ℹ️ Not The Torygraph 💚 #SaveOurNHS #ScrapNHSBill

THREAD 1/x ONLY new government spending can increase private sector’s net savings. Taxation does the opposite. Every £ comes either from government spending (adding to total government debt until taxed back) or from bank lending (creating deposits but no extra wealth overall).

@DavidPintoD @ZackPolanski Weimar Germany suffered a classic case of external-debt-driven hyperinflation under war-reparations pressure, not from the application of MMT. This comparison is tripe and more of a rhetorical scare tactic than an economic parallel.

@DavidPintoD @ZackPolanski David, I’m a Senior Business Analyst with > 40 years experience in IT, Manufacturing (Smiths Industries), Finance (Woolwich), Insurance (Zurich, Aviva and others) and recently Energy. I unravel processes and make sure people understand changes needed. Zack’s right, you’re not.

You may have seen @ZackPolanski speaking about economics this week. But the theory behind his thinking is a pretty wild one - and could end up costing you dearly 👇

@bbcnickrobinson @ZackPolanski 😐 Awkward (for you Nick)

Simple answer Zack. Our job is to report. We interview you & those you quote who use the word genocide. We do the same for those who disagree. We also report that no international court has yet made a judgment. Nor has the UN. That’s not me or the BBC taking sides or downplaying what’s happened in Gaza. It’s doing our job.

Amnesty International say what is happening in Palestine is a genocide. The UN Special Rapporteur say it's a genocide. Countless genocide scholars say it's a genocide. How are we still doing this? And why is the BBC doing this? youtu.be/Es_wxH04bgs?si…

@bbcnickrobinson @ZackPolanski You weren’t objective about me Nick old boy and even though you were found to be wrong you didn’t apologise either

@GoodwinMJ Your book is written using AI generated hallucinated quotes … you’ve been found out! I would call your book more faeces than it is a thesis… any examiner would reject it - it’s academically weak and inaccurate.

Hi @GoodwinMJ - I’ve read your response in full. You haven’t explained why you or MattGPT has made up multiple quotes attributed to figures like Cicero, Hayek, Burnham, Scruton, and Walker Connor, and why they cannot be verified in any primary texts or reliable secondary sources. You haven’t addressed the specific claims about schools, e.g. the Bradford classroom example, the supposed BBC West Midlands report, or the Ofsted quote, all of which appear to be either untraceable or misrepresented. Simply citing general EAL statistics doesn’t validate your specific anecdotal claims that don’t exist. You also haven’t engaged with the core issue around EAL itself. “English as an Additional Language” does not mean pupils cannot speak English or are unable to learn, and all the Ofsted reports of the schools you vaguely referenced consistently show strong progress by Year 6. Presenting this as evidence of systemic breakdown is objectively misleading and wrong. On migration figures, polling, and even basic political facts (e.g. Boris being in opposition in 2019), there are clear falsehoods that you haven’t corrected or clarified. I'd be really keen to have this discussion live with you, either on your show on @GBNEWS, the @PoliticsJOE_UK podcast, or a third broadcaster - or are you too afraid to have an open debate? Your response is embarrassing.

A response to my critics. Suicide of a Nation is clearly becoming a major book & I'm DELIGHTED by the debate it's sparked. This is why I wrote it. People deserve to know the truth about what is happening in their own country. I also find myself in the curious position of watching Suicide of a Nation be criticised by people on both the Left, many of whom have clearly not read it, & people further to my Right, who oppose my support for Reform. I will deal with all this together. 1. Research, stats & evidence All the research, stats, data come from the official 2021 UK census data. The projections are calibrated to the 2022 Office for National Statistics national population projections, ensuring consistency with national trends. I believe this is the most systematic, sophisticated look at the demographic revolution unfolding in Britain that we have to date. To be clear, Suicide of a Nation is also a trade book, intended for a mass audience. It is not like books written by academics that are typically only read by a few dozen or a few hundred people. It is designed to reach tens of thousands, which it is now doing, to try and help shift the Overton Window. If you want all the detailed assumptions, analysis, & modelling behind the book you can read them here: shorturl.at/d3Hg8 Or if you want to look at the key trends in more detail you can see them in our Substack this morning: shorturl.at/LLBeS 2. Substack, links, and footnotes Trade books by their nature have minimal footnotes. The aim is to inspire a mass readership. Having spent 20 years in the universities, I wanted to write a trade book. Hence the lack of footnotes. If you want the data detail on the trends see the paper above. I do link to several of my Substack articles because, as it happens, with the exception of David Coleman, I am one of the only people who has run demographic projections at this level. You can read it here: shorturl.at/Gij6S. Ditto my discussion in the book of Muslim attitudes, Reform voters, and the economic costs of net migration. Nobody else is writing about these issues as we are at mattgoodwin.org hence me citing those pieces. I see no problem with this. I am proud of our work. Academics cite their own work all the time. It just so happens this time around they disagree with my work! 3. AI school census data Footnote 8 includes a reference to school and nursery data via AI which was then cross-checked with the real dataset (available here: shorturl.at/KlFVm. I see no issue obtaining datasets via AI so long as they are cross-checked with the original source (above). Hence why I include the reference. This school census data shows, clearly, nearly 1 in 4 primary pupils & nearly 1 in 3 nursery pupils no longer speak English as their main language. I attach the screenshot. In Bradford, the example, nearly 40% of state primary children do not speak English as their main language (see screenshot). In some primary schools in Bradford, 98% of pupils speak 'English as an additional language'. Nationally, as I talk about in the book, and as GB News revealed last year, there are now 2,000 schools where English is no longer the main language for most pupils In 2 primary schools, not a single child has English as their native tongue. In 107 schools, 9 in 10 pupils do not speak English at home. In 2,309 schools in England, English is no longer the first language. And across the country, 1.8 million children, 1 in 5, do not speak English as their main language (see here shorturl.at/KXROf) It is also now fact, as I say in the book, to have schools in the Midlands with more than 30 languages spoken: shorturl.at/OfyNj I notice my critics ignore all these statistics, as well as the obvious problems this creates in the classroom, for example -> shorturl.at/6TJYz The left-wing claim that this does not create problems is ludicrous. Research by scholars such as Strand and Hessel finds that pupils who speak English as an additional (not main) language explains 22% of the variation in their educational achievement, compared to 3-4% that is statistically explained by things like gender or free school meals (as a measure of poverty). So, unlike the Left, I think this is a major problem and I make no apology for saying so. We should have a shared language. Bilingualism undermines our shared culture & nation. Mass immigration is weakening our educational system. 4. Solutions and prognosis Some argue the book offers no solution. I disagree. I am clear throughout. End mass migration. Exit the ECHR. Repeal the HRA. End welfare & social housing subsidies for non-Brits. End two-tier multiculturalism. Crack down on Islamism. Invest in Pro-family policies. Deport illegal migrants, foreign criminals & those who do not make a net fiscal contribution to the UK economy. Reassert our free speech. Scrap definitions of 'Islamophobia'. Abolish non-crime hate incidents. Where I depart from critics further to my Right is in opposing vague and ill-defined talk about "mass deportations" or "remigration", which often appear to mean "deport anybody who isn't White", or "deport British nationals". I reject this - politically, morally, ethically. I simply do not think it is right, possible, politically appealing to an election-winning majority, or in tune with our political culture. I also do not think the Americans cheering on other parties understand the nuances in our political culture. 5. Intellectual lineage. The book implicitly nods, throughout, to the work of Roger Scruton, Eric Kaufmann, Anthony Smith, Walker Connor, Douglas Murray (subtitle), all of whom have warned through speeches, podcasts, e-mails, and articles about the loss of a historic majority group. This is deliberate. Left-wingers who argue, for example, that Smith or Connor did not warn about the loss of a historic core are simply not reading their work, or being disingenuous. The title of the book is a specific nod to Arthur Koestler's Suicide of a Nation, a left-wing account of Britain's decline in the postwar era. My book, in contrast, is obviously a national conservative/right-wing take on Britain's decline. Sometimes, you don't need to state your influences because they are so obvious - at least to people who read books. 6. Publishing in 2026 Some people have asked why I did not publish with a mainstream publisher given my past books were with Penguin, Oxford, Cambridge, Routledge, etc., and I wrote two Sunday Times bestsellers (now three?) The answer is because I believe the publishers have been ideologically captured and no longer allow genuine free speech and debate. Having gone through mainstream publishers, I know for a fact this book would never have been published or would have been edited and diluted to the point at which it says nothing interesting or truthful at all. Anybody who is a serious author, who has gone through the editorial process, knows this to be true. The reality, in 2026, is if you have a profile and a large Substack you no longer need mainstream publishers. You no longer need to be controlled by Gatekeepers. This is a positive development. And in many respects I hope that given it's obvious success (top 5 on Amazon) Suicide of a Nation will encourage others to break with establishment publishing. This is what we need to do if we are serious about taking on the institutions. Lastly, my thanks to the left-wing trolls and resentful, bitter, unsuccessful former academic colleagues who are coordinating an attack on the Amazon Reviews page. They are helping drive the algorithm, ensuring this book receives the attention it deserves and is read by many, many more people. I thank you for this. Best wishes, Matt p.s. buy the book below or via Waterstones, Blackwell's, Foyles, etc (Amazon is now regularly running out such is the demand) amazon.co.uk/Suicide-Nation…

@DavidPintoD @ZackPolanski Dear David This thread by the very eloquent Andrew Verity makes your argument look incredibly stupid. Furthermore David, Weimar Germany was a very different circumstance based on foreign debts from WW1 and sanctions. We will make sure people understand how this £££ works.

That of course doesn't at all mean the government has £88 bn 'to spare' - because spending's gone up by even more. What it does mean is that the government is taking more money out of the economy in tax at a time when the economy's in a sharp slowdown.

Total central government receipts were £929.0 billion in the full year to the end of March 2023, an increase of £88.0 billion (10.5%).

Before we accept it when we're told the government 'can't afford' something that might be to the public good we should remind ourselves of facts like the following from the Office for National Statistics this morning:

Central banks have no tool to "fight" higher energy prices, but governments do. Fiscal policy is needed. Governments and central banks should coordinate.

I feel your pain. I was once feted by the BBC as an authority on crime and violence. BBC News, The Long View, Moral Maze etc. A producer told me I was the 'next public intellectual'. In 2009 I signed a BDS petition as a protest against Israel. Haven't heard from them since.

The BBC's Lucy Williamson says Israel is destroying south Lebanon "using Gaza as a model – a blueprint for destruction used again as a path to peace". That's right: genocide as "a path to peace". Orwell would be proud.

@stewiejohn2 I don’t blame him for the situation… he was explaining the way taxis are licensed by different regions… the way it is administered is absurd currently

@TweetForTheMany The same people who helped build Uber are now bitching about it. He will be even more piss off when they replace him with a Robocab.

I spoke to an Uber driver yesterday who took us home from Gatwick - it cost £60 but here’s the shocker… he only gets 1/2 and had to pay for the Gatwick pick up charge. For some Gatwick to London fares he’s paid < £20 and has to pay the congestion charge too. < £5 per hour!

WTAF @LucyWilliamson @BBCNews; “Israel has ordered forces to raze homes in some areas here using Gaza as a model. A blueprint for destruction used again as a path for peace” What ? A path to peace ? Was only some of Gaza razed ? Why this judgement & no mention of war crimes ?

All my work on Donald J Trump’s illegal war gets throttled on X. If you feel like annoying Elon Musk and the President of the US, please do share it. Thank you 🙏🏽

🚨Your Sunday watch has dropped! Would Donald Trump invade Iran’s oil-critical Kharg Island? The US president has made plenty of threats in an attempt to secure the Strait of Hormuz but what are the odds and potential fallout? I ask the experts: FULL VIDEO: youtu.be/HFU1oJrE1Lw?si… @MiddleEastEye