一方的消耗,必然导致另一方的损耗。这场战争,归根结底是一条“中国供应链”在进行自我消耗——其消耗的比例之悬殊,足以让防御方在耗尽攻击方之前,便已率先走向破产。 Neot Hovav 地区已解除警报,局势得到控制。无人员伤亡,亦无危险化学品泄漏。然而,所有这些“无损”的结果,其实都无关紧要。因为拦截弹终究还是发射出去了;拦截弹的库存终究还是缩减了;而那枚稀土磁体,终究还是被消耗掉了。到了明天,又一枚由“北斗”系统制导的导弹将会飞来,再次迫使另一枚装有中国稀土磁体的“箭式”拦截弹升空迎击——而这种极不对称的消耗比例,正是防御方所根本无法长期维系的。 以色列国防军(IDF)总参谋长口中说出了“崩溃”二字;而那日益缩减的拦截弹库存,则以另一种“货币”的形式,印证了同样的预言。而这两种“货币”的流通路径,最终都指向了同一个地方——北京。 完整分析文章请见:open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86

BREAKING: An Iranian ballistic missile guided by Chinese BeiDou satellites, fuelled by Chinese sodium perchlorate, precisely navigated by Chinese gyroscopic sensors, and fabricated on production lines equipped with Chinese SMIC tools just struck the Neot Hovav industrial zone south of Beersheba. Israel’s largest chemical and hazardous waste complex. Nineteen plants. Adama. Teva Pharmaceutical. Israel Chemicals. A warehouse is burning. Route 40 closed. No injuries. No hazmat release. Fire contained. Four countries built that missile. One country appears at every layer of the supply chain. The same country that processes 85 to 90 percent of the rare earth magnets inside the Arrow interceptor that was fired to stop it. The missile cost Iran between $200,000 and $500,000. The Arrow 3 interceptor that attempted to stop it cost $2 to $4 million. If THAAD was fired, $13 to $15 million. If a Gulf state Patriot battery engaged a Shahed in the same wave, $4 million to stop a $20,000 drone. The cost ratio runs 5 to 1 at the lowest. 200 to 1 at the highest. The defender pays more to stop the weapon than the attacker pays to build it. Every single time. BeiDou is the variable that makes this ratio lethal. Before Chinese satellite integration, Iranian ballistic missiles relied on pure inertial navigation with a circular error probable of 500 to 1,000 metres. With BeiDou-3 hybrid guidance, the CEP drops to 50 to 200 metres. The missile that hit Neot Hovav did not land in the desert. It landed in a 19-plant chemical complex. BeiDou did not make the missile more expensive. It made the same cheap missile accurate enough to force the defender to fire the expensive interceptor every time. The cost of the offence stayed flat. The cost of the defence compounded. The Pentagon burned $5.6 billion in munitions in 48 hours. Israel has fired hundreds of Arrows since February 28, exceeding $1 billion in interception costs. The US requests $200 billion in supplemental funding. Iran’s total offensive expenditure: an estimated $200 million. $200 billion to stop $200 million. A 1,000 to 1 ratio at the strategic level. China is on both sides of the ledger. Chinese BeiDou makes the Iranian missile accurate enough to force interception. Chinese rare earth magnets make the interceptor that fires to stop it. Chinese SMIC tools build the production lines that fabricate the guidance chips. Chinese sodium perchlorate fuels the propellant. Every missile that forces an interception depletes an Arrow that contains Chinese rare earth magnets that are under export restrictions that China controls. The attacker’s supply chain and the defender’s supply chain route through the same country. The country profits from both the missile and the interceptor. The country that makes the offence possible also makes the defence expensive. This is not a war between Iran and Israel. This is a cost function. The cost function has one variable on the offence side: China. And one variable on the defence side: also China. The rare earth magnets in the Arrow motor. The BeiDou signal in the Emad guidance. Both made in the same country. Both consumed in the same exchange. One depleting the other. The war is a Chinese supply chain consuming itself at a ratio that bankrupts the defender before it exhausts the attacker. Neot Hovav is contained. No injuries. No hazmat. And none of that matters. The interceptor was fired. The stockpile shrank. The rare earth magnet was consumed. Tomorrow another BeiDou-guided missile will force another Arrow containing another Chinese magnet to fire at another ratio the defender cannot sustain. The IDF Chief said “collapse.” The interceptor stockpile says the same in a different currency. Both currencies route through Beijing. Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

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