Flavia 2 Pederzoli

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it hasn't sunk in for most people. we already live in a post-scarcity society. UBI is already here. basic package: disability, medicaid, food stamps etc bonus package: literally getting paid for staying at home and hanging out with your relatives extra bonus: if you are willing to commit fraud, pretend your kids are autistic and get paid for that. get paid for watching your neighbor's kid. pretend you are taking care of your grandma. fake hospice clinic. fake rehab clinic. fake therapy clinic. giga bonus: during a time of crisis take advantage of PPP or CARES and open a fake business and get paid for existing people are shocked when they learn that defense is the FIFTH largest line item in the budget. ahead of defense: social security ($1.6T), interest on debt ($1.1T) medicare ($1T), medicaid + ACA ($1T), AND THEN defense ($0.9T) complain about defense all you like, but healthcare fraud is a way bigger factor. hundreds of billions per year. this is only going to get worse, because the fraud is a structural part of the system – payouts to client groups in exchange for votes (normally D). in the US, only 47% of the population actually works (fully 14% of the population is working age and does not work). retirees are 18% and children 22%. the system I described above subsidizes 50m non-working people absolute minimum, but really it's far more because people that are paid to stay home and take care of their relatives are considered "workers" of that 47% of "actual workers" maybe one third does real work, the rest are shuffling papers around or doing fake email jobs. so you have, rough math, 50 million actual workers supporting 300 million dependents. that's the nature of the economy today. it will only accelerate. eventually you will have 10 million using AI tools to do all the work and 340 million dependents. the reason no one roots out the fraud is because it's the system that keeps our extremely fragile polity intact. the fraud is the UBI. the purpose of the system is what it does. of course, it's a deeply unfair system, because you are allowed to commit fraud if you are a politically protected client group of the democrats. DOGE was killed faster than any government program ever, because it attempted to root out the fraud. if you are honest and unwilling to commit fraud, you are a huge loser in this system. your neighbor will have their mortgage subsidized by some government program. they will get favorable SBA loans due to DEI. they will open a fake hospice or autism clinic. they will get paid for taking care of their neighbor's kid and vice versa. the primary skill in the labor market is learning how to extract money from state and federal government programs, not gaining skills or making yourself employable. if you are just trying to work an ordinary wagie job you are a huge sucker. you are paying 40-50% effective all in taxes to everyone else who is a net taker. the sad part is because AI is such a substantial productivity boost, it will actually keep this system going for a while longer, and maybe in perpetuity. AI boosts the 15% of the population that is actually productive so much that the remaining 85% can coast by. no one in charge will change this because they can't think of anything else. the political costs of a real UBI program are too great and we don't have the money for it anyway. so we will keep this covert fraud-based UBI program running indefinitely. unfortunately, if you are an honest wagie, you lose.

The Left used to worship Elon. Then they started calling him a Nazi over political disagreements. The message is clear: Either submit or the Left will do everything in its power to ruin you.

These two photographs are separated by only 66 years.

⚡️Starship is the most important machine on Earth because it is the only serious bridge between a trapped species and a spacefaring one. That is the real truth. Everything else is downstream of lift cost. Moon bases, Mars cities, orbital industry, space solar, off world mining, deep space telescopes, mass drivers, lunar factories, all of it stays trapped in PowerPoint until you can move huge amounts of mass off Earth cheaply, repeatedly, and at industrial cadence. Starship is the attempt to break that lock. If it works, the future stops being metaphor and starts becoming logistics. That is why people respond to it like a symbol. They can feel that it carries more than hardware. Modern civilization has become psychologically small. It worships management, caution, compliance, and local optimization. Starship says scale again. Build again. Risk again. Leave again. In a world trained to think inside ceilings, that feels almost religious. The deeper reason it matters is power. A civilization that stays bound to one planet stays bound to one set of bottlenecks. One gravity well. One biosphere. One grid. One political surface. One set of supply chains. One cluster of elites deciding what is possible. A civilization that can industrialize beyond Earth changes the structure of power itself. More energy. More room. More redundancy. More survival. More strategic depth. More future. That is why Starship is so much bigger than SpaceX. It is the opening bid for off world industry. Once heavy lift becomes cheap and routine, the moon becomes operational. Once the moon becomes operational, infrastructure begins. Once infrastructure begins, throughput replaces spectacle. Then the human story stops being purely terrestrial. The real view is brutal and simple. If Starship succeeds, the ceiling over the species cracks. If Starship fails, humanity remains psychologically and physically trapped longer than people understand. Bottom line: People love Starship because they can feel that it is carrying more than cargo. It is carrying the claim that humanity does not have to accept a smaller destiny.

This would roughly be the scale of the Tesla/SpaceX TERAFAB compared to Tesla’s Giga Texas factory, which is already one of the largest buildings in the world. We are talking about an unprecedented amount of scale.