AdamF
94 posts

AdamF
@AdamF_Trader
Equities | Trading | MyInvestingClub MIC | Long when it dumps, short when it rips — consistency is my edge 🔥
York, England Beigetreten Kasım 2020
196 Folgt103 Follower

@grok @KobeissiLetter @TheShortBear So in general would it have been better to complete the initial negotiations or progress with war and agree to a new set of agreements. Be independent and precise
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No, the Middle East wouldn't necessarily be in a far worse position if Iran's 10-point plan is agreed upon versus a finalized pre-Feb deal.
**Stability**: Pre-Feb success meant nuclear curbs + partial sanctions relief, but proxy conflicts (Lebanon, allies) persisted. Full agreement now brings permanent war end, security guarantees, and halted ops vs Iranian proxies—broader de-escalation, reducing immediate flashpoints like Hormuz disruptions.
**Economics**: Pre-Feb offered limited relief; now, full sanctions lift + Hormuz fees ($2M/ship for reconstruction) turbocharges Iran's economy and regional trade. Global oil flows normalize faster, though shipping costs rise marginally—net positive for energy markets vs prolonged stalemate.
**Politics**: Pre-Feb was a contained diplomatic win for US/Israel. This concedes more to a weakened Iran post-strikes, potentially signaling US retreat and emboldening Tehran regionally. However, it locks in Trump's deadline outcome, avoiding endless escalation.
**Social**: Fewer civilian impacts from strikes/fighting; reconstruction aid via fees improves lives in Iran/Lebanon. Long-term risk: stronger Iran could fuel internal repression or proxy influence, but short-term peace dividend outweighs pre-Feb's simmering tensions.
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BREAKING: Iran has delivered its highly anticipated "10-point" response to the US' "15-point peace plan."
Iran's 10-point plan includes:
1. Guarantee that Iran will not be attacked again
2. Permanent end to the war, not just a ceasefire
3. End to Israeli strikes in Lebanon
4. Lifting of all US sanctions on Iran
5. End to all regional fighting against Iranian allies
6. In return, Iran would open the Strait of Hormuz
7. Iran would impose a Hormuz fee of $2 million per ship
8. Iran would split these fees with Oman
9. Iran to provide rules for safe passage through Hormuz
10. Iran to use Hormuz fees for reconstruction instead of reparations
President Trump's "deadline" for a peace deal with Iran is 25 hours away.
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@grok @KobeissiLetter @TheShortBear @grok is the Middle East in a far worse position even if these are agreed then if the pre-Feb negotiations had finalised. Consider this in terms of stability, economics, politics and social
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The pre-Feb 2026 negotiations (April-May 2025, Oman-mediated indirect talks) centered narrowly on Iran's nuclear program: limits on uranium enrichment to ~60%, IAEA access, in exchange for partial sanctions relief. Progress stalled; Iran wouldn't fully cap enrichment, leading to strikes.
Iran's current 10-point response is far broader—demanding ironclad security guarantees, permanent war end (not ceasefire), halt to Israeli/Lebanon ops, full sanctions lift, regional ally protections, plus Hormuz fees for reconstruction. It's shifted from nuclear diplomacy to maximalist geopolitical/economic terms after the strikes weakened their position. US called the 15-point plan "not good enough" per reports.
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@3YearLetterman Football, Tennis, Paella, life expectancy, crime rate, obesity rate, lower household debt, beaches, nightlife
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@B0bJobB0B @3YearLetterman @coachbrucepearl @PearlJam UK gallon - US gallon is 3.78 litres. So if this was US it would be equivalent of $6.52
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How could you trust any ceasefire with Israel and the US? Since the Oct 2025 Gaza ceasefire:
Israel → Gaza: 1,200–2,000+ attacks, 700+ Palestinians killed. Repeated human rights concerns: strikes hitting civilian areas, aid restrictions, excessive force.
Hamas → Israel: very few attacks, ~4 Israelis killed. Violations: indiscriminate rocket fire.
“Ceasefire” in name only — violence never stopped.
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The next batch of notated #EpsteinFiles is now live on SilenceDidThis.com and we are learning more about how the DOJ tried to sew confusion thru their release plus things they claim don’t exist are in their own releases. #Epstein did not do this alone. -#Legion of #Anonymous
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@James_F94 I’m listening to One Good Trade by @MikeBellafiore right now - love his thinking and approach
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@James_F94 Reminiscence of a stock Operator Jesse Livermore - fascinating how the mindset and trading principles in many respects haven’t changed in over 100 years!
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@binderdundatb4 @MattWallace888 But he actually did, on his own platform and it’s been verified. If it wasn’t him why hasn’t it been taken down. On a positive note good to see that you obviously think it was entirely inappropriate
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@MattWallace888 And it’s so blatantly obvious! Our President would NEVER post this after having just did his Easter message. People say they know him, but there are so many that just don’t.
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China Just Abandoned Iran at the Worst Possible Moment. Iran Blinked After China Turned Its Back.
After refusing negotiations, Iran suddenly agreed to talk with the U.S. following airstrikes, a 48-hour ultimatum, and a critical shift from China. The real turning point wasn’t just military pressure—it was China stepping back and publicly signaling distance at the worst possible moment.
In this video, I break down what actually forced Iran to change course and how China’s calculated move left Iran exposed.
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@JohnnyTheCrypt1 @AdamF_Trader @TheOneLanceB And you tuck your penis in between your legs don't you? To compensate.
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@GERCEK_BU_2 @grok bu haberin gerçeği nedir haber doğru mu
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@JohnnyTheCrypt1 @TheOneLanceB Depends what your definition of a real man and a real leader is. Not my cup of tea but each to their own
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@AdamF_Trader @TheOneLanceB He's a real man, and a real leader. It's nice having a president with a pair of balls rather than one tip toeing around trying not to hurt everyone's feelings like a little bitch or a COWARD. He says it like it is.
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