Hammerhead Intelligence

116 posts

Hammerhead Intelligence

Hammerhead Intelligence

@HammerheadIntel

Political Risk Intelligence

انضم Şubat 2026
45 يتبع2 المتابعون
Blake Allen
Blake Allen@Blake_Allen13·
This is another race where if you’re a Democrat looking for the best bang for your buck on expanding the Senate map, Peltola in Alaska is worth your investment. S-tier candidate, great national environment, relatively cheap state to run in. Money that will buoy downballot too
Mary Peltola@MaryPeltola

I’m so excited to kick off my village tour! I’ll be in Toksook Bay and Kasigluk today, then St. Mary’s, Pilot Station and Hooper Bay on Friday, and Chevak and Scammon Bay on Saturday. From the Aleutians to the Arctic, I want every Alaskan to be part of this. See you out there!

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Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡@PollTracker2024·
Quantus Insights poll | 3/31-4/1 LV US Senate North Carolina 2026 🟦Roy Cooper 48.6% 🟥Michael Whatley 43.8% —— Generic congressional ballot 2026 (NC) 🟦Democratic 44.7% 🟥Republican 43.3% —— President Trump approval (NC) ❌Disapprove 54.4% ✅Approve 43.0%
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Hammerhead Intelligence
Hammerhead Intelligence@HammerheadIntel·
@ForwardCarolina @WhatleyNC Right. Cooper is arguably the most accomplished Democratic politician in modern North Carolina history, winning seven consecutive statewide contests, several of which during 45/47 Administrations. Going to be challenging for MW to overcome that.
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Carolina Forward
Carolina Forward@ForwardCarolina·
Big problem for @WhatleyNC - no one's heard of him. Question: How much have you heard about Michael Whatley, the Republican candidate for U.S. Senator from North Carolina? Great deal/Somewhat: 35% Only a little: 31% Nothing at all: 33% Even among Republicans, a majority - 53% - say they've heard "only a little/nothing at all" about their party's U.S. Senate candidate. By contrast, 70% of all respondents say they've heard a "great deal/somewhat" about @RoyCooperNC.
Carolina Forward@ForwardCarolina

Aaaaand here it is from @ElonPoll: the third consecutive great poll for @RoyCooperNC, and brutal numbers in here for @WhatleyNC. Elon does not do head-to-head questions anymore. Instead, they asked: "Which party do you want to control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 elections?" 🔵Democrats: 40% 🔴Republicans: 35% ⚪️Neither/Unsure: 25% 🔵COOPER NET FAVORABILITY: (+13) 🔴WHATLEY NET FAVORABILITY: (-8) 🔴TRUMP NET JOB APPROVAL: (-20) 🔵STEIN NET JOB APPROVAL: (+16) 🔴NC STATE LEGISLATURE NET JOB APPROVAL: (-16) Conducted by @YouGov March 13-20, 2026. N=800 NC adults, MoE=4.4%.

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Hammerhead Intelligence
Hammerhead Intelligence@HammerheadIntel·
@lukemaciastx Endorsement speaks volumes. Now it remains to be seen if this translates to success this May. Polymarket still has Paxton ~mid 60s. And the two are largely knotted up with ~$4-5M COH in latest FEC filings. Going to be a bloodbath just to meet JT in November.
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Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡@PollTracker2024·
YouGov/Elon University poll | 3/13-3/20 US Senate North Carolina 2026 Favorables (net) ✅🟦Roy Cooper (+14) ❌🟥Michael Whatley (-8) —— Which party do you want to control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 elections? 🟦Democrats 45% 🟥Republicans 40% —— Approvals (North Carolina surveyed) [net] ❌🟥President Trump (-20) ❌🟥Vice President Vance (-11) ❌🟥Secretary of State Rubio (-4) ✅🟦Governor Josh Stein (+16) Link to poll: elon.edu/u/elon-poll/
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Jacob Rubashkin
Jacob Rubashkin@JacobRubashkin·
🚨BREAKING | New @InsideElections Senate ratings just dropped: North Carolina → Lean Dem Alaska → Lean Dem Minnesota → Toss-up Georgia → Tilt GOP Kentucky → Tilt GOP Mississippi → Tilt GOP Louisiana → Tilt Dem Maine → Likely GOP
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Richard Johnson
Richard Johnson@richardmarcj·
In this year's US Senate elections, Democrats need to hold all their current Senate seats (which includes Georgia) and gain four more from this list.
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OSZ
OSZ@OpenSourceZone·
2026 Alaska Senate Race 🔵 Mary Peltola: 52.4% 🔴 Dan Sullivan: 47.6% Alaska Survey Research poll | 3/19-3/22
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Politics1.com
Politics1.com@Politics1com·
AK USSEN (Alaska Survey Research) PRIMARY: Mary Peltola (D) 46% US Sen Dan Sullivan (R) 41% Others 13% GENERAL - ROUND 1: Peltola 49% Sullivan 44% Others 8% IRV FINAL ROUND: Peltola 52% Sullivan 48%
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Polling USA
Polling USA@USA_Polling·
North Carolina - Senate Polling: 🔵 Cooper: 48% 🔴 Whatley: 34% YouGov / March 18, 2026
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InteractivePolls
InteractivePolls@IAPolls2022·
ALASKA POLL - Senate (final RCV round) 🟦 Mary Peltola: 52.4% 🟥 Dan Sullivan (inc): 47.6% —— Net Favs Peltola: (+7.2) Sullivan: (-10.7) Alaska Survey Research | 3/19-22
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Hammerhead Intelligence
Hammerhead Intelligence@HammerheadIntel·
The number to watch: Peltola's first FEC filing. She raised $1.5M on day one. Her Senate committee is registered but has filed zero financial data. Sullivan has $4.8M raised and $5.8M cash on hand. When Peltola's numbers drop, we'll know whether the money matches the momentum.
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Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡@PollTracker2024·
Alaska Survey Research poll | 3/19-3/22 (Final RCV round) US Senate Alaska 2026 🟦Mary Peltola 52.4% (+1.6) 🟥Dan Sullivan 47.6% (-1.6) [incumbent] (Change from January)
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اكتشف

@Blake_Allen13 @PollTracker2024 @ForwardCarolina @WhatleyNC @RoyCooperNC @lukemaciastx @StevenTDennis @JacobRubashkin