Fer
12.1K posts

Fer
@thecryptofer
#Bitcoin 🌽 | | $SOL $DOG Zeus Capital ⚡️ @CaliCollect_



🚨 READ THIS CAREFULLY Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be where you think. The part most people ignore: Timing. Days from market cycle top → bottom: 2012: 405 days 2016: 362 days 2020: 376 days We haven’t reached that timing zone yet in this cycle. Purely on historical timing, the highest-probability window for the real bottom is July–November 2026. That matters more than any single number on your chart. Most traders only operate on price: “I’ll buy at X.” But the zone that feels “safe” is usually the zone where people do nothing. I don’t play that game. Below $50,000 I’m a buyer. Regardless of when it happens. July–November 2026 I’m a buyer. Regardless of price. If either condition is met, I buy. No hesitation. Yes, I started accumulating as soon as we entered the $60k range last month, even though the timing window isn’t here yet. Back in October, when Bitcoin was around $120,000, I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60k. People laughed. Sentiment was euphoric: “BTC will never see $100k again.” Now we’re here. There’s one more thing most people keep ignoring: NUPL. Every generational bottom: 2018, COVID, 2022, happened when NUPL entered the blue zone. We’re not there yet. For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.


$BTC macro-cycles: 2015–2017 bull: 12 Jan ’15 -> 11 Dec ’17 (1064 days) 2017–2018 bear: 11 Dec ’17 -> 10 Dec ’18 (364 days) 2018–2021 bull: 10 Dec ’18 -> 8 Nov ’21 (1064 days) 2021–2022 bear: 8 Nov ’21 -> 7 Nov ’22 (364 days) 2022–2025 bull: 7 Nov ’22 -> 6 Oct ’25 (1064 days)





















