Mickey March

Wow. Everyone has to see and hear this.

Grok says the chance of Alberta becoming independent is near 0%. I think they’d be better off independent, but leaving isn’t a simple matter of a yes vote in a referendum. From Grok: Current public support for Alberta independence is a minority position (typically 25–30% in recent polls), though it has reached a 5-year high amid ongoing frustrations with federal policies. A clear majority of Albertans (around 60–70%) consistently say they would vote to stay in Canada. Recent polling examples (as of early-to-mid 2026): • Pollara Strategic Insights (March 16–25, 2026, released early April): 27% of decided voters would vote to separate (a record high, up 7 points since December 2025). Another 15% of those planning to vote “remain” say they might switch to “yes” as a protest message to Ottawa, potentially pushing support as high as 42% in a referendum scenario. Among United Conservative Party (UCP) voters, it’s roughly split (55% separate vs. 45% remain). • Abacus Data (February 2026): 26% support independence; 64% oppose. • Angus Reid Institute (February 2026): 29% would vote to leave (only 8% definite; 21% leaning); 65% would vote to stay (57% definite). • Other polls (Ipsos, Research Co., Leger, Mainstream Research in Jan–March 2026) show similar ranges: 17–31% open to independence, with “committed” support dropping to ~15–16% once real-world economic and social costs are factored in. Support is higher among younger voters and UCP/federal Conservative supporters, but it remains far short of the clear majority needed for any realistic path forward. A citizen-led petition to force an independence referendum question has reportedly gathered enough signatures, but its path forward is now legally uncertain. Stay Free Alberta claims it surpassed the required ~177,732–178,000 valid signatures by late March 2026 (well before the May 2 deadline). If verified by Elections Alberta, Premier Danielle Smith has pledged to include the question on the provincial referendum ballot scheduled for October 19, 2026. However, First Nations groups have launched court challenges arguing the petition violates treaty rights and lacked consultation. A judge has paused signature verification pending review. If blocked, separatists may ask the provincial government to proceed anyway. Smith herself opposes full separation. She describes her position as favoring a “strong and sovereign Alberta within a united Canada” and is using the 2026 referendum mainly for other questions on immigration, constitutional changes, and provincial autonomy—not as a direct push for independence. Even if a referendum happens and a “yes” side somehow wins (which current polling makes unlikely), actual independence as a sovereign country is extremely improbable in the near term (realistically near 0% chance without a dramatic, sustained shift in sentiment and politics). Reasons include: • Legal hurdles: The 1998 Supreme Court of Canada Secession Reference and the federal Clarity Act require a “clear question” and “clear majority,” followed by good-faith negotiations with the federal government and other provinces. Unilateral secession is not possible, and constitutional amendments would be needed. • National opposition: Roughly 79% of all Canadians (including majorities outside Alberta) say they would block Alberta from leaving if given a vote. • Historical precedent: Quebec’s two referendums (1980 and 1995) failed despite higher support levels at the time, and even a narrow “yes” would trigger prolonged, uncertain negotiations. In short, the movement reflects real grievances (resource policy, carbon taxes, federal overreach), and it has energized separatist activism and a possible symbolic vote in October 2026. But polling, legal barriers, and political reality point to very low odds of Alberta becoming an independent country anytime soon. Most Albertans and Canadians prefer reform within Confederation over breakup.

My prediction for Alberta. Liberals win a majority. Albertains hold a referendum. Over 60% vote to leave Canada. The House of Commons rejects the results. The Supreme Court rejects the results. Danielle Smith rejects the results. Alberta replaces Danielle Smith with a republican leader. Alberta Declare Independence. Donald Trump recognizes an Independent Alberta. Canada joins the European Union, UN and NATO in rejecting Alberta's Independence. PM Carney invokes the Emergency Act. Alberta becomes Independent with US support. Saskatchewan follows in Alberta footsteps. Remember, this is just a prediction. I don't have a crystal ball, I am just listening to Albertans.

🚨 BREAKING: Huge crowds in Alberta line up to sign a petition to leave Canada. The conservative province may hold a secession vote. Would you support Alberta becoming the 51st state? A. Yes B. No.

Roberto’s Taco Shop is under attack because its CEO took a photo with Donald Trump in 2020. Now left wing influencers are trying to cancel a family owned business started by immigrants in 1964.