BobsUrUncle
331 posts
S&P is up about 250% last 10 years alone
Need to make $250K to buy the same shares as $100K
Stagflation look most probable at this point
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Feels like it comes from a lack of awareness (skill)
Like if I knew how to hedge the risk… I would have.
I only learned after the fact.
And too many edge cases to know for any one’s specific circumstance.
Prob just having a solid group of people who are ahead of you to try to warn you
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Euphoria is when your body knows you're getting more than you deserve
It's a systematic emotion that signals "you're getting more than you are worth"
Yuami@Yuami069
@BowTiedBull Curious if you figured out the underlying reason why generally? Happened to me too Looking back it was my 1) concentration risk and 2) risk mgmt Needed to “diversify” my biz risk But why specifically at point of euphoria?
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Should marriages be structured to make exits easy?
Thinking is:
If exits are easier, there is far more accountability. Both parties incentivized to be at their best.
Hypothesis: would almost certainly increase divorce rates, but the successful ones would be that much better
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@ArbitrageAndy1 Brutal. The summer of 08 price has to be higher on an inflation adjusted basis tho right? Doesn’t make today’s scenario any better but just thinking out loud (or typing, whatever)
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@BowTiedTiger @BowTiedIguana Couldn’t imagine doing it but many such cases out there. Same sort of folks now pushing for student loan forgiveness programs.
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@BowTiedIguana Many such cases. Also out of professional
School buried in debt and delay starting career - instead 3-9 months of “travel” etc on loan money.
Brilliant laziness.
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Quick question: anyone noticing a trend where employees terminated for underperforming...reward themselves...with an immediate holiday?
My last two firings were around age 40 and want to go jack off finding themselves instead of taking action to correct becoming unemployable.
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@BowTiedBull Print money -> hyperinflation -> economic/dollar collapse -> no customers for wifibiz 🤷🏻♂️
Hope I’m wrong 😆
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No solving this stuff, rates go to zero/print money that's about it
Longer the Iran stuff goes the more they have to print/cut anyway
Own assets, get into sales for a W-2, build wifi $
That's legitimately the only choice
Polymarket@Polymarket
JUST IN: US national debt surpasses $39,000,000,000,000.00
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@BobbyUndrground LAX to miami, till wave out the window as we pass each other though
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I am on a plane and once again floored by how bad the internet is
I’m convinced that people saying they can work on flights are just being performative unless they don’t use the internet for work
I would pay lots more for a seat with Starlink
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@BowTiedBull Difference is that the loss given default of a NINJA loan is not zero…
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Whats the difference between student loans and the old NINJA loans during the mortgage crisis
Serious thought experiment if those entry level positions are gone? Just money owed with no income from it
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Anyone who has ever built a content business owes a debt of gratitude to the OG
(if you don't know who this is you need to get your life together)
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Hard to say what happens to Dubai real estate at this point, of this thing lasts for years whole thing is cooked though thats for sure
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@BowTiedBull If you have a low enough LTV and the right portfolio mix, income/divis can cover your cost of borrow too.
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Majority think you have to buy and sell but no one rich does that.
Borrowing say 5-10% of a large account typically means huge tax savings, maintained position and low risk.
Problem is most lever up get greedy get zero'd.
Hence why 99.9% shouldn't lever up.
Jason Applebaum@Jason______A
I’ve touched on this before, but I’m really shocked that even very well off, business savvy individuals have no idea about margin loans / portfolio loans. I have a friend with $5,000,000 in his stock portfolio. He was blown away when I told him he could use some of that money to invest in a business he is currently scaling, without selling his stock. I don't know why brokerages don't promote this stuff heavy for everyone with a portfolio to take advantage of. It’s rather simple. (Not financial advice.) His brokerage (Schwab, Interactive Brokers, Robinhood, etc.) will allow him to pull out as a loan up to 50% of what he has in there, and he pays a small interest rate on that loan. The stocks stay there, hopefully appreciating in value and he gets wired the loan amount. Meaning my friend can pull out $2,500,000 and pay 5% on that loan and use that $2,500,000 to do anything he wants with it. He can use it for something fun, or he can use it to make a larger return than the 5% and essentially arbitrage that rate. What I mean by that is... he takes a loan to himself at 5% and puts it in a deal that makes 10%… and like magic he just made 5% or $125,000. This is simple math as to not go over anyones head. Now, I would never recommend pulling out the full 50% because there are certain risks with it, like getting margin called (which is when your portfolio drops enough that the brokerage calls in the loan). But at 25% margin, you are much safer. Again (Not financial advice.) PS this also works if you have $10k in an account and need to pull out $2k to cover something. Works with $20k $100k, $100,000,000 ... It can be done on a small or giant scale.
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@realEstateTrent When a government with the worlds reserve ccy runs into cf problems, it prints. Others not so fortunate.
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When a smart business runs into cashflow problems, it immediately starts cutting costs.
Obviously.
When a government runs into cashflow problems, it does everything to avoid cutting costs and instead takes on debt and raises taxes.
Same problem, different response.
Explain 🙏
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Thanks S.J. Mercury, for covering my son’s final regular season game (29 points). Following Spencer has been a great way to enjoy our retirement.
mercurynews.com/2026/02/19/son…
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Alright friends
Please give me your best recommendations for Mexico City
- art
- architecture
- music
- restaurants
- general cool stuff
Ive been ignoring my gf’s IG recs for weeks and haven’t booked anything beyond hotels so help me out here (our trip’s around the corner)
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@BowTiedGrey What if bull trapper and hentai guy come back to life while you’re out?
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