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Axion MMA
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Axion MMA
@AxionMMA
Axion MMA uses AI driven simulations to analyze UFC matchups and estimate win probabilities. Content is for informational purposes only.
Beigetreten Aralık 2024
160 Folgt136 Follower

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy Predictions
Model locked in across the entire card
High confidence spots on Page, Riley, Jones and Dyer
Early finish upside showing on multiple fights
Main event projects to go the distance
Where data finds the edge
Full breakdown, parlay and featured fighters now live
Follow @AxionMMA for more
#UFC #UFCLondon #MMA #UFCFightNight #SportsBetting #MMAAnalysis #UFCPicks #FightPredictions

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Axion 3-Leg Parlay for UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy
Luke Riley
Shanelle Dyer
Mason Jones
Three fighters with clear statistical edges and favorable matchups across the board
Projected at +189
Data-driven. Not guesswork.
Full card predictions live now
Follow @AxionMMA for more

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Featured Fighters for UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs Murphy
Michael Page
Elite distance control and striking defense create one of the highest KO ceilings on the card
Luke Riley
High-volume pressure and 70% finish rate make him a dangerous problem early
Mantas Kondratavicius
83% finish rate with clear first-round KO upside in a showcase spot
Three fighters. Three edges. All backed by data.
Full card predictions and parlay dropping next
Follow @AxionMMA for more

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Axion A.I. full card predictions for UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Vallejos
10,000 simulations per fight.
Top model projections
• Johnson – 80.5%
• Emmett – 75.8%
• Curtis – 75.1%
Biggest upset projection: Josh Emmett
Method breakdown across simulations shows a strong lean toward finishes on this card.
Full results drop after the event.
Follow @AxionMMA
Where data decides.

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Featured Fighter: Charles Johnson
Axion projects an ~80.5% win probability for Johnson vs Bruno Silva.
4.68 significant strikes landed per minute.
+1.44 strike differential.
4-inch reach advantage.
Across 10,000 simulations, Johnson consistently wins the striking exchanges and controls the pace.
Method projection: KO/TKO
Finish window: Rounds 1–3
Full card predictions dropping soon.
Follow @AxionMMA
Where data decides.

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@AxionMMA I got Orolbai but I definitely understand both sides
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Featured Fighter: Chris Curtis
Axion projects a ~75.1% win probability for Curtis vs Myktybek Orolbai
6.20 SLpM
92% takedown defense
Elite boxing pressure
If Curtis keeps this fight standing, the model sees his volume and durability overwhelming Orolbai across 10K simulations
Method projection: KO/TKO
Finish window: Rounds 1–3
Full card predictions dropping soon
Follow @AxionMMA
Where data decides

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The longer the fight goes, the more Jiri's berserker strength builds.
Carlos has been looking crispy, but his best win so far is his decision over the ghost of Jan Błachowicz.
Jiri is probably my favorite fighter right now, so... LET'S GO FOR THAT! #UFC327
UFC Europe@UFCEurope
ONE MONTH TO GO ⚡️ 🏆 #UFC327 @Jiri_BJP vs @UlbergCarlos... who you got?!
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Featured Fighter: Josh Emmett
Axion’s model gives Emmett a ~75.8% chance to win over Kevin Vallejos despite entering as the betting underdog.
The data favors Emmett’s power, durability, and experience against elite competition. If he lands clean, this fight can flip fast.
A massive upset according to the market.
A strong edge according to the model.
Full card predictions drop soon.
Follow @AxionMMA for UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Vallejos picks.

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UFC 326 Results
9/12 correct — 75%
Nearly a perfect card. The Xiao Long fight turned chaotic and the main event was a big miss, but the model still delivered strong accuracy across the board.
Follow @AxionMMA for featured fighter breakdowns and full card predictions every fight week

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UFC 326 picks are LOCKED.
Holloway KO R4. Borralho KO R2. Johnson KO R1.
Come back for receipts.
#UFC326 #HollowayVsOliveira

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Raul Rosas Jr. is one of the youngest rising prospects in the bantamweight division, and his wrestling pressure is the key factor here. Averaging 4.01 takedowns per 15 minutes, he has a clear path to control rounds against Rob Font.
The Axion model gives Rosas Jr. a slight edge — ~55% win probability across 10,000 simulations, most often by decision.
Close fight, low confidence, but the numbers lean Rosas.
Full #UFC326 predictions drop tomorrow. Follow @AxionMMA.

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Caio Borralho is the next featured fighter for UFC 326.
Across 10,000 Axion simulations, Borralho wins this matchup ~78% of the time. His 60% striking defense and 77% takedown defense make him a tough puzzle for Reinier de Ridder to solve. At 17–1, the model projects Borralho to keep this fight standing and find a finish.
Axion pick: Caio Borralho KO/TKO (Round 2)
Follow Axion MMA for full UFC 326 predictions dropping this week.

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@EliteBetEdge In the simulations Charles won, he took it to the ground - we shall see ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
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Max Holloway headlines this week’s featured fighter spotlight.
The Axion model ran 10,000 simulations for Holloway vs Oliveira and projects Holloway to win ~81% of the time. His elite striking volume (7.17 significant strikes per minute) combined with 84% takedown defense makes it difficult for opponents to control where the fight takes place.
If Holloway keeps this fight standing, the pressure and pace could break Oliveira late.
Axion prediction: Max Holloway via KO/TKO
Projected finish window: Round 4
Follow @AxionMMA for full card predictions dropping this week.
#UFC #MMA #UFCFightNight #MaxHolloway #CharlesOliveira #UFCPicks #MMAPredictions #FightAnalytics #SportsAnalytics #SportsBetting

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