Cole Mercer

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Cole Mercer

Cole Mercer

@ColeMInvests

I find the trade before it's obvious. Long-term capital allocator. NFA DYOR. 15+ years and counting. Don’t get rich…get wealthy.

United States انضم Haziran 2026
40 يتبع10 المتابعون
Cole Mercer
Cole Mercer@ColeMInvests·
@NoRiskNoPremium IWM holds 215 Monday or the bounce stays a tech-only trade. Small caps are the tell.
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No Risk No Premium™
No Risk No Premium™@NoRiskNoPremium·
For those who prefer video over reading: Here's my complete Sunday Stock Watch for $SPY, $QQQ, and $IWM heading into next week. Key levels. Bull & bear scenarios. The exact setups I'll be watching when the market opens. See you Monday. youtu.be/bHH0jfGbMRo
YouTube video
YouTube
No Risk No Premium™@NoRiskNoPremium

Weekend Market Overview 🧵👇 A lot of traders spend their weekends staring at 5-minute charts. I spend mine looking at the WEEKLY. The weekly chart tells you where the real trend is. Let's break down $SPY, $QQQ, and $IWM heading into next week.

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Cole Mercer
Cole Mercer@ColeMInvests·
@Blue_1Trades That valuation gap closes fast when the narrative shifts. Patience here gets rewarded.
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J@Blue_1Trades·
@ColeMInvests Exactly. Also, its the only semi not trading at a ridiculous premium.
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J@Blue_1Trades·
$NVDA - currently sitting on the 50d. First time since March when it reclaimed it. This is actually a pretty important level. A key part of my trading strategy is whether a stock or the indices are trading above or below their 50d. Successful retest and continuation can lead to a macro continuation. NVDA is still in price discovery since it made a new all time high. If the bulls are going to step in this is where you want to see it happen. I don't personally like to trade this stock. I use it more as a broader market signal more than anything in conjunction with the rest of big tech.
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Cole Mercer
Cole Mercer@ColeMInvests·
$MU up 7% overnight after Friday's 4% Nasdaq flush. Jensen calls it a buying opportunity. The AI thesis didn't change. The crowd got shaken out.
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Cole Mercer
Cole Mercer@ColeMInvests·
@Invest_with_Ish If the thesis is right, own the source. $NVDA is the cleanest expression. The proxies just add noise.
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Invest_with_Ish
Invest_with_Ish@Invest_with_Ish·
This is why I don’t buy memory stocks, neo cloud, or any $NVDA proxy. Every proxy trade is usually a more leveraged, more cyclical, higher-risk version of the same AI thesis. Memory names can win. Neo-clouds can win. Infrastructure suppliers can win. But the key question is: Who controls the roadmap? Jensen walking into SK Hynix’s booth and writing “Please Make More” on their chip says everything. That is not just demand. That is platform power. SK Hynix is not creating the AI cycle. It is supplying into a cycle NVIDIA created. CoreWeave is not creating the GPU ecosystem. It is renting NVIDIA GPUs and reselling compute. Memory suppliers face capex risk, commodity-cycle risk, and customer-dependency risk. Neo-clouds face financing risk, utilization risk, customer concentration risk, and margin pressure. Meanwhile NVIDIA owns the platform layer: GPU. CUDA. Networking. Full rack systems. Software ecosystem. Customer relationships. AI factory roadmap. That does not mean proxies cannot outperform for a period. They absolutely can. But they are timing trades. NVIDIA is the platform trade. The dependency may run both ways. The control does not. Own the platform, not just the supplier to the platform. $NVDA
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Cole Mercer
Cole Mercer@ColeMInvests·
@StockMKTNewz CEO talking his book. But $205 with a $300 consensus and the only real AI infrastructure moat on the planet? He's not wrong.
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Evan
Evan@StockMKTNewz·
Nvidia $NVDA CEO Jensen Huang just called Friday's sell-off a "buying opportunity" "Everyone has the chance to buy shares at a lower cost"
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Cole Mercer
Cole Mercer@ColeMInvests·
@Mr_Derivatives The jobs print had 70k World Cup bartenders in it. Strip that out and there is no blowout. Sold $NVDA on noise.
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Cole Mercer
Cole Mercer@ColeMInvests·
@varuntakkar01 Right read. Geopolitical headlines always hit Asian markets hardest overnight. The real trade is whether $SPY gaps down Monday and holds or we get follow through.
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Varun Takkar
Varun Takkar@varuntakkar01·
🚨 Stop panicking about the KOSPI halt. ​My whole timeline is screaming that the US market is going to crash next because South Korea is halting. ​You need to understand how time zones work. What we are seeing in the KOSPI right now is just a delayed reaction to what already happened to us on Friday. ​Here is the actual sequence: 🇺🇸 Friday (US): Tech and memory stocks take a massive hit. ⏳ The Weekend: Markets were closed. 🇰🇷 Monday Morning (KOSPI): South Korea opens and is reflecting prices from Friday’s US drop. Memory stocks like Samsung and SK Hynix bleed to catch up. ​The US market is ahead of the KOSPI in this cycle, not behind it. Today's KOSPI drop isn't some dark omen for our market tomorrow—it's literally just an echo of our Friday. ​There is no need to panic. Understand the time difference. $MU $SNDK $STX
Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru

JUST IN: 🇰🇷 South Korea's KOSPI stock market halted after 8.4% crash, triggering circuit breaker.

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Cole Mercer
Cole Mercer@ColeMInvests·
@algotradingdesk SK Hynix down 10% the same morning they ink a multi-year AI deal with Nvidia. Short term fear, long term thesis intact.
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Manish Malhotra
Manish Malhotra@algotradingdesk·
🚨 SOUTH KOREA TRIGGERS MARKET CIRCUIT BREAKER 🚨 South Korea's stock market was reportedly halted after the KOSPI plunged -8.4% at the open, marking one of the sharpest selloffs in recent years. 📉 KOSPI: 7,477 📉 Daily Move: -8.4% ⚠️ Trading Halt Activated The selloff comes amid escalating geopolitical tensions and growing risk-off sentiment across global markets. 👀 Markets Watching: • Asian Equities • Semiconductor Stocks • Global Tech Sector • Crude Oil • Safe-Haven Assets When one of Asia's largest markets triggers a trading halt, investors worldwide pay attention. Fear is spreading faster than fundamentals. 🔥 #SouthKorea #StockMarketCrash
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Cole Mercer
Cole Mercer@ColeMInvests·
@marketwizard87 Classic trap and reset. Everyone bought the breakout, now the same people are panic-selling the 50d test. Setup is actually cleaner here than it was at highs.
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Marketwizard87
Marketwizard87@marketwizard87·
I know some of you can barely comprehend or track what happened today, let alone the context of setting a market trap, so let me break it down for you. 1.) $NVDA is known for stellar earnings quarter after quarter 2.) In anticipation of more great earnings, the stock broke out of a 6 month+ base pattern. 3.) On 5/20/2026 ER came out and NVDA beat wall st expectations. 4.) Every analyst upgraded the stocks PT and forward guidance. 30/30 5.) Stock instantly sold off and is now falling back into the trading range that she was in before the breakout. (This is called a bull trap) This is all happening WHILE $SMH is up 70% in 2 months (The ETF NVDA is 18% of). Let's see if the bulls can save the $212 number into close. Failure to do so and this triggers a very large bull trap with 2 weekly closes below $212 (breakout level) You keep day trading and let me focus on the big moves.
Marketwizard87 tweet mediaMarketwizard87 tweet media
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Cole Mercer
Cole Mercer@ColeMInvests·
@ZoneMarcus This is a long term play for me so I just want to see continued growth.
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Marcus Zone
Marcus Zone@ZoneMarcus·
@ColeMInvests I wouldn’t expect too much from this earnings report. Forecast increase is a possibility, however.
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Cole Mercer
Cole Mercer@ColeMInvests·
Everyone's watching $BB for the meme energy. The smarter reason to pay attention is QNX. Physical AI needs a real-time safety-certified OS backbone. BlackBerry is already embedded in that supply chain. Earnings June 25.
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Al
Al@AL007Finch·
@ColeMInvests The market cap tells all… qnx on the market would sell for that right now. Not counting the future
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Cole Mercer
Cole Mercer@ColeMInvests·
@Beloves78 The scale at which QNX is used will only rapidly expand from here. If talks of moving to a subscription based service are legit then revenues can really explode.
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Be@Beloves78·
$bb BlackBerry investors: bull vs bear for next 6 months? Bull: why does this rally continue higher instead of fading? Bear: why does it fail and drift back toward ~$2?
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JARIN 🌊
JARIN 🌊@Web3_Jarin·
If you are still under 30k followers Say hello 👋 Let’s follow you 💜🫂
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QuantBuddy
QuantBuddy@QuantBuddyAI·
@Web3_Jarin Hello. Just trying to get another 13 followers so that I can start viewing the 'analytics'. Apparently it requires 50 followers and I didn't know that.
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Cole Mercer
Cole Mercer@ColeMInvests·
@QC_Capitals $BB seems pretty undervalued considering how widely used their QNX OS is.
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QC Capital
QC Capital@QC_Capitals·
What’s the most undervalued stock right now?
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Cole Mercer
Cole Mercer@ColeMInvests·
$UNH will return to the 200 WMA whether you like it or not. Prepare accordingly.
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