Flymarbles

"It is literally true that millions come easier to a trader after he knows how to trade than hundreds did in the days of his ignorance" (Lefèvre, *Reminiscences of a Stock Operator*).

“There is a time to go long, a time to go short, and a time to go fishing" - Livermore IMHO one of the most dangerous times are when you start living under the 200 & 21 & still haven’t had a Follow Through Day That’s a time to go fishing (just leave the hooks at home😉 IYKYK) With that said it’s CRUCIAL to keep an open mind to ANY outcome, positive, negative or just chop It’s easy to get overly bearish or stuck in a mindset that we need to bounce to short No one knows how the news (& reaction to the news) will play itself out…no one (well except for all the 20/20 hindsight Tuesday morning quarterbacks😉). This is a time to study & get to know & trust your instruments Here’s a WRO on FTDs under the 200 day…plus more on the 21-day when under the 200🍀 Hope it helps…stay flexible WRO #13 Follow Through Days (part 2) FTDs under the 200-Day, Webby Rambl... youtu.be/S6miVU09oDA?si… via @YouTube

The patterns of trigonometry

The market's character is still one of a bear market or cyclical correction; strong open, fade into close and major average living below the 200-day line. Before a reliable bottom can be established, we need to see better price and volume action, including better action from breakout names forming bases. We are clearly NOT out of the woods yet. The market backdrop is one where sentiment has improved with rising pessimism, but not a full capitulation. The VIX has reached bear warning levels, but remains below true washout extremes. A volatility washout is not required for a bottom, but would add conviction. Bullish Scenario --The war ends --Oil prices recede --Stagflation concerns ease --Central banks continuing their easing trajectory Under this scenario, we would expect: -A broadening market advance -Emergence of new leadership from sound bases -A Follow-Through Day (FTD) on the NYSE and/or NASDAQ confirming institutional buying with little in the way of immediate distribution -Significant drop in volatility Bearish Scenario --The war persists or escalates --The Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted --Oil prices make new highs --Stagflation becomes evident in hard economic data This would likely result in: -Limited general market rally attempts with most breakout stocks failing -Lack of follow-through from breakout names -Further deterioration in breadth and leadership -Dearth of setups in buyable position -Continued elevated volatility and distribution In that case, sentiment would likely need to reach higher levels of pessimism before a durable market bottom could form. In its absence, and end to the factors that are pressuring the market could cause the market to bottom in less dramatic fashion.

BREAKING: The Fear & Greed Index is down to 14.6, the lowest since November and down -50.9 points since January. This is now well below the 30-point threshold, signaling "Extreme Fear" among investors. Over the last 4 years, such depressed levels have only been seen in November 2025, April 2025, following the Liberation Day sell-off, and during the 2022 bear market. Each of these readings marked a significant market turning point or at least a bear market rally. Is there too much fear in the market?

Sixteen years ago, one man stood alone on a grassy hill at a music festival in Washington State, USA, and started dancing by himself. People glanced over and looked away. Some laughed. His roommate leaned in and warned him people were filming him. He did not stop. Then one stranger got up and joined him. Then another. Then the hillside tipped. Within minutes, hundreds of people were sprinting from across the field to be part of something that, thirty seconds earlier, had been one man being laughed at in a field. Someone filming from higher up the hill said quietly: "See what one man can do. One man can change the world." The clip spread across the internet in 2009. Entrepreneur Derek Sivers played it at a TED conference to explain how movements actually begin. Not with the first person brave enough to start, he argued, but with the first person willing to join them. Collin Wynter, the man dancing alone, later said he had no idea he had done anything special. He was just tired of watching everyone sit still.

Instead of watching a 2-hour movie, watch this video break down how AI is about to reshape jobs, money, and power over the next decade.

92 companies now confirmed for @PlanetMicroCap Las Vegas, June 16-18th Added $PALS.V $PDEX $EONR this week REGISTER: microcapclub.com/300-investors-…

This is the perfect plan for a longer, healthier life. Thread

Always nice to chat with Rick. Here's my segment from @CNBC today from the @Cboe floor. 🥐

After 3 years of using Claude, I can say it’s the technology that has revolutionized my life. Here are 10 prompts I use daily that have transformed my day-to-day life and could do the same for you: (save this)

Fish observation tower built using the principles of physics.

4 billion years of human evolution unfold in minutes [🎞️ thebrainmaze]

1/ Bears have more proving to do, as no cyclical top since 1990 has occurred in absence of NYSE new lows >4% of total issues. My 10-day average is meant to reduce false signals from the Vince/Williams “bloodbath sidestepping” rule described here: tinyurl.com/6tjt3567

Where are we in the cycle of market emotions? 🤔

The Market Doesn't have an Identity, people do

As always, risk management is paramount. In a market under distribution, tightening stops and prioritizing capital preservation isn’t just prudent — it’s essential. When the tape refuses to reward low-risk setups and breakouts fail to follow through, discipline becomes your greatest edge and cash is king. History shows that conflict-driven declines eventually create meaningful buying opportunities — but not immediately. Risk is elevated, and patience is required. This too will resolve. And when it does, a new upleg will emerge from the geopolitical rubble — as it always has. minervini.com

The last two weeks have been a masterclass in extreme volatility both in trading and in my personal life. Two ER visits. Physical fallouts from Cycle 7 immunotherapy. An acute infection testing my body. Fighting late-stage cancer is the ultimate stress test. But here is the absolute truth: Every single morning I wake up, open my eyes, and my feet hit the floor, I am more determined to keep fucking moving forward. You cannot always control what life throws at you, but you 100% dictate your mindset. Despite the pain and the friction, I am profoundly grateful just to be in the arena, taking the hits, and still breathing. Be grateful for your health. Keep fighting your battles.And Never Ever Give Up!💪

@TaPlot @Clement_Ang17 Fuck yeah!

The largest and sharpest image ever taken of the Andromeda galaxy — otherwise known as M31. It is the biggest Hubble image ever released and shows over 100 million stars, thousands of star clusters in a section of the galaxy’s disc stretching across over 40 000 light-years.

I’m starting a $10- subscription here. I’ll be sharing everything in real time w intraday charts for my entries. Don’t care if you think I sold out, blame the trolls. I want a peaceful, respectful place to talk stocks. Entries, Watch List, RISK MANAGEMENT bc that is KEY for this style, everything. Stay tuned. All from phone.