Sebastian Smith

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Sebastian Smith

Sebastian Smith

@SebastianAFP

AFP Washington desk chief. Formerly White House. Formerly formerly: Moscow, Chechnya, NYC, Rio de Janeiro, US #localnews. You say Thor, I say thaw.

Washington, DC انضم Kasım 2010
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Kyle Griffin
Kyle Griffin@kylegriffin1·
BREAKING NBC: Pete Hegseth says 'family after family' of service members killed urged the admin to "not stop until the job is done." But the father of one of those service members says he never said that. "I can't speak for the other families. When he spoke to me, that was not something we talked about." nbcnews.com/politics/donal…
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Sebastian Smith
Sebastian Smith@SebastianAFP·
In an era of instability there’s one constant: the president spends almost every weekend at his golf club in Florida.
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Financial Times
The Danish military sent explosives and blood supplies to Greenland in January as part of contingency planning for a US attack, as tensions with Donald Trump escalated over his push to take control of the Arctic island. ft.trib.al/PPgFBYf
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Acyn
Acyn@Acyn·
Reporter: Given your past skepticism of foreign interventionism, are you completely onboard with the war in Iran? Vance: I know what you’re trying to do, you’re trying to drive a wedge between me and the president. Reporter: So there’s no hesitation given your past statements? Vance: I think one big difference is we have a smart president where in the past we had dumb presidents
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Sebastian Smith
Sebastian Smith@SebastianAFP·
Trump talking a lot about marbles (the gold curtains made a reappearance and he has a new thing: “a cocktail room.”)
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Sebastian Smith
Sebastian Smith@SebastianAFP·
Iran war consequences - add new real threat to survival of NATO. After starting a war not supported by Europeans, Trump now trying to force them to join in. Tells FT: “If there’s no response or if it’s a negative response I think it will be very bad for the future of Nato.”
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Sebastian Smith@SebastianAFP·
(2/2 On Russia, Trump says Russia giving Iran intel only because US “giving a little information” to Ukraine. On Ukraine, Trump blames Zelensky again for the war (in which Ukraine is defending v invasion). “Tell Zelensky to make a deal because Putin’s willing to make a deal.”
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Sebastian Smith
Sebastian Smith@SebastianAFP·
Trump to NBC: (1/2) On Iran “Iran wants to make a deal, and I don’t want to make it because the terms aren’t good” Iranian drones, missiles: “Within two days, it’ll be totally decimated.” Karg: “we totally demolished Kharg Island, but we may hit it a few more times just for fun”
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Sebastian Smith أُعيد تغريده
The Wall Street Journal
Trump was told by his top general that a war with Iran risked closing the Strait of Hormuz. He went ahead anyway. on.wsj.com/3NEwC4d
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Sebastian Smith
Sebastian Smith@SebastianAFP·
The panicked call is from inside the house
Tom Wright@thomaswright08

Jaw dropping comments on the Iran war by the Trump administration’s AI czar David Sacks earlier today on the All In podcast. Warns a faction is trying to get Trump to escalate in Iran, says it could render the Gulf uninhabitable and Israeli nuclear use. Calls for a negotiated settlement. Some quotes below. Link in next post. “we should try to find the off-ramp.” “This is a good time to declare victory and get out,” “You are seeing, however, a faction of people, I'd say largely but not exclusively in the Republican Party, who want to escalate the war.” “So if the Iranians get hit, if their oil and gas infrastructure gets hit, they've already said they're going to engage in tit-for-tat retaliation against the Gulf States. And we saw there was recently, the Iranians blew up this giant oil depot in Oman.” “Furthermore, there's an even worse, I think, scenario from there, which is the region is very dependent on desalination plants. I think something like 70% of Riyadh gets their water from desalination.” “I think it's something like 100 million people on the Arabian Peninsula that get their water from desal. I mean, it's basically a desert, right? And those desal plants are soft targets.” “If you see that type of destruction continue, you could literally render the Gulf almost uninhabitable.” “If this war continues for weeks or months, then Israel could just be destroyed” “Then you have to worry about Israel escalating the war by contemplating using a nuclear weapon, which would truly be catastrophic.” “if escalation doesn't lead anywhere good, then you have to think about, well, how do you de-escalate? De-escalation, I think, involves reaching some sort of ceasefire agreement or some sort of negotiated settlement with Iran.”

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Stephen Wertheim
Stephen Wertheim@stephenwertheim·
Behold the National Security Strategy from less than four months ago: “The days in which the Middle East dominated American foreign policy in both long-term planning and day-to-day execution are thankfully over—not because the Middle East no longer matters, but because it is no longer the constant irritant, and potential source of imminent catastrophe, that it once was. It is rather emerging as a place of partnership, friendship, and investment.” “Conflict remains the Middle East’s most troublesome dynamic, but there is today less to this problem than headlines might lead one to believe. Iran—the region’s chief destabilizing force—has been greatly weakened by Israeli actions since October 7, 2023, and President Trump’s June 2025 Operation Midnight Hammer, which significantly degraded Iran’s nuclear program.” “We should encourage and applaud reform when and where it emerges organically, without trying to impose it from without. The key to successful relations with the Middle East is accepting the region, its leaders, and its nations as they are while working together on areas of common interest.”
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Shashank Joshi
Shashank Joshi@shashj·
Let's be clear: you would not be pulling THAADs from South Korea and moving a Marine Expeditionary Unit from Japan to the Gulf two weeks after launching a war on Iran if you had properly anticipated the fallout it would be likely to cause.
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Sebastian Smith
Sebastian Smith@SebastianAFP·
Crazy guy just got on the Red Line DC metro pronouncing “these are the last days!” I mean I say crazy but to be fair he was kind of normal.
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