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Aaron.
300 posts
Aaron.
@Aaron_everyway
just another thinker on the internet
Bali, Indonesia Beigetreten Şubat 2026
401 Folgt117 Follower
This is a bad look for the US. Washington wanted to prove Iran could be isolated and crushed. Instead, Iran is showing it can partly control Hormuz by deciding who passes, who pays, and who waits. Even if that does not mean Iran has won, it does mean the U.S. failed to make Iran irrelevant. Instead of being pushed aside, Iran is turning the pressure into leverage over one of the world’s most important shipping routes. Trump's no-plan is falling apart.
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🇮🇷 Iran just opened its own shipping registry for Hormuz.
India, Pakistan, Iraq, Malaysia and China are all negotiating vessel transit plans directly with Tehran. The IRGC has established a registration system for approved ships — advance disclosure of ownership, cargo destination, communicated through Iran-affiliated intermediaries outside the country. 
At least one tanker paid a fee — reportedly around $2 million for passage. At least nine ships have already transited via a safe corridor routed through Iranian territorial waters past Larak Island hugging Iran's coast, where the IRGC Navy and port authority physically verify each vessel. 
“Iran now channels verified shipping through a path well inside Iranian territorial waters north of Larak island and away from the international corridors,” according to a senior fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. 
The United States went to war on Israeli orders. Iran responded by closing Hormuz to America and its "allies" and opening it to everyone else, on its own terms, at its own price, through its own waters.
This as reports that British military advisors are meeting with their American counterparts in Miami to strategize reopening the strait of Hormuz which must be fake news since the US claimed it be be opened more than 10 days ago.
Washington wanted to make Iran irrelevant. Iran just became the gatekeeper of more than 20% of the world’s oil supply. The toll booth is operational. How's it going Epstein coalition?
THE ISLANDER@IslanderWORLD
🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 Trump on Israel bombing Iran's South Pars gas fjekd: "I don't like some of Netanyahu's actions!!" Here we get to some of the truth. The apprentice likely doesn't approve of a lot of boss Netanyahu's actions, like the carpet bombing of women and children across Gaza, Lebanon, Syria and now Iran. But like others before him he's owned and captured though few have been as weak and unable to say No, when it becomes an existential threat to America's security and future economic interests. The apprentice went into this eyes open. He'll own all of his bosses decisions.
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He had the power to fund, arm, back, and politically cover this, then he also had the power to try to stop it. That is on him. If he ruly wanted to prevent escalation could have used leverage: slow or condition support to Israel, make clear there would be no blank check for widening the conflict, and force the issue before things blew open. Instead, the war has expanded, the Pentagon is now talking about huge new costs, and Trump is still asking for more money rather than showing he ever set real limits. He had the power. He chose not to.
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Trump could’ve controlled the outcome of the War in Iran by withholding financial and military aid to Israel to prevent it from happening in the first place, but Beck (who cried when Israel denied his request for citizenship), needs a new way to spin his regime war propaganda.
Glenn Beck@glennbeck
After I saw President Trump call out Israel for striking the South Pars gas field, something clicked for me. He didn't join Israel's war with Iran because he was duped. He stepped in to control the OUTCOME of the war.
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Trump joking about Pearl Harbor in front of Japan’s prime minister to defend blindsiding allies over Iran is sick enough. But this is also the country that incinerated Hiroshima and Nagasaki with atomic bombs and now wants to act cute about surprise. It’s the mindset of a reckless man treating war, mass death, and allied trust like a joke. If this is how he explains launching strikes without warning, he’s humiliating the U.S. and inviting the world to trust a clown with destructive intention. What an embarassment.
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When asked why the U.S. didn’t tell allies about attacking Iran prior to the strikes, President Trump says, “we wanted surprise.”
“Who knows better about surprise better than Japan. Why didn’t you tell me about Pearl Harbor?” Trump says, alongside Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, who is meeting with the president at the White House on Thursday.
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Trump was asked a serious question why he blindsided allies before attacking Iran, and his answer was to joke about Pearl Harbor? Really? Thousands of Americans died in that attack, and he’s using it as a punchline to justify keeping partners in thedarkT? His gnorance and arrogance is beyond imagination. You don’t build alliances by surprising them, you destroy trust. And comparing your own actions to a surprise attack the U.S. condemns is basically admitting you have no plan, just impulse. This is war, not a reality show, and acting like this is exactly how you isolate your country and lose more allies. Anyway, you DO NOT NEED ANYONE's help, do you?
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Reporter: Why didn’t you inform allies before attacking Iran?
Trump: We wanted surprise—who knows better about surprise than Japan? Why didn’t you tell me about Pearl Harbor?
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@MarioNawfal It’s a quiet rejection.
If they actually believed in this war, they’d be showing up, not hiding behind vague statements.
Allies are keeping distance from Trump and his stupid war.
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🚨 Six major allies, UK, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and Japan, have issued a joint statement expressing readiness to help secure the Strait of Hormuz.
This is progress from outright refusal. It is not a coalition.
"Readiness to contribute to appropriate efforts" is deliberately non-binding language. It commits no ships, no troops, no timeline, and no operational framework.
6 countries. 3 weeks. And a few words that mean nothing.
Insider Paper
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
🚨🇮🇷 Iran has exported 16 million barrels of oil since the war began. Through the strait it basically closed. 90 ships got through; Iranian vessels, Chinese-affiliated ships, countries that negotiated directly with Tehran. The strait is in fact not closed... it's privatized, selectively operated, and generating revenue while the world calls it a blockade. Iran is the strait now. AP, The Independent
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This is exactly what exposes the West’s hypocrisy. US punish Cuba, squeeze its energy supply, and then act morally superior while people sit in the dark. Meanwhile China shows up with actual equipment people can use. That’s what makes this so hard to ignore. China is helping keep the lights on, and the Us is still obsessed with pressure, control, and making ordinary people suffer for politics they didn’t choose.
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China has donated 5,000 solar power systems to Cuba.
This is what real commitment to international cooperation, solidarity, and development looks like — concepts that are completely alien to most Western leaders.
teleSUR English@telesurenglish
In the midst of the current energy crisis in #Cuba, the installation of 5,000 solar systems donated by the People's Republic of China is underway across the country.
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@MarioNawfal That’s exactly the kind of thing you say when you have way too much power and way too little self-control. Is that a casual nuke threat, or just Trump once again reminding the world he treats war like a reality show? Either way, it’s deranged.
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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump on Iran: “We could end this in 2 seconds.”
Is that a casual nuke threat, or are you just saying you straight-up don’t care if the global economy implodes?
I don't wanna know the answer!
x.com/clashreport/st…
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
🇯🇵🇮🇷 Japan’s PM Takaichi on Iran: "Global economy is about to experience a huge hit because of Iran" Talk about the understatement of the century. This isn't a blip; it's the mother of all energy crises barreling toward us at full speed. x.com/clashreport/st…
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Iran hitting the Haifa refinery area and causing power outages is a clear shift in the war to targeting energy infrastructures. This shows Iran can reach and hit critical infrastructure inside Israel, not just military targets. At this point, this is no longer a limited conflict. It’s turning into an energy war. This almost guarantees escalation. Israel will respond. Iran will respond again. Each side hitting more critical infrastructure. Global economy at big risk.
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BREAKING: Power outage across multiple areas of Haifa, Israel following direct Iranian missile strike on the refinery.
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If this is true, it would mean the war has moved even deeper into an energy-for-energy phase. Haifa’s Bazan refinery is Israel’s largest refinery and has been vulnerable to Iranian attack before. Iran is showing it can still hit high-value infrastructure inside Israel after Israel’s attack on Iran’s South Pars gas field.
This means ugly for the course of the war:
More pressure for Israeli retaliation;
More market panic;
Less roomford talks and diplomacy.
Stupid Trump and Netanyahu to blame, I guess?
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JUST IN: 🇮🇷🇮🇱 Iran strikes Israel's largest oil refinery, Haifa.
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Arab governments deserve a lot of blame for putting themselves in this position. They got rich, outsourced their security to Washington, and acted like American bases were some magic shield. Now the region is burning, and they’re finding out those bases can make them targets just as easily as they make them protected.
They bought the whole deal: price oil in dollars, buy American weapons, host American bases, and trust Washington to keep them safe. And now what do they have? Saudi, Qatari, Emirati, and other Gulf energy sites under attack, shipping chaos in Hormuz, thousands of stranded seafarers, and the U.S. openly begging others to help secure the strait because it can’t just snap its fingers and fix it.
When the real test came, they got dragged deeper into a war they did not control and could not stop. Reuters has already reported that Gulf states are the ones paying the price of the Iran war, while their oil and gas infrastructure is directly exposed.
And now they are learning the hard way US security sold to them is a lie.
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This US protection racket hasn't been proven to fulfill the baseline agreement of what the Petro dollar arrangement was supposed to be about. Price oil in USD, buy American weapons, and in return receive security guarantees. How are those security guarantees working out?
Muhammed Faisal@Intl_Mediatior
🇸🇦Saudi Arabia 🇵🇰 Pakistan 🇹🇷 Turkey🇦🇿 Azerbaijan🇦🇪 UAE 🇯🇴 Jordan🇶🇦 Qatar🇪🇬 Egypt🇰🇼 Kuwait🇧🇭 Bahrain🇱🇧 Lebanon🇸🇾 Syria ۔۔۔۔۔۔۔۔۔۔۔ The group of twelve nations is an Islamic alliance that serves as a primary ally to the US & Israel within the Muslim world. Their relationship with the U.S. appears to take precedence over their religious ties. When the U.S. announced its intention to strike Iran, this alliance remained silent, suggesting a desire for the attack to proceed. Even as Iran reportedly agreed to various demands regarding its uranium program, the U.S. launched an attack during negotiations allegedly at the insistence of these twelve countries. Various American media outlets have reported on these events. Consequently, many argue that Israel is not solely responsible for instability in the Muslim world,"In fact, this particular Arab-Islamic group also bears equal responsibility based on its opposition to Iran." #IranWar #Trump #Middleeast
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He’s siding with international law, stability, and basic common sense. A leader far beyond the standard of Israel and US now.
And most importantly, Spain has been consistent from the start. It called the U.S.–Israel strikes unilateral and outside international law, and warned they would make the world more unstable instead of safer. That’s exactly what we’re seeing now:
The war didn’t stay contained—it spread across the region;
Energy markets are in chaos, with prices surging and economies taking hits;
Even U.S. allies in Europe are refusing to join because there’s no clear objective or strategy;
Countries are pulling troops out just to avoid getting dragged deeper into it;
This war is unjustified, destabilizing, and spiraling beyond control.
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You mean it takes TAXPAYER'S money. Rent is crushing people, groceries are insane, families are drowning and you’re casually asking taxpayer to fund another endless war you can’t even explain.
You don’t send your kids. You don’t lose your homes. You don’t skip meals. The working class pays the bill, bleeds in the wars, and gets NOTHING back.
Patriotism is a lie.
And people are done paying for your disasters.
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NOW - Hegseth confirms the Pentagon is seeking about $200,000,000,000 billion for the Iran War: "It takes money to kill bad guys."
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@Aaron_everyway Spot on. When cash flow dries up, nobody cares about "long-term hedging." This is essentially a massive de-leveraging event. Once these forced sellers are out of the way, the real trend will reveal itself again.
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Makes LITERALLY ZERO sense. GOLD the hedge for geopolitical instability is crashing in the face of geopolitical instability. Can’t make this up.
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter
BREAKING: Spot gold extends its selloff to -$400/oz on the day, now trading at $4,500/oz for the first time since February 2nd.
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Lebanese civilians didn’t provoke this. They didn’t choose this. They’re paying for a war they had no part in because Israel keeps pushing escalation like human lives are disposable.
This is collective punishment, plain and simple.
Israel doesn’t get to hide behind any 'self defense' reason while entire communities are shattered.
Israel must be stopped now.
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🇱🇧 Absolutely heartbreaking to see what Lebanon has now lost in this war.
The Ministry of Health just reported 1,001 killed and 2,584 injured since it began.
What lebanese civilians did to deserve this?
It's a rhetorical question, btw, they did NOTHING!
Source: Yediot News
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
This war has the world in a crazy energy chokehold right now… The Strait of Hormuz supplies huge chunks of oil for: - 🇯🇵 Japan - 73% - 🇰🇷 South Korea - 70% - 🇵🇰 Pakistan - 60% - 🇨🇳 China - 40-45% - 🇮🇳 India - 42% One narrow waterway could wreck global prices overnight. This is why everything feels so tense. The globe's energy is a huge victim in this war. Source: @Market_Mind_
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@NSornomqwjk I’d say it looks more like short-term pressure than a big long-term change.
People need cash right now, that's it.
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@Aaron_everyway Do you think this gold weakness is just short-term liquidity pressure, or a more structural macro shift?
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Iran has already explicitly warned it will expand attacks to energy infrastructure across the region if its own facilities are hit again. And why are we even at that point? Because the U.S. and Israel already crossed that line first by hitting critical sites like South Pars, the backbone of Iran’s energy system.
And if Iran’s energy gets hit again? Don’t act surprised when the entire Middle East lights up because at that point, it won’t be Iran escalating.
It’ll be the consequence of a war Trump clearly doesn’t control anymore.
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Iran says if their energy infrastructure is struck again they will destroy basically all the energy infrastructure in the Middle East.
I would put the probability that Iran's energy infrastructure is hit again at about 50% because Trump has completely lost control. 🇮🇷🛢️💥
Megatron@Megatron_ron
JUST IN: 🇮🇷🇺🇸🇮🇱 Iran announced that if Israel and US once again attack the Iranian energy infrastructure they will destroy all the infrastructure in the middle east for good “We warn the enemy that you made a major mistake by attacking the energy infrastructure of Iran. Iran had no intention of expanding the scope of the war to oil facilities and did not want to harm the economies of friendly & neighboring countries. However, after US/Israel’s aggression on Iran’s energy sector, Iran has effectively entered a new phase of the war, and struck energy facilities linked to the United States and American shareholders. The responses are underway and is not over yet. If terrorism against Iran is repeated again, the next attacks on your energy infrastructures and that of your allies will not stop until their complete destruction.”
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People in Canada, Germany, France, and even the UK aren’t suddenly pro-China. They’re losing trust in the United States under Trump, who insult allies, threaten them, drag them toward wars they didn’t choose, destabilize energy markets, and then act shocked when they stop seeing allies as a reliable partner?
What did you expect?
America under Trump is burning credibility in real time with unpredictable leadership, constant escalation and economic fallout hitting Europe directly. Washington should expect friends turning away.
At least China is consistent, at least it’s not dragging Europe into chaos every other week.
US didn’t lose Europe to China. US pushed them away.
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🇺🇸🇨🇳 New polling shows more people in Canada, Germany, France, and the UK would choose China over the U.S. under Trump.
🇨🇦 Canada leads with 57% favoring China vs 23% for the U.S.
🇩🇪 Germany stands at 40% vs 24%.
🇫🇷 France shows 34% vs 25%.
🇬🇧 Even in the UK, China edges ahead 42% to 34%.
Source: Politico
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
🇺🇸🇮🇷 Rep. Crow: "Do you or the IC make any assessments as to the timing of potential threats facing the U.S. from Iran in the last 90 days?" Tulsi Gabbard: "I'm sure there was timelines factored into the intelligence assessments that were delivered." Rep. Crow: "Did any of them show imminence?" Gabbard: "The imminent nature of a threat is determined by the president based on a totality of the intelligence and information provided to him." In the end, it's all about trusting Trump on this one. Are you with him or against him? Source: @atrupar
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It takes money to kill bad guys? No, Pete. It takes lies, cowardice, and endless blank checks to keep a stupid war alive. You people started a catastrophe, torched stockpiles, and now want Congress to cough up another $200 billion while blaming Biden like toddlers caught playing with matches. It’s blood-soaked incompetence wrapped in macho garbage. And every dollar you beg for is proof this war was never under control.
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Pete Hegseth on reports that the Pentagon has requested an additional $200 billion to sustain the Iran war:
"It takes it takes money to kill bad guys... We're also still dealing with the environment Joe Biden created which was depleting our stockholds."
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@robsmithonline America First? Really?
$200B for another war.
Higher gas, higher food, higher bills at home.
All while Americans are told to tighten their belts.
No plan. No endgame. Just more money out, more risk, more chaos.
Israel first, America last.
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More money so Israel can continue to undermine and subvert the United States in the war they strong armed us into.
Not a wall.
Not homes for the working class.
Not mass deportations.
Just more money for more war to advance the interests of Israel. My God.
Jeff Stein@JStein_WaPo
SCOOP: The Pentagon asked the White House today for more than *$200 billion* for the Iran war supplemental, sources say Some White House aides think Congress won't support b/c it's so big Will tee up giant battle in Congress
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You escalate a war, help drive oil prices up, and then turn around and say you’ll unsanction the same country’s oil for 10–14 days to bring prices down… while continuing the war?
If Iranian oil is suddenly acceptable when prices spike, then what was all the pressure about in the first place? And if you need emergency fixes just to keep prices stable, what does that say about the sustainability of this whole campaign?
And this idea of using Iranian barrels against the Iranians, what does that even mean in practice? You’re still relying on the same supply you claim is dangerous, just temporarily, because it’s politically convenient?
So which is it?
Is Iran an unacceptable threat… or a backup supplier when things get uncomfortable?
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.@SecScottBessent: In the coming days, we may unsanction the Iranian oil that's on the water. It's about 140 million barrels, so depending how you count it, that's 10 days to 2 weeks of supply, that the Iranians had been pushing out, that would have all gone to China. In essence, we'd be using the Iranian barrels against the Iranians to keep the price down for the next 10 or 14 days, as we continue this campaign. So, we have lots of levers.
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