Ari Broadman

@NoLimitGains Yeah, we pullback to 6300-6800 after a week or two of more pump, and then we rally to 10k over 3 years. Uncharted, but long term bullish, because bearish narratives don't seem to hold in reality.

I can’t believe it. This is absolutely insane. We are currently in uncharted territory.

@chocolateb96011 @OrwellNGoode I am not going to read a paper when your claim differs from the authors'. You read papers when they have something you want to know beyond the abstract and the conclusion. There doesn't seem to be such a thing, and it clearly mismatches your claims. So what would be the point?

@AriBroadman @OrwellNGoode You didn't read the paper.

@chocolateb96011 @OrwellNGoode Also, a thing to note is that it's quite an old paper. I realize you might think end of 2025 is new, but in reality, this is a pre Clawdbot paper. It's not really applicable to today, when agents are miles better than they were 6 months ago.

@AriBroadman @OrwellNGoode Here is an interesting study on the current capabilities of AI. (check their websites for updated results using the very latest models. hint: they're not getting any better) remotelabor.ai/paper.pdf

@Pro__Trading The thing is, once you have a home, and lets say a car, why would the majority of people work? I guess for groceries and bills. The ruling don't really like a lazy workforce because then there is no one to make their investments go up and no one to make them interesting new toys.

@Pro__Trading Land isn't scarce, land near existing city centers is scarce. Property won't be scarce if you can meet the demand with automation. AI itself might not be a solution, but robots using AI likely are. Ruling class might not like the idea of everyone having private property, though.

Land and property will always be scarce. There's nothing AI can do about that. And when you give people a universal basic income, they're going to compete for homes and those prices are gonna skyrocket. Not to mention, everyone's gonna move out of an apartment and try to buy a home. Home prices make up 44% of CPI. I don't care how efficient AI makes other sectors skyrocketing home prices are going to lead to skyrocketing inflation.

@chocolateb96011 @OrwellNGoode For decades we have had chess models that humans'll never beat. AI scare isn't because AI is smart, but because AI is easily smarter than the majority of humans, since they're not that smart. We have an epidemic of incompetence, the incompetent majority is rightfully scared.

@OrwellNGoode I'm still waiting for this AI replacement to happen. So far the cutting edge LLM models can't even play a game of chess beyond absolute beginner level, and they fail 97% of the time when asked to complete a simple work project.

@ryumitsuaki @reddit_lies There are 2 reasons. 1st is pretraining. If I ask you to continue "Ahdjeskhfhs", you'd probably say IDK. AI learns references to even gibberish, so even when ignorant it will make up something plausible. 2nd is that it's trained on Reddit data, which is often confidently wrong.

@reddit_lies And people complain about LLMs being "confidently wrong". The AI got it from *somewhere*...

@are_unimportant @makimixi @aleph000001 @diz_korall_DB @StarLad_Fe The publishers cannot do what they want with art, they do so because they have been given the rights by those very same creators.

@AriBroadman @makimixi @aleph000001 @diz_korall_DB @StarLad_Fe The point is it's not the creators most of the time. It's the publishers.

Japan ruining it's soft power overnight is pretty funny lol

@are_unimportant @makimixi @aleph000001 @diz_korall_DB @StarLad_Fe You are not entitled to anyone's work. Meanwhile they as creators get to do whatever they want with it, it's their right.

@makimixi @aleph000001 @diz_korall_DB @StarLad_Fe That bootlicking mentality is exactly what lets art get lost or inaccessible.

@InvestingAddict Because then they sell at ATH, market crashes, and they buy the dip. It's the dopamine of sell high, buy low, there's no interest in investing.

Can someone explain to me why 20 year olds with $2,000 invested want the market to hit all time highs?

@InvestifyDaily @NoLimitGains He called it by announcing more pain. Then we TACO'd into a ceasefire and whatever he has been short in has presumably been liquidated.

@NoLimitGains I swear you called the bottom a few weeks ago lol... hope people lowered their cost average or bought the dip!

Volume is declining as price rises. Nothing else needs to be said.

@najam_ali They're not paying the toll in dollars. Meaning it's the beginning of the end for petrodollar, and with that, US hegemony. If no one uses the dollar, then the US cannot impose sanctions without military force or fund itself with debt.

I am genuinely struggling to understand this logic. If the rest of the world is willing to pay a small toll to Iran to keep oil flowing and stabilise markets, then why does the U.S. feel the need to block all shipping, especially when it is not dependent on that oil?

@dommcdev @yacineMTB Yeah. Looks more to me like Google or Apple are the real Google in 2002.

@yacineMTB For all we know they are both Yahoo in 2002. The first dominant player isn't always the one who wins in the end.

OpenAI is starting to look like Google in 2002 & Anthropic is starting to look like Yahoo in 2002.

@NoLimitGains Market no longer sees them as a tech company, but as a commodity. And they're probably right, given how companies have jumped on AI generation and editing. Commodities don't have the multiple of tech companies. Adobe's P/E ratio is around 15, so they still have ~33% down to go.

The disconnect is unreal. ADBE

@barrese_chris @biotechreviews @SJosephBurns @grok Are you talking about Iran or US? Because this applies to both. US leadership essentially believes that this war will bring about Messiah's return. Evangelicals don't really care what it takes. Just look at Lindsey Graham. This is the guy that got Trump to launch an attack.

I think it is hard for secular people to relate to people who are fundamentalists. I feel like the assumption is deep down they don’t believe what they claim, and it is all about money (or something else). But, fundamentalists would welcome their own destruction, or at the very least a civilizational reset, to bring about what they believe is prophecized.

Hey @grok What do you set the probability for these three outcomes today by 8 PM EST?: #1 Iran and U.S. have a ceasefire. #2 Trump orders the attack on Iran’s infrastructure. #3 Trump extends the deadline. Or a #4 possible outcome.

@MUFCJay2 @amitisinvesting He's wiping a civilisation, not people. Radical islamic regimes are enemies of the entire West. Money is among the most important things in the West. People do give a fuck, just not about the enemy. Much like the enemy doesn't give a fuck about us. Welcome to the real world.

@amitisinvesting He’s talking about wiping out a whole civilisation and comments are, markets going to be red. That’s where we are as a species. Absolutely zero fucks given.

TRUMP: A WHOLE CIVILIZATION WILL DIE TONIGHT AND 47 YEARS OF EXTORTION WILL COME TO AN END

@citehtrooper @ShadowofDeadEnd @muginokaizoku I mean, what realistically would we want to know? At least after the latest chapter? It will be shit writing if it turns out to be a Ashura & Indra retelling with pirate elements (Davy Jones & Joyboy) it's currently going towards.

@ShadowofDeadEnd @muginokaizoku Idk man. 8 years and we still know so little. Shit writing tbh

The most forced debate OAT lmao!!

@Salviati_ @reddit_lies Women pressure themselves to be kind to virtue signal. 1-on-1, they know it's a male, and because it's not a potential lay, they likely don't see him as a human, even. So there is no one to virtue signal to. Hopefully the drivers record the crashout with a dashcam for us to LOL.

@reddit_lies I can see the other way around, where auto-gynephiles get to trap a woman in their car for the duration of a fare, because most women wouldn't refuse the ride at that point even if they were feeling violated by the thought. it wouldn't be "kind."

LMAO

@UPSETCANADbk6u @NoLimitGains That's not a big deal. Missing a 10% pump from 640 to 700 is nothing. But it's possible he's short. Meaning he could be getting squeezed with a few more % gains.

@NoLimitGains You still in cash 😂😂😂😂

Markets down 9%, Jumps 4% on fake news, And suddenly everyone’s calling for new highs again. Sentiment has never flipped this fast. Humans are a very interesting species. It’s about to get real funny.