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polydata

polydata

@polydataHQ

Advanced analytics for Polymarket. Supported by @PolymarketDevs.

Polymarket انضم Ekim 2025
94 يتبع949 المتابعون
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polydata
polydata@polydataHQ·
portfolio page update. we’ve added a PnL Calendar to the portfolio page. now you can track your profit and loss day by day, quickly spot winning streaks, red days, and understand how your performance evolves over time. available now in the Portfolio section on: polydata.org
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Mustafa
Mustafa@mustafap0ly·
big announcement monday 😛🪙
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AdiiX
AdiiX@adiix_official·
Chinese student used AI from Anthropic to turn $1,000 into $1,500,000 He studies at Tsinghua University in Beijing. His account is k9Q2m In such a young age he already make a million simply knowing the right formulas and being able to use Claude Result: $1,430 → $1,550,750 44,364 trades Win rate 100% The biggest win $23,600 on a single bet k9Q2m profile: ares.pro/wallets/0xd0d6… How it bots work: The bot runs 6 formulas hedge funds use simultaneously, every tick. Most traders guess. This bot calculates. Formula 1 - LMSR Pricing Polymarket prices move on a logarithmic curve. The bot knows the exact price impact before entering. Market says 31¢ for BTC up in 5 minutes. The model sees the curve is mispriced. The bot enters before the correction. Formula 2 - Kelly Criterion Renaissance Capital uses it. Two Sigma uses it. Now your bot uses it. Every bet is sized exactly right. Never too big to blow the account. Never too small to matter. $1,000 bankroll. Consistent edge. Kelly compounds it into something real. Formula 3 - EV Gap Detection The bot scans every BTC market looking for one thing: - Where is the market price wrong by more than 5%? - Market says 30¢. Real probability is 55¢. EV = +0.52. The bot enters. Most people never see this gap. The bot never misses it. Formula 4 - KL-Divergence BTC 5-minute and 15-minute markets are correlated. When they drift apart - that's an arb. The bot measures the statistical distance between them every second. When it crosses 0.2, it flags the trade. This is how hedge funds extracted $100K+ on correlated election markets. The same logic runs here. Formula 5 - Bayesian Updates New block confirmed. Volume spike. Price movement. The bot doesn't ignore signals - it updates. Prior probability was 54%. New data comes in. Posterior jumps to 71%. The bot re-prices in real time while the market is still asleep. Formula 6 - Stoikov Execution Entering at the wrong moment kills the edge. The bot calculates the reservation price-the exact point where the risk-adjusted entry makes sense. It doesn't chase. It doesn't panic. It waits for the right tick, then fills What this means in practice: - Every few seconds the bot runs all six formulas in parallel. - If LMSR confirms mispricing - EV gap is above 5% - Kelly says the bet size is justified - Bayesian posterior agrees - KL-divergence flags the correlated drift - Stoikov clears the execution price Only then does the bot enter. Six filters. One trade. This isn't a trading bot. It's a hedge fund strategy running on a prediction market. The edge is real. The math is public. The difference is most people never build it. Just insert all these formulas into Claude and create your own bot Add this post to bookmarks so you don’t lose it Soon I will publish another bot with working formulas
0xRicker@0xRicker

x.com/i/article/2032…

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Parletto
Parletto@parlettodotbet·
gm your only limit is you. Parletto is the engine.
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PolyWallet
PolyWallet@poly_wallet·
PolyWallet is now integrated into Telegram App! Now you can fully manage and monitor your wallets straight from your phone in Telegram - no browser, no extra tabs, just instant access. PolyWallet just became even more mobile-friendly.
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PolyScalping
PolyScalping@PolyScalping·
Find markets for LP rewards farming using PolyScalping filters > Rewards > Liquidity > Spread > Time remaining
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predit.market
predit.market@preditmarket·
We’re excited to share that Predit.market has raised $2.8M from angel investors. Prediction markets are becoming an important tool for understanding real-world signals and collective intelligence. This funding allows us to accelerate our mission of building better infrastructure for this space.
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polydata
polydata@polydataHQ·
Top 10 @Polymarket apps by 7d trading volume. [06 Mar – 13 Mar 2026] 1. @betmoardotfun - $52.9M / 457 users 2. @PolyCop_Trader - $12M / 1.2k users 3. @polymtrade - $9.4M / 1.9k users 4. @Polygun_ - $6.7M / 1.8k users 5. @insight_predict - $4.7M / 23 users 6. @kreoapp - $3.7M / 650 users 7. @Chance_ - $3.7M / 116 users 8. @StandDOTtrade - $3.5M / 179 users 9. Polymer - $3.1M / 150 users 10. @BullpenFi - $1.7M / 133 users full leaderboard: polydata.org/builders
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Onsight
Onsight@TradeOnsight·
Introducing… ONSIGHT PRO MODE. The FASTEST Polymarket Copy Trading Bot, ensuring your trade is executed the instant any wallet you are copying places a bet. Copy 5 Minute crypto market traders, high volatility markets, and more. Let other traders find the market edge, Onsight will ensure you copy them instantly. We can proudly say Onsight is faster than any other Polymarket trading tool. More details 👇
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polydata
polydata@polydataHQ·
Polymarket markets right now. The biggest attention is on "Fed decision in March?" - already $26.6M in 24h volume, dominating the board. Other major narratives traders are watching: > Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz - $14.3M > Democratic nominee 2028 - $6.8M > Republican nominee 2028 - $6.1M > Elon Musk tweet activity (March 6–13) - $5.1M Macro + geopolitics are clearly driving most of the volume today. more data: polydata.org
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polydata
polydata@polydataHQ·
Polymarket stats: 09/03/2026 Volume (Historical): $45.15B (+11.5%) Total Value Locked: $392M (+4.9%) Open Interest: $413.3M (+5.2%) Traders (Historical): 2,257,095 (+6.7%) Trades (Historical): 287,984,253 (+28.3%) For more @Polymarket stats, visit our website polydata.org/dashboard
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Predicade
Predicade@Predicadecom·
Your experience just leveled up. Our goal with Predicade has always been to give you the same experience you'd get on Polymarket natively. But better, faster, with enriched UX. We shipped: - LP rewards visible on every market. See exactly how many shares you need to qualify, what spread you need to hold, and your daily rate. Earn natively - Market sponsoring live in the terminal. Sponsor markets without touching Polymarket UI, track your active sponsorships and consumption in real time - Fee curves on all markets. Full transparency on what you're paying and where it goes Polymarket just expanded maker rebates to all crypto markets: 1H, 4H, daily, weekly. Same structure that already tightened 5-min and 15-min books. Everything is reflected in the terminal. Any new markets with fees will be visible on Predicade. Available now, on PC and mobile.
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Parletto
Parletto@parlettodotbet·
gm The Parletto team is back in town. Ready to kill it.
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Bravado
Bravado@bravadotrade·
Managing 100+ LP positions on Polymarket shouldn't be a full time job Bravado's LP Farming: find safe markets, monitor every position, get pinged before you get filled. Available now in private beta bravadotrade.com
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Liquid
Liquid@liquidtrading·
Predict anything on Liquid. Now powered by @Polymarket.
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Polymarket Traders
Polymarket Traders@PolymarketTrade·
You can now trade real estate futures. Only on Polymarket. Powered by @Parcl.
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